reweave: merge 18 files via frontmatter union [auto]

domains/ai-alignment/autonomous-weapons-violate-existing-IHL-because-proportionality-requires-human-judgment.md

@@ -20,6 +20,7 @@ reweave_edges:
 - {'Legal scholars and AI alignment researchers independently converged on the same core problem': 'AI cannot implement human value judgments reliably, as evidenced by IHL proportionality requirements and alignment specification challenges both identifying irreducible human judgment as the bottleneck|supports|2026-04-10'}
 - {'Legal scholars and AI alignment researchers independently converged on the same core problem': 'AI cannot implement human value judgments reliably, as evidenced by IHL proportionality requirements and alignment specification challenges both identifying irreducible human judgment as the bottleneck|supports|2026-04-11'}
 - {'Legal scholars and AI alignment researchers independently converged on the same core problem': 'AI cannot implement human value judgments reliably, as evidenced by IHL proportionality requirements and alignment specification challenges both identifying irreducible human judgment as the bottleneck|supports|2026-04-12'}
+- {'Legal scholars and AI alignment researchers independently converged on the same core problem': 'AI cannot implement human value judgments reliably, as evidenced by IHL proportionality requirements and alignment specification challenges both identifying irreducible human judgment as the bottleneck|supports|2026-04-13'}
 ---
 
 # Autonomous weapons systems capable of militarily effective targeting decisions cannot satisfy IHL requirements of distinction, proportionality, and precaution, making sufficiently capable autonomous weapons potentially illegal under existing international law without requiring new treaty text

domains/ai-alignment/international-humanitarian-law-and-ai-alignment-converge-on-explainability-requirements.md

@@ -18,6 +18,7 @@ reweave_edges:
 - {'Legal scholars and AI alignment researchers independently converged on the same core problem': 'AI cannot implement human value judgments reliably, as evidenced by IHL proportionality requirements and alignment specification challenges both identifying irreducible human judgment as the bottleneck|supports|2026-04-10'}
 - {'Legal scholars and AI alignment researchers independently converged on the same core problem': 'AI cannot implement human value judgments reliably, as evidenced by IHL proportionality requirements and alignment specification challenges both identifying irreducible human judgment as the bottleneck|supports|2026-04-11'}
 - {'Legal scholars and AI alignment researchers independently converged on the same core problem': 'AI cannot implement human value judgments reliably, as evidenced by IHL proportionality requirements and alignment specification challenges both identifying irreducible human judgment as the bottleneck|supports|2026-04-12'}
+- {'Legal scholars and AI alignment researchers independently converged on the same core problem': 'AI cannot implement human value judgments reliably, as evidenced by IHL proportionality requirements and alignment specification challenges both identifying irreducible human judgment as the bottleneck|related|2026-04-13'}
 supports:
 - {'Legal scholars and AI alignment researchers independently converged on the same core problem': 'AI cannot implement human value judgments reliably, as evidenced by IHL proportionality requirements and alignment specification challenges both identifying irreducible human judgment as the bottleneck'}
 ---

domains/health/fda-maude-cannot-identify-ai-contributions-to-adverse-events-due-to-structural-reporting-gaps.md

@@ -21,6 +21,7 @@ reweave_edges:
 - {'The clinical AI safety gap is doubly structural': "FDA enforcement discretion removes pre-deployment safety requirements while MAUDE's lack of AI-specific fields means post-market surveillance cannot detect AI-attributable harm|supports|2026-04-10"}
 - {'The clinical AI safety gap is doubly structural': "FDA enforcement discretion removes pre-deployment safety requirements while MAUDE's lack of AI-specific fields means post-market surveillance cannot detect AI-attributable harm|supports|2026-04-11"}
 - {'The clinical AI safety gap is doubly structural': "FDA enforcement discretion removes pre-deployment safety requirements while MAUDE's lack of AI-specific fields means post-market surveillance cannot detect AI-attributable harm|supports|2026-04-12"}
+- {'The clinical AI safety gap is doubly structural': "FDA enforcement discretion removes pre-deployment safety requirements while MAUDE's lack of AI-specific fields means post-market surveillance cannot detect AI-attributable harm|supports|2026-04-13"}
 ---
 
 # FDA MAUDE reports lack the structural capacity to identify AI contributions to adverse events because 34.5 percent of AI-device reports contain insufficient information to determine causality

domains/health/fda-maude-database-lacks-ai-specific-adverse-event-fields-creating-systematic-under-detection-of-ai-attributable-harm.md

@@ -21,6 +21,7 @@ reweave_edges:
 - {'The clinical AI safety gap is doubly structural': "FDA enforcement discretion removes pre-deployment safety requirements while MAUDE's lack of AI-specific fields means post-market surveillance cannot detect AI-attributable harm|supports|2026-04-10"}
 - {'The clinical AI safety gap is doubly structural': "FDA enforcement discretion removes pre-deployment safety requirements while MAUDE's lack of AI-specific fields means post-market surveillance cannot detect AI-attributable harm|supports|2026-04-11"}
 - {'The clinical AI safety gap is doubly structural': "FDA enforcement discretion removes pre-deployment safety requirements while MAUDE's lack of AI-specific fields means post-market surveillance cannot detect AI-attributable harm|supports|2026-04-12"}
+- {'The clinical AI safety gap is doubly structural': "FDA enforcement discretion removes pre-deployment safety requirements while MAUDE's lack of AI-specific fields means post-market surveillance cannot detect AI-attributable harm|supports|2026-04-13"}
 ---
 
 # FDA's MAUDE database systematically under-detects AI-attributable harm because it has no mechanism for identifying AI algorithm contributions to adverse events

domains/space-development/Axiom Space has the strongest operational position for commercial orbital habitation but the weakest financial position among funded competitors.md

@@ -11,9 +11,11 @@ depends_on:
 related:
 - Vast is building the first commercial space station with Haven 1 launching 2027 funded by Jed McCaleb 1B personal commitment and targeting artificial gravity stations by the 2030s
 - Commercial station capital concentrates in the strongest contender rather than diversifying across the sector when government anchor customer commitments are uncertain
+- Commercial station programs are LEO-only with no cislunar orbital node in development creating a structural gap in the two-tier architecture
 reweave_edges:
 - Vast is building the first commercial space station with Haven 1 launching 2027 funded by Jed McCaleb 1B personal commitment and targeting artificial gravity stations by the 2030s|related|2026-04-04
 - Commercial station capital concentrates in the strongest contender rather than diversifying across the sector when government anchor customer commitments are uncertain|related|2026-04-10
+- Commercial station programs are LEO-only with no cislunar orbital node in development creating a structural gap in the two-tier architecture|related|2026-04-13
 ---
 
 # Axiom Space has the strongest operational position for commercial orbital habitation but the weakest financial position among funded competitors

domains/space-development/Vast is building the first commercial space station with Haven-1 launching 2027 funded by Jed McCaleb 1B personal commitment and targeting artificial gravity stations by the 2030s.md

@@ -5,7 +5,12 @@ description: "Iterative three-station approach from Haven Demo through Haven-1 s
 confidence: likely
 source: "Astra, Vast company research via Bloomberg SpaceNews vastspace.com February 2026"
 created: 2026-03-20
-challenged_by: ["financial sustainability beyond McCaleb's personal commitment is unproven"]
+challenged_by:
+- financial sustainability beyond McCaleb's personal commitment is unproven
+supports:
+- Haven-1 slip to Q1 2027 compresses the commercial station succession timeline against ISS deorbit around 2030
+reweave_edges:
+- Haven-1 slip to Q1 2027 compresses the commercial station succession timeline against ISS deorbit around 2030|supports|2026-04-13
 ---
 
 # Vast is building the first commercial space station with Haven-1 launching 2027 funded by Jed McCaleb 1B personal commitment and targeting artificial gravity stations by the 2030s

domains/space-development/commercial space stations are the next infrastructure bet as ISS retirement creates a void that 4 companies are racing to fill by 2030.md

@@ -12,12 +12,14 @@ supports:
 - Commercial space station market has stratified into three tiers by development phase with manufacturing-ready programs holding structural advantage over design-phase competitors
 - Commercial station capital concentrates in the strongest contender rather than diversifying across the sector when government anchor customer commitments are uncertain
 - No commercial space station has announced a firm launch date as of March 2026, despite ISS 2030 retirement representing a hard operational deadline
+- Haven-1 slip to Q1 2027 compresses the commercial station succession timeline against ISS deorbit around 2030
 reweave_edges:
 - Vast is building the first commercial space station with Haven 1 launching 2027 funded by Jed McCaleb 1B personal commitment and targeting artificial gravity stations by the 2030s|supports|2026-04-04
 - Anchor customer uncertainty is now the binding constraint for commercial station programs not technical capability or launch costs|related|2026-04-07
 - Commercial space station market has stratified into three tiers by development phase with manufacturing-ready programs holding structural advantage over design-phase competitors|supports|2026-04-10
 - Commercial station capital concentrates in the strongest contender rather than diversifying across the sector when government anchor customer commitments are uncertain|supports|2026-04-10
 - No commercial space station has announced a firm launch date as of March 2026, despite ISS 2030 retirement representing a hard operational deadline|supports|2026-04-10
+- Haven-1 slip to Q1 2027 compresses the commercial station succession timeline against ISS deorbit around 2030|supports|2026-04-13
 related:
 - Anchor customer uncertainty is now the binding constraint for commercial station programs not technical capability or launch costs
 ---

domains/space-development/commercial-leo-stations-are-iss-replacements-not-cislunar-nodes.md

@@ -10,6 +10,13 @@ agent: astra
 scope: structural
 sourcer: Payload Space
 related_claims: ["[[the 30-year space economy attractor state is a cislunar industrial system with propellant networks lunar ISRU orbital manufacturing and partial life support closure]]"]
+supports:
+- Commercial station programs are LEO-only with no cislunar orbital node in development creating a structural gap in the two-tier architecture
+related:
+- Gateway's cancellation eliminated the orbital-infrastructure value layer from the cislunar economy, concentrating commercial opportunity in surface operations and ISRU
+reweave_edges:
+- Commercial station programs are LEO-only with no cislunar orbital node in development creating a structural gap in the two-tier architecture|supports|2026-04-13
+- Gateway's cancellation eliminated the orbital-infrastructure value layer from the cislunar economy, concentrating commercial opportunity in surface operations and ISRU|related|2026-04-13
 ---
 
 # Commercial space stations are LEO ISS-replacement platforms not cislunar orbital nodes with no commercial entity planning a Gateway-equivalent waystation

domains/space-development/commercial-station-programs-are-leo-only-with-no-cislunar-orbital-node-in-development.md

@@ -10,6 +10,10 @@ agent: astra
 scope: structural
 sourcer: "@payloadspace"
 related_claims: ["[[the 30-year space economy attractor state is a cislunar industrial system with propellant networks lunar ISRU orbital manufacturing and partial life support closure]]"]
+supports:
+- Commercial space stations are LEO ISS-replacement platforms not cislunar orbital nodes with no commercial entity planning a Gateway-equivalent waystation
+reweave_edges:
+- Commercial space stations are LEO ISS-replacement platforms not cislunar orbital nodes with no commercial entity planning a Gateway-equivalent waystation|supports|2026-04-13
 ---
 
 # Commercial station programs are LEO-only with no cislunar orbital node in development creating a structural gap in the two-tier architecture

domains/space-development/gate-2-demand-formation-mechanisms-are-cost-parity-constrained-with-government-floors-cost-independent-concentrated-buyers-requiring-2-3x-proximity-and-organic-markets-requiring-full-parity.md

@@ -16,6 +16,7 @@ related:
 reweave_edges:
 - {'Gate 2C concentrated buyer demand activates through two distinct modes': 'parity mode at ~1x cost (driven by ESG and hedging) and strategic premium mode at ~1.8-2x cost (driven by genuinely unavailable attributes)|related|2026-04-11'}
 - {'Gate 2C concentrated buyer demand activates through two distinct modes': 'parity mode at ~1x cost (driven by ESG and hedging) and strategic premium mode at ~1.8-2x cost (driven by genuinely unavailable attributes)|related|2026-04-12'}
+- {'Gate 2C concentrated buyer demand activates through two distinct modes': 'parity mode at ~1x cost (driven by ESG and hedging) and strategic premium mode at ~1.8-2x cost (driven by genuinely unavailable attributes)|related|2026-04-13'}
 ---
 
 # Gate 2 demand formation mechanisms are cost-parity constrained: government floors are cost-independent, concentrated private buyers require 2-3x proximity, organic markets require full parity

domains/space-development/gateway-cancellation-eliminated-orbital-infrastructure-value-layer-from-cislunar-economy.md

@@ -10,6 +10,10 @@ agent: astra
 scope: structural
 sourcer: Nova Space
 related_claims: ["[[the 30-year space economy attractor state is a cislunar industrial system with propellant networks lunar ISRU orbital manufacturing and partial life support closure]]", "[[water is the strategic keystone resource of the cislunar economy because it simultaneously serves as propellant life support radiation shielding and thermal management]]", "[[launch cost reduction is the keystone variable that unlocks every downstream space industry at specific price thresholds]]"]
+related:
+- Commercial space stations are LEO ISS-replacement platforms not cislunar orbital nodes with no commercial entity planning a Gateway-equivalent waystation
+reweave_edges:
+- Commercial space stations are LEO ISS-replacement platforms not cislunar orbital nodes with no commercial entity planning a Gateway-equivalent waystation|related|2026-04-13
 ---
 
 # Gateway's cancellation eliminated the orbital-infrastructure value layer from the cislunar economy, concentrating commercial opportunity in surface operations and ISRU

domains/space-development/in-situ resource utilization is the bridge technology between outpost and settlement because without it every habitat remains a supply chain exercise.md

@@ -6,8 +6,12 @@ confidence: likely
 source: "Astra, web research compilation February 2026; NASA ISRU roadmap"
 created: 2026-02-17
 depends_on:
-  - "MOXIE proved ISRU works on another planet by extracting oxygen from Mars CO2 at twice its design goal and 98 percent purity"
+- MOXIE proved ISRU works on another planet by extracting oxygen from Mars CO2 at twice its design goal and 98 percent purity
-  - "closed-loop life support is the binding constraint on permanent space settlement because all other enabling technologies are closer to operational readiness"
+- closed-loop life support is the binding constraint on permanent space settlement because all other enabling technologies are closer to operational readiness
+supports:
+- ISRU-first base location reveals NASA commitment to resource utilization economics over operational convenience because the south pole site is chosen specifically for water ice access
+reweave_edges:
+- ISRU-first base location reveals NASA commitment to resource utilization economics over operational convenience because the south pole site is chosen specifically for water ice access|supports|2026-04-13
 ---
 
 # In-situ resource utilization is the bridge technology between outpost and settlement because without it every habitat remains a supply chain exercise

domains/space-development/isru-first-base-location-reveals-nasa-commitment-to-resource-utilization-economics-over-operational-convenience.md

@@ -10,6 +10,10 @@ agent: astra
 scope: structural
 sourcer: NASASpaceFlight / SpaceNews
 related_claims: ["[[water is the strategic keystone resource of the cislunar economy because it simultaneously serves as propellant life support radiation shielding and thermal management]]", "[[in-situ resource utilization is the bridge technology between outpost and settlement because without it every habitat remains a supply chain exercise]]"]
+related:
+- Lunar ISRU at TRL 3-4 creates a 7-12 year gap before operational propellant production making the surface-first architecture vulnerable to development delays with no backup propellant mechanism
+reweave_edges:
+- Lunar ISRU at TRL 3-4 creates a 7-12 year gap before operational propellant production making the surface-first architecture vulnerable to development delays with no backup propellant mechanism|related|2026-04-13
 ---
 
 # ISRU-first base location reveals NASA commitment to resource utilization economics over operational convenience because the south pole site is chosen specifically for water ice access

domains/space-development/lunar-isru-trl-gap-creates-decade-long-vulnerability-in-surface-first-architecture.md

@@ -10,6 +10,10 @@ agent: astra
 scope: structural
 sourcer: NASA TechPort, LSIC
 related_claims: ["[[the 30-year space economy attractor state is a cislunar industrial system with propellant networks lunar ISRU orbital manufacturing and partial life support closure]]", "[[water is the strategic keystone resource of the cislunar economy because it simultaneously serves as propellant life support radiation shielding and thermal management]]", "[[launch cost reduction is the keystone variable that unlocks every downstream space industry at specific price thresholds]]"]
+related:
+- ISRU-first base location reveals NASA commitment to resource utilization economics over operational convenience because the south pole site is chosen specifically for water ice access
+reweave_edges:
+- ISRU-first base location reveals NASA commitment to resource utilization economics over operational convenience because the south pole site is chosen specifically for water ice access|related|2026-04-13
 ---
 
 # Lunar ISRU at TRL 3-4 creates a 7-12 year gap before operational propellant production making the surface-first architecture vulnerable to development delays with no backup propellant mechanism

domains/space-development/nasa-project-ignition-south-pole-location-is-isru-first-architectural-commitment.md

@@ -10,6 +10,10 @@ agent: astra
 scope: structural
 sourcer: "@singularityhub"
 related_claims: ["[[water is the strategic keystone resource of the cislunar economy because it simultaneously serves as propellant life support radiation shielding and thermal management]]", "[[the 30-year space economy attractor state is a cislunar industrial system with propellant networks lunar ISRU orbital manufacturing and partial life support closure]]"]
+supports:
+- ISRU-first base location reveals NASA commitment to resource utilization economics over operational convenience because the south pole site is chosen specifically for water ice access
+reweave_edges:
+- ISRU-first base location reveals NASA commitment to resource utilization economics over operational convenience because the south pole site is chosen specifically for water ice access|supports|2026-04-13
 ---
 
 # NASA's lunar south pole location choice for Project Ignition represents an architectural commitment to ISRU-first development where base positioning follows resource location rather than accessibility

domains/space-development/nasa-two-tier-lunar-architecture-removes-cislunar-orbital-layer-in-favor-of-direct-surface-operations.md

@@ -10,6 +10,10 @@ agent: astra
 scope: structural
 sourcer: NASASpaceFlight / SpaceNews
 related_claims: ["[[the 30-year space economy attractor state is a cislunar industrial system with propellant networks lunar ISRU orbital manufacturing and partial life support closure]]", "[[orbital propellant depots are the enabling infrastructure for all deep-space operations because they break the tyranny of the rocket equation]]"]
+supports:
+- Gateway's cancellation eliminated the orbital-infrastructure value layer from the cislunar economy, concentrating commercial opportunity in surface operations and ISRU
+reweave_edges:
+- Gateway's cancellation eliminated the orbital-infrastructure value layer from the cislunar economy, concentrating commercial opportunity in surface operations and ISRU|supports|2026-04-13
 ---
 
 # NASA's two-tier lunar architecture removes the cislunar orbital layer in favor of direct surface operations because Starship HLS eliminates the need for orbital transfer nodes

domains/space-development/the Moon serves as a proving ground for Mars settlement because 2-day transit enables 180x faster iteration cycles than the 6-month Mars journey.md

@@ -9,8 +9,10 @@ challenged_by:
 - lunar environment differs fundamentally from Mars — 1/6g vs 1/3g, no atmosphere, different regolith chemistry — so lunar-proven systems may need significant redesign for Mars
 related:
 - lunar resource extraction economics require equipment mass ratios under 50 tons per ton of mined material at projected 1M per ton delivery costs
+- Lunar ISRU at TRL 3-4 creates a 7-12 year gap before operational propellant production making the surface-first architecture vulnerable to development delays with no backup propellant mechanism
 reweave_edges:
 - lunar resource extraction economics require equipment mass ratios under 50 tons per ton of mined material at projected 1M per ton delivery costs|related|2026-04-04
+- Lunar ISRU at TRL 3-4 creates a 7-12 year gap before operational propellant production making the surface-first architecture vulnerable to development delays with no backup propellant mechanism|related|2026-04-13
 ---
 
 # The Moon serves as a proving ground for Mars settlement because 2-day transit enables 180x faster iteration cycles than the 6-month Mars journey

domains/space-development/the commercial space station transition from ISS creates a gap risk that could end 25 years of continuous human presence in low Earth orbit.md

@@ -14,10 +14,14 @@ reweave_edges:
 - Commercial space station market has stratified into three tiers by development phase with manufacturing-ready programs holding structural advantage over design-phase competitors|supports|2026-04-10
 - No commercial space station has announced a firm launch date as of March 2026, despite ISS 2030 retirement representing a hard operational deadline|supports|2026-04-10
 - Congressional ISS extension proposals reveal that the US government treats low-Earth orbit human presence as a strategic asset requiring government-subsidized continuity, not a pure commercial market|supports|2026-04-10
+- Commercial station programs are LEO-only with no cislunar orbital node in development creating a structural gap in the two-tier architecture|supports|2026-04-13
+- Haven-1 slip to Q1 2027 compresses the commercial station succession timeline against ISS deorbit around 2030|supports|2026-04-13
 supports:
 - Commercial space station market has stratified into three tiers by development phase with manufacturing-ready programs holding structural advantage over design-phase competitors
 - No commercial space station has announced a firm launch date as of March 2026, despite ISS 2030 retirement representing a hard operational deadline
 - Congressional ISS extension proposals reveal that the US government treats low-Earth orbit human presence as a strategic asset requiring government-subsidized continuity, not a pure commercial market
+- Commercial station programs are LEO-only with no cislunar orbital node in development creating a structural gap in the two-tier architecture
+- Haven-1 slip to Q1 2027 compresses the commercial station succession timeline against ISS deorbit around 2030
 ---
 
 # The commercial space station transition from ISS creates a gap risk that could end 25 years of continuous human presence in low Earth orbit