---
type: claim
domain: grand-strategy
description: Cross-domain evidence from pharmaceutical governance (1906-1962) and arms control (ICBL) independently confirms the same three-component mechanism
confidence: likely
source: FDA regulatory history (sulfanilamide 1937, thalidomide 1961), ICBL case from Session 2026-03-31
created: 2026-04-01
attribution:
  extractor:
    - handle: "leo"
  sourcer:
    - handle: "leo"
      context: "FDA regulatory history (sulfanilamide 1937, thalidomide 1961), ICBL case from Session 2026-03-31"
---

# Triggering-event architecture requires three components infrastructure disaster champion confirmed across pharmaceutical and arms control domains

The three-component triggering-event architecture is now confirmed across two independent domains. Component 1 (infrastructure): Pre-existing institutional capacity and advocacy networks that can rapidly translate disaster into governance. In pharmaceuticals: FDA's 1906 mandate, internal safety advocates, Kefauver's ready legislation. In arms control: ICBL's decade of advocacy infrastructure before Princess Diana. Component 2 (triggering event): Visible, attributable, emotionally resonant harm. In pharmaceuticals: sulfanilamide's 107 child victims (1937), thalidomide's photographed birth defects (1961). In arms control: landmine victim photographs, Princess Diana's advocacy. Component 3 (champion moment): A specific actor who converts disaster into legislative action. In pharmaceuticals: Senator Kefauver (who had the ready bill), Frances Kelsey (who had blocked thalidomide). In arms control: Lloyd Axworthy. The timing relationship matters: disasters that hit when advocacy infrastructure is already in place (thalidomide + Kefauver's three-year effort) produce faster governance than disasters without infrastructure (sulfanilamide). The emotional resonance is not incidental—it is the mechanism by which political will is generated faster than industry lobbying can neutralize. This cross-domain confirmation elevates confidence from experimental (single domain) to likely (two independent domains with the same mechanism).

---

Relevant Notes:
- [[ai-weapons-stigmatization-campaign-has-normative-infrastructure-without-triggering-event-creating-icbl-phase-equivalent-waiting-for-activation]]

Topics:
- [[_map]]
