diff --git a/inbox/archive/2026-03-03-ranger-finance-liquidation-proposal.md b/inbox/archive/2026-03-03-ranger-finance-liquidation-proposal.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..89db0d7 --- /dev/null +++ b/inbox/archive/2026-03-03-ranger-finance-liquidation-proposal.md @@ -0,0 +1,65 @@ +--- +type: evidence +source: "https://www.metadao.fi/projects/ranger/proposal/DPATwR2HLcGZCBZCTffzagV4r7dp5FF2C9aJmiuCDUpS" +author: "Group of RNGR tokenholders" +date: 2026-03-03 +archived_by: rio +tags: [ranger, liquidation, futarchy, misrepresentation, unruggable-ICO, decision-market] +--- + +# Ranger Finance Liquidation Proposal — Full Text + +## Market Data (as of Mar 5 2026) + +- Total Volume: $581.04K +- Pass Likelihood: 97% +- Pass Price: $0.7440 (+0.32%) | Spot: $0.7416 | Fail Price: $0.6759 (-8.86%) +- Approve TWAP: $0.7278 | Reject TWAP: $0.6651 +- Passing at +9.4348% (threshold: +3%) + +## Summary + +This proposal nullifies a prior 90-day restriction on buybacks/liquidations and proposes full liquidation of Ranger Finance. Authored by a group of RNGR tokenholders alleging material misrepresentations. + +## Allegations + +At ICO time, Ranger was marketed as: +- A business with meaningful product-market fit +- A business with sustainable revenue generation and significant actual revenue +- A business primarily needing capital to scale + +Tokenholders allege this was misleading: +- Co-founder FA2 stated "we are close to doing $5 billion in volume this year" and showed "$2m revenue" on slides +- On-chain analysis shows 2025 volume was ~$2B (not $5B) and revenue was ~$500K (not $2M) +- Volume and revenue per day were down over 90% between ICO announcement (Nov 2025) and the presentation (Dec 2025) +- Co-founder Coby later claimed numbers were "projected" based on expectations for a "traditional ICO route" +- Multiple team members (Maker, Luke, FA2) communicated the $2M figure without correction +- Activity across perps and spot "declined to close to 0 following the ICO announcement" — indicating users were farmers, not organic + +## Proposed Liquidation Plan + +**Part 1: Return treasury funds to tokenholders** +- No further team spending from future allowances (existing $500K released allowances can be used) +- Snapshot of vested token balances 1 week after voting period +- Remove protocol-owned liquidity, add USDC to treasury +- Calculate book value per token +- Open redemption for tokenholders at book value +- Expected book value: $0.75 - $0.82 per token +- Expected eligible tokens: 5.8-6.4M (excluding unvested, locked, protocol-owned) +- Treasury USDC: ~$3.5M + $1.2-1.6M from LP removal +- After 18 months, MetaDAO team discretion on unclaimed USDC + +**Part 2: Return all other assets to Glint House PTE. LTD** +- IP, trademarks, domain names, source code, infrastructure return to original company +- Majority developed/acquired prior to ICO with seed investments + +## Rio's assessment + +- Watershed moment for the futarchy thesis: the "unruggable ICO" mechanism unrugging in production +- 97% pass likelihood with $581K volume = strong consensus with real capital, not thin market +- The mechanism is protecting investors FROM team extraction — inverse of the majority-theft protection +- Proposal nullifies its own prior 90-day restriction = futarchy can self-correct when evidence changes +- Clean separation: USDC to tokenholders, IP to original company — executable liquidation mechanism +- The specific misrepresentation evidence (screenshots, on-chain data, team quotes) is the kind of verifiable claim that makes futarchy governance credible +- New claim: futarchy-governed liquidation as enforcement for unruggable ICOs +- Enriches: decision markets, trustless joint ownership, MetaDAO platform analysis