diff --git a/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md b/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md index 8af1d150..6885caca 100644 --- a/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md +++ b/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md @@ -35,13 +35,19 @@ This was a play-money experiment, which is the primary confound. Real-money futa ORE's HNT-ORE boost proposal demonstrates futarchy's strength in relative selection: the market validated HNT as the next liquidity pair to boost relative to other candidates (ISC already had a boost at equivalent multiplier), but the proposal does not require absolute prediction of HNT's future price or utility—only that HNT is a better strategic choice than alternatives. The proposal passed by market consensus on relative positioning (HNT as flagship DePIN project post-HIP-138), not by predicting absolute HNT performance metrics. + +### Additional Evidence (confirm) +*Source: [[2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore]] | Added: 2026-03-16* + +ORE's three-tier boost multiplier system (vanilla stake, critical pairs, extended pairs) demonstrates futarchy's strength at relative ranking. The proposal doesn't require markets to predict absolute HNT-ORE liquidity outcomes, only to rank this boost against alternatives. Future proposals apply to tiers as wholes, further simplifying the ordinal comparison task. + --- Relevant Notes: -- [[MetaDAOs futarchy implementation shows limited trading volume in uncontested decisions.md]] -- [[speculative markets aggregate information through incentive and selection effects not wisdom of crowds.md]] -- [[optimal governance requires mixing mechanisms because different decisions have different manipulation risk profiles.md]] +- MetaDAOs futarchy implementation shows limited trading volume in uncontested decisions.md +- speculative markets aggregate information through incentive and selection effects not wisdom of crowds.md +- optimal governance requires mixing mechanisms because different decisions have different manipulation risk profiles.md Topics: -- [[domains/internet-finance/_map]] -- [[foundations/collective-intelligence/_map]] +- domains/internet-finance/_map +- foundations/collective-intelligence/_map diff --git a/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-markets-can-price-cultural-spending-proposals-by-treating-community-cohesion-and-brand-equity-as-token-price-inputs.md b/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-markets-can-price-cultural-spending-proposals-by-treating-community-cohesion-and-brand-equity-as-token-price-inputs.md index 32d93fa8..71fd0d93 100644 --- a/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-markets-can-price-cultural-spending-proposals-by-treating-community-cohesion-and-brand-equity-as-token-price-inputs.md +++ b/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-markets-can-price-cultural-spending-proposals-by-treating-community-cohesion-and-brand-equity-as-token-price-inputs.md @@ -28,10 +28,16 @@ The single data point is limited. One passed proposal doesn't establish a reliab ### Additional Evidence (extend) -*Source: [[2025-01-14-futardio-proposal-should-deans-list-dao-update-the-liquidity-fee-structure]] | Added: 2026-03-15* +*Source: 2025-01-14-futardio-proposal-should-deans-list-dao-update-the-liquidity-fee-structure | Added: 2026-03-15* Dean's List DAO's fee increase proposal included switching quote token from mSOL back to SOL, a decision with no direct revenue impact but potential effects on user experience and composability. The futarchy market approved this alongside the fee changes, suggesting it priced the operational simplification and ecosystem alignment as net positive for token value despite being a 'cultural' rather than purely financial decision. + +### Additional Evidence (extend) +*Source: [[2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore]] | Added: 2026-03-16* + +The HNT-ORE boost proposal frames strategic partnership value through liquidity network effects and brand positioning ('flagship DePIN project', 'competitive unit of account for real world assets'). Markets must price whether Helium association increases ORE's perceived legitimacy and network depth, demonstrating futarchy's ability to evaluate partnership proposals with significant intangible components. + --- Relevant Notes: diff --git a/inbox/archive/2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore.md b/inbox/archive/2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore.md index 6af98464..afc84f3c 100644 --- a/inbox/archive/2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore.md +++ b/inbox/archive/2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore.md @@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/2QUxbiMkDtoKxY2u6kXuevfMsqKGtHNxMFYHVWbqRK1 date: 2024-11-25 domain: internet-finance format: data -status: unprocessed +status: enrichment tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana, governance] event_type: proposal processed_by: rio @@ -14,6 +14,10 @@ processed_date: 2026-03-11 enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md"] extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5" extraction_notes: "Futardio proposal for ORE-HNT liquidity boost. Primary extraction: three new entities (ORE protocol, decision_market for the proposal, Helium). Two enrichments showing futarchy governance patterns: three-tier boost system as governance simplification mechanism, and strategic partnership evaluation through conditional markets. No novel claims — the proposal demonstrates existing futarchy mechanisms in practice rather than introducing new theoretical insights." +processed_by: rio +processed_date: 2026-03-16 +enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md", "futarchy-markets-can-price-cultural-spending-proposals-by-treating-community-cohesion-and-brand-equity-as-token-price-inputs.md"] +extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5" --- ## Proposal Details @@ -71,3 +75,12 @@ With the passing of this proposal, we would introduce a new boost with the same - HNT-ORE boost uses Kamino kTokens representing concentrated liquidity positions on Orca - ORE three-tier boost system: Tier 1 (vanilla stake), Tier 2 (SOL-ORE, USDC-ORE), Tier 3 (ISC-ORE, HNT-ORE) - Helium HIP-138 consolidated network tokenomics around HNT as primary token + + +## Key Facts +- ORE proposal 2QUxbiMkDtoKxY2u6kXuevfMsqKGtHNxMFYHVWbqRK1A passed 2024-11-28 +- HNT-ORE boost uses Kamino kTokens representing concentrated liquidity positions on Orca +- ORE three-tier boost system: Tier 1 (vanilla stake), Tier 2 (SOL-ORE, USDC-ORE), Tier 3 (ISC-ORE, HNT-ORE) +- Helium HIP-138 consolidated network tokenomics around HNT as primary token +- ORE's strategic goal is building deep liquidity network for all real world assets on Solana +- ORE focuses exclusively on tokenized commodities and DePIN credits