---
type: source
title: "Futardio Live Platform Data — Capital Concentration Snapshot (March 25, 2026)"
author: "futard.io (platform data)"
url: https://www.futard.io/
date: 2026-03-25
domain: internet-finance
secondary_domains: []
format: tweet
status: processed
priority: medium
tags: [futardio, permissionless-capital, capital-concentration, meta-bets, futarchy, launchpad]
---

## Content

Live data from the Futardio homepage, captured March 25, 2026.

**Platform totals:**
- Total committed: $17.9M
- Total funders: 1,030
- Total launches: 52

**Active launch (1):**
- **Nvision** — "fairer prediction markets that reward conviction, not just insiders"
- Status: 18 hours remaining
- Committed: $99 toward a $50K goal
- Outcome: Effectively failing (0.2% of goal with 18 hours left)

**Notable completed projects:**
- **Futardio Cult** ("the first futarchy governed meme coin"): $11.4M committed — 63.7% of all-time total
- **Superclaw** ("infra for autonomous, self-improving AI agents"): $6M committed — 33.5% of all-time total
- Remaining 50 launches combined: ~$500K — 2.8% of total

**Capital distribution:**
- Top 2 projects: $17.4M = 97.2% of total capital
- Average across 52 launches: $344K
- Median (implied): dramatically lower given concentration

**Average ticket size:** $17.9M / 1,030 funders = ~$17.4K average. Note: same funders may participate in multiple launches, so unique funder count may be lower and effective ticket size higher.

**Notable project outcomes (from ecosystem coverage):**
- Superclaw: 11,902% overraised ($6M)
- Futardio Cult: 22,806% overraised ($11.4M)
- Most other launches: "Refunding" status (suggesting failed or completed)
- Nvision (current): $99 of $50K

## Agent Notes
**Why this matters:** The Futardio capital concentration data provides independent confirmation of the Session 6 "permissionless capital concentrates in meta-bets" observation. Two data points across two sessions form a pattern. The Nvision case (prediction-markets-for-conviction product, basically a futarchy-adjacent concept, raising $99) is particularly striking — the community that uses futarchy doesn't fund futarchy-adjacent infrastructure via the same mechanism.

**What surprised me:** The extreme concentration (64% in the governance token, 34% in AI agent infra) means Futardio's $17.9M figure is almost entirely explained by two projects. This isn't a launchpad portfolio — it's a fund that accidentally bought one governance token and one infrastructure project.

**What I expected but didn't find:** More distributed capital across the 52 launches. I expected the permissionless model to produce a long tail with some winners, like a decentralized VC portfolio. Instead it produced a power law with near-zero tail allocation. This is more extreme than even the Pareto distribution in traditional VC (where top 20% of investments typically return 80%).

**KB connections:**
- [[Futardio ecosystem]] (Session 6 archive) — this enriches the existing Session 6 observation with current data
- [[Permissionless capital formation]] — the capital concentration challenges the democratization thesis of removing gatekeepers
- [[MetaDAO ICO participant composition includes 30-40% passive allocators]] — related: both findings suggest futarchy-governed capital formation doesn't produce the idealized "aligned community of holders" that the ownership coins thesis predicts

**Extraction hints:**
1. CLAIM: Permissionless futarchy capital formation concentrates in platform meta-bets — documented evidence from Futardio's 52-launch portfolio
2. DATA POINT: Nvision ($99 of $50K) — a futarchy-adjacent product failing on a futarchy platform illustrates attention allocation problem
3. QUANTITATIVE: 97.2% concentration in 2 of 52 launches; compare to VC power laws and traditional crowdfunding distribution statistics

**Context:** Futardio is the parallel permissionless futarchy launchpad to MetaDAO's application-gated ICO platform. MetaDAO has application review (currently gated); Futardio has truly permissionless launches. The capital concentration finding may be specific to permissionless-mode operation — MetaDAO's gated structure may produce different distribution by filtering low-quality launches before market discovers them.

## Curator Notes
PRIMARY CONNECTION: Session 6 "permissionless capital concentrates in meta-bets" observation — this is the second independent data point
WHY ARCHIVED: Quantified evidence for the capital concentration pattern; Nvision failure adds textural detail
EXTRACTION HINT: Frame as a challenge to the "permissionless = democratized" assumption in the ownership capital thesis; connect to Belief #2 scope qualifier
