rio: add 4 claims (AI displacement feedback loop, white-collar consumption impact, private credit exposure, technology-driven deflation), enrich 1 claim, archive 4 sources

- What: 4 new claims capturing mechanism-level disagreements from AI macro debate, 4 archives as linked set, enrichment to "technology exponential coordination linear" with Citrini evidence
- Why: Citrini "2028 Global Intelligence Crisis" went viral and moved markets (Feb 2026). Three rebuttals (Loeber, Bloch, harkl_) represent bull/sovereign scenarios. The divergence is claim-worthy: all agree on mechanism (AI collapses intermediation costs, OpEx substitution), disagree on consequences
- Connections: challenges Belief #5 speed assumptions, extends economies-of-edge claim to bear case, connects private credit to systemic fragility foundation

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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m3taversal 2026-03-05 23:12:19 +00:00
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@ -28,6 +28,7 @@ Relevant Notes:
- [[space governance gaps are widening not narrowing because technology advances exponentially while institutional design advances linearly]] -- space as the most dramatic current example of the tech-governance gap, where launch costs drop exponentially while institutional frameworks remain anchored to 1967 - [[space governance gaps are widening not narrowing because technology advances exponentially while institutional design advances linearly]] -- space as the most dramatic current example of the tech-governance gap, where launch costs drop exponentially while institutional frameworks remain anchored to 1967
- [[three types of organizational inertia -- routine cultural and proxy -- each resist adaptation through different mechanisms and require different remedies]] -- the linear evolution of coordination mechanisms is explained by the three inertia types: routines encode old coordination patterns, culture resists restructuring governance, and proxy measures protect existing institutional arrangements - [[three types of organizational inertia -- routine cultural and proxy -- each resist adaptation through different mechanisms and require different remedies]] -- the linear evolution of coordination mechanisms is explained by the three inertia types: routines encode old coordination patterns, culture resists restructuring governance, and proxy measures protect existing institutional arrangements
- [[AI labor displacement operates as a self-funding feedback loop because companies substitute AI for labor as OpEx not CapEx meaning falling aggregate demand does not slow AI adoption]] -- Citrini's "2028 Global Intelligence Crisis" (Feb 2026) argues AI capability is evolving faster than institutions can adapt, and "the policy response is moving at the pace of ideology, not reality." The financial system, labor market, mortgage market, and tax code were all designed for a world where human intelligence was scarce. The proposed Transition Economy Act and Shared AI Prosperity Act were bogged in partisan gridlock while the feedback loop accelerated — a vivid illustration of the capability-coordination gap in real-time economic policy
- [[organizational entropy means that without active maintenance all organizations drift toward incoherence as local accommodations accumulate]] -- coordination institutions suffer the same entropy as corporations: governance frameworks designed for one era accumulate accommodations until they no longer match the technology they are supposed to govern - [[organizational entropy means that without active maintenance all organizations drift toward incoherence as local accommodations accumulate]] -- coordination institutions suffer the same entropy as corporations: governance frameworks designed for one era accumulate accommodations until they no longer match the technology they are supposed to govern
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