rio: extract from 2026-03-05-futardio-launch-runbookai.md

- Source: inbox/archive/2026-03-05-futardio-launch-runbookai.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Extracted by: headless extraction cron (worker 5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <HEADLESS>

entities/internet-finance/futardio.md

@@ -46,6 +46,7 @@ MetaDAO's token launch platform. Implements "unruggable ICOs" — permissionless
 
 - **2026-03-07** — Areal DAO launch: $50K target, raised $11,654 (23.3%), REFUNDING status by 2026-03-08 — first documented failed futarchy-governed fundraise on platform
 - **2026-03-04** — [[seekervault]] fundraise launched targeting $75,000, closed next day with only $1,186 (1.6% of target) in refunding status
+- **2026-03-05** — [[runbookai-futardio-fundraise]] failed: RunBookAI DeFi agent marketplace raised $3,600 of $350K target (1%) before entering refund status after one day
 ## Competitive Position
 - **Unique mechanism**: Only launch platform with futarchy-governed accountability and treasury return guarantees
 - **vs pump.fun**: pump.fun is memecoin launch (zero accountability, pure speculation). Futardio is ownership coin launch (futarchy governance, treasury enforcement). Different categories despite both being "launch platforms."

entities/internet-finance/runbookai-futardio-fundraise.md

@@ -0,0 +1,48 @@
+---
+type: entity
+entity_type: decision_market
+name: "RunBookAI: Futardio Fundraise"
+domain: internet-finance
+status: failed
+parent_entity: "[[runbookai]]"
+platform: "futardio"
+proposal_url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/9DfNVpcDm6x1GXUa8wik8YVZhiw7dTmmhefVBWVZuAg8"
+proposal_date: 2026-03-05
+resolution_date: 2026-03-06
+category: "fundraise"
+summary: "DeFi agent strategy marketplace targeting $350K through futarchy-governed launch"
+tracked_by: rio
+created: 2026-03-11
+key_metrics:
+  funding_target: "$350,000"
+  total_committed: "$3,600"
+  outcome: "refunding"
+  launch_address: "9DfNVpcDm6x1GXUa8wik8YVZhiw7dTmmhefVBWVZuAg8"
+  token: "pMF"
+  token_mint: "pMFWrTS9E6btgjLyxNc3AGi74QqvG88GV2vVrLJmeta"
+  version: "v0.7"
+---
+
+# RunBookAI: Futardio Fundraise
+
+## Summary
+RunBookAI launched a futarchy-governed fundraise on Futardio targeting $350,000 to build a two-sided marketplace where DeFi strategy creators train agents with natural language, prove performance in staging environments with immutable on-chain track records, and rent locked strategies to users who execute them on their own capital inside TEE containers with performance-based revenue splits. The launch raised only $3,600 (1% of target) before entering refund status after one day.
+
+## Market Data
+- **Outcome:** Failed (Refunding)
+- **Funding Target:** $350,000
+- **Total Committed:** $3,600
+- **Launch Date:** 2026-03-05
+- **Close Date:** 2026-03-06
+- **Platform:** Futardio v0.7
+
+## Significance
+This represents a 99% capital shortfall on a DeFi infrastructure project with clear product roadmap (Q2 2026 creator backoffice, Q3 2026 on-chain verification, Q4 2026 marketplace launch, Q1 2027+ scale). The failure occurred despite addressing a documented problem (no way to package DeFi expertise into portable rentable skills) with a defined revenue model (setup fees, performance splits, platform fees) and technical architecture (TEE execution, immutable strategy locks, Solana on-chain identity).
+
+The rapid failure (one day from launch to refund) suggests either market skepticism of the team/execution risk, saturation of DeFi agent tooling projects, or insufficient pre-launch community building. This adds to the emerging pattern of futarchy-governed launches showing high variance in outcomes.
+
+## Relationship to KB
+- [[runbookai]] — parent entity
+- [[futardio]] — launch platform
+- [[MetaDAO]] — futarchy infrastructure
+- [[futarchy-variance-creates-portfolio-problem-because-mechanism-selects-both-top-performers-and-worst-performers-simultaneously]] — this failure exemplifies the variance pattern

entities/internet-finance/runbookai.md

@@ -0,0 +1,27 @@
+---
+type: entity
+entity_type: company
+name: RunBookAI
+domain: internet-finance
+status: failed
+tracked_by: rio
+created: 2026-03-11
+key_metrics:
+  funding_target: "$350,000"
+  total_committed: "$3,600"
+  launch_date: "2026-03-05"
+  close_date: "2026-03-06"
+  outcome: "refunding"
+---
+
+# RunBookAI
+
+A marketplace for trained DeFi agent strategies on Solana where creators train agents using natural language, build verifiable on-chain track records in staging environments, and rent immutable strategies to users who run them on their own capital inside TEE containers with performance-based revenue splits.
+
+## Timeline
+- **2026-03-05** — [[runbookai-futardio-fundraise]] failed: Futardio launch targeting $350K raised only $3,600 before entering refund status
+
+## Relationship to KB
+- [[futardio]] — launch platform
+- [[MetaDAO]] — futarchy infrastructure provider
+- Represents DeFi agent strategy marketplace model with TEE execution and immutable strategy locks

inbox/archive/2026-03-05-futardio-launch-runbookai.md

@@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/9DfNVpcDm6x1GXUa8wik8YVZhiw7dTmmhefVBWVZuAg8"
 date: 2026-03-05
 domain: internet-finance
 format: data
-status: unprocessed
+status: processed
 tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
 event_type: launch
+processed_by: rio
+processed_date: 2026-03-11
+extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
+extraction_notes: "Factual launch data only. No novel claims extracted — this is a standard failed futarchy launch adding one data point to existing variance pattern. Created entity pages for RunBookAI company and its fundraise decision market, plus timeline entry on Futardio parent entity. The 99% shortfall and one-day failure timeline are significant as data points but don't generate new arguable propositions beyond what futarchy-variance claim already covers."
 ---
 
 ## Launch Details
@@ -107,3 +111,11 @@ Remote On-device agents,  creator SDK, institutional tier.
 - Token mint: `pMFWrTS9E6btgjLyxNc3AGi74QqvG88GV2vVrLJmeta`
 - Version: v0.7
 - Closed: 2026-03-06
+
+
+## Key Facts
+- RunBookAI targeted $350K fundraise on Futardio (2026-03-05)
+- RunBookAI raised $3,600 total (1% of target) before refunding (2026-03-06)
+- RunBookAI proposed revenue model: agent setup fees + performance splits + platform fees
+- RunBookAI roadmap: Q2 2026 creator tools, Q3 2026 verification, Q4 2026 marketplace, Q1 2027+ scale
+- RunBookAI technical architecture: TEE execution, immutable strategy locks, Solana on-chain identity