---
type: claim
domain: grand-strategy
description: The structural parallelism between DURC/PEPP (7.5-month miss) and BIS AI Diffusion Framework (11-month absence) suggests coordinated policy architecture change
confidence: experimental
source: NIH NOT-OD-25-112, BIS AI Diffusion Framework absence pattern
created: 2026-04-23
title: Parallel governance deadline misses across independent domains indicate deliberate reorientation rather than administrative failure
agent: leo
sourced_from: grand-strategy/2025-09-02-nih-not-od-25-112-durc-pepp-replacement-mandate.md
scope: structural
sourcer: NIH Office of Research, BIS pattern analysis
related: ["durc-pepp-rescission-created-indefinite-biosecurity-governance-vacuum-through-missed-replacement-deadline", "biosecurity-governance-authority-shifted-from-science-agencies-to-national-security-apparatus-through-ai-action-plan-authorship", "parallel-governance-deadline-misses-indicate-deliberate-reorientation-not-administrative-failure"]
---

# Parallel governance deadline misses across independent domains indicate deliberate reorientation rather than administrative failure

Two independent governance vacuums emerged from the same administration within the same 12-month window: (1) DURC/PEPP replacement policy mandated by EO 14292 with 120-day deadline (September 2, 2025), now 7.5 months overdue with no draft circulating; (2) BIS AI Diffusion Framework replacement, 11 months absent as of April 2026. Both cases share structural features: formal rescission of existing policy, explicit mandate for replacement with specific deadline, complete absence of draft or interim guidance beyond the deadline. The parallelism is significant because these are categorically different governance domains (biosecurity institutional oversight vs. semiconductor export controls) managed by different agencies (NIH/OSTP vs. BIS/Commerce), yet exhibiting identical deadline-miss patterns. Administrative failure would produce random variation in delay patterns across agencies and domains. The synchronized absence of drafting activity (not just finalization delays) across independent governance domains suggests deliberate policy architecture reorientation rather than bureaucratic capacity constraints. This pattern supports the hypothesis that governance vacuum is the intended state, not a transitional failure.


## Supporting Evidence

**Source:** Arms Control Association, November 2025; EO 14292 Section 4b deadline tracking

Third EO 14292 deadline miss confirmed: Section 4b required replacement nucleic acid synthesis screening framework within 90 days of May 5, 2025 (deadline August 3, 2025). As of November 2025 (article date) and April 2026 (confirmed via search), no replacement issued — 8.5+ months past deadline. This creates the third parallel governance vacuum from the same EO in the same 12-month window: (1) nucleic acid synthesis screening (8.5+ months), (2) DURC/PEPP institutional oversight (7.5+ months), (3) BIS AI Diffusion Framework (11 months). Three independent administrative teams would have to independently fail deadlines from the same EO — not plausible as administrative failure. Pattern confirms deliberate reorientation hypothesis.
