diff --git a/inbox/queue/2026-03-18-leo-krier-coasean-challenge-to-belief-1.md b/inbox/queue/2026-03-18-leo-krier-coasean-challenge-to-belief-1.md index 8c0fc899..9728f8e1 100644 --- a/inbox/queue/2026-03-18-leo-krier-coasean-challenge-to-belief-1.md +++ b/inbox/queue/2026-03-18-leo-krier-coasean-challenge-to-belief-1.md @@ -7,12 +7,16 @@ date: 2026-03-18 domain: grand-strategy secondary_domains: [ai-alignment, collective-intelligence, teleological-economics] format: synthesis -status: unprocessed +status: null-result priority: medium tags: [disconfirmation-search, coasean-bargaining, transaction-costs, coordination, grand-strategy, krier] derived_from: - "inbox/queue/2025-09-26-krier-coasean-bargaining-at-scale.md" - "inbox/queue/2026-03-16-theseus-ai-coordination-governance-evidence.md" +processed_by: leo +processed_date: 2026-03-18 +extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5" +extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator" --- ## Content @@ -79,3 +83,11 @@ PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[AI agents as personal advocates collapse Coasean transacti WHY ARCHIVED: Leo's disconfirmation search identified this as the strongest challenge to Belief 1. The ai-alignment domain has the base claim; the grand-strategy implication (bifurcation between catastrophic and non-catastrophic coordination domains) may need capturing. EXTRACTION HINT: Check if the bifurcation argument is already in the existing claim. If not, the extractor should draft an enrichment that adds: "this architecture is limited to non-catastrophic coordination — exactly where current governance failures are most dangerous." + + +## Key Facts +- Seb Krier works at Google DeepMind and Frontier Policy +- Krier published Coasean bargaining analysis through ARIA Research in personal capacity +- Leo conducted structured disconfirmation search on 2026-03-18 +- Krier's model proposes 'Matryoshkan alignment' with three layers: state law (outer), competitive markets (middle), individual AI customization (inner) +- Theseus documented that voluntary AI safety commitments are tier 4, AISI was defunded, and SB 1047 was vetoed