Merge pull request 'rio: extract claims from 2026-03-03-futardio-launch-manna-finance' (#752) from extract/2026-03-03-futardio-launch-manna-finance into main

entities/internet-finance/manna-finance-futardio-fundraise.md

@@ -0,0 +1,46 @@
+---
+type: entity
+entity_type: decision_market
+name: "Manna Finance: Futardio Fundraise"
+domain: internet-finance
+status: failed
+parent_entity: "[[manna-finance]]"
+platform: "futardio"
+proposer: "Manna Finance team"
+proposal_url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/5whxoTjxW4oKeSN4C8yf5JUur7pcSChkPWgmhSZQ8oD5"
+proposal_date: 2026-03-03
+resolution_date: 2026-03-04
+category: "fundraise"
+summary: "Zero-interest CDP protocol on Solana seeking $120K for 12-month runway"
+tracked_by: rio
+created: 2026-03-11
+key_metrics:
+  raise_target: "$120,000"
+  total_committed: "$205"
+  outcome: "refunding"
+  duration: "1 day"
+  oversubscription_ratio: 0.0017
+---
+
+# Manna Finance: Futardio Fundraise
+
+## Summary
+Manna Finance attempted to raise $120,000 through Futardio to build a Liquity V1-style zero-interest CDP protocol on Solana. The fundraise sought 12 months of runway at $10,000/month burn rate, with funds allocated to smart contract audit ($15-25K), mainnet deployment, founder salary, and liquidity bootstrapping. The raise failed catastrophically, receiving only $205 in commitments (0.17% of target) before closing in refunding status after one day.
+
+## Market Data
+- **Outcome:** Failed (refunding)
+- **Raise Target:** $120,000
+- **Total Committed:** $205
+- **Duration:** 1 day (2026-03-03 to 2026-03-04)
+- **Oversubscription:** 0.17%
+
+## Significance
+This represents one of the most severe fundraise failures on Futardio's platform, with the raise attracting less than 0.2% of its target. The failure occurred despite detailed documentation including competitive analysis, roadmap, team structure, and go-to-market strategy. The project proposed MetaDAO futarchy governance from launch and positioned itself as the only zero-interest CDP on Solana, but failed to attract capital.
+
+The rapid closure (1 day) and refunding status suggests either lack of market interest in the CDP model on Solana, insufficient team credibility, or poor market timing. The project competed against established Solana stablecoins (USX, USDv, jupUSD, USDGO) with different mechanisms.
+
+## Relationship to KB
+- [[manna-finance]] — parent entity
+- [[futardio]] — fundraising platform
+- [[metadao]] — planned governance mechanism
+- Attempted implementation of [[futarchy-based fundraising creates regulatory separation because there are no beneficial owners and investment decisions emerge from market forces not centralized control]]

entities/internet-finance/manna-finance.md

@@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
+---
+type: entity
+entity_type: company
+name: "Manna Finance"
+domain: internet-finance
+status: failed
+founded: 2026
+platform: solana
+tracked_by: rio
+created: 2026-03-11
+key_metrics:
+  raise_target: "$120,000"
+  total_committed: "$205"
+  raise_outcome: "refunding"
+  launch_date: "2026-03-03"
+  close_date: "2026-03-04"
+---
+
+# Manna Finance
+
+Manna Finance is a zero-interest CDP (Collateralized Debt Position) protocol on Solana modeled after Liquity V1. Users deposit SOL as collateral to mint solUSD stablecoin with a one-time borrowing fee and no ongoing interest. The protocol maintains its peg through redemptions (solUSD exchangeable for $1 of SOL) and liquidations via a Stability Pool. Governance was planned via [[metadao]] futarchy from launch.
+
+The project attempted to raise $120,000 through [[futardio]] but received only $205 in commitments before entering refunding status after one day.
+
+## Timeline
+- **2026-03-03** — [[manna-finance-futardio-fundraise]] launched on Futardio seeking $120K for 12-month runway
+- **2026-03-04** — Fundraise closed in refunding status with $205 committed (0.17% of target)
+
+## Relationship to KB
+- [[futardio]] — fundraising platform
+- [[metadao]] — planned governance mechanism
+- Attempted to implement [[futarchy-based fundraising creates regulatory separation because there are no beneficial owners and investment decisions emerge from market forces not centralized control]]
+- Competed in market described by existing Solana stablecoin landscape (USX, USDv, jupUSD, USDGO)

inbox/archive/2026-03-03-futardio-launch-manna-finance.md

@@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/5whxoTjxW4oKeSN4C8yf5JUur7pcSChkPWgmhSZQ8oD5"
 date: 2026-03-03
 domain: internet-finance
 format: data
-status: unprocessed
+status: processed
 tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
 event_type: launch
+processed_by: rio
+processed_date: 2026-03-11
+extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
+extraction_notes: "Failed fundraise entity extraction. No novel claims about futarchy mechanisms or CDP economics — all information is factual (raise amounts, timeline, competitive positioning). The failure itself is a data point but doesn't constitute an arguable claim without broader pattern evidence. Created entity pages for Manna Finance and its fundraise decision market, updated Futardio timeline."
 ---
 
 ## Launch Details
@@ -186,3 +190,12 @@ We're not pitching to VCs. We're raising from the community that will use and go
 - Token mint: `DQuz3AeodGAoyXV5MG56F1ZqvgRpn1VhFwFskW6Jmeta`
 - Version: v0.7
 - Closed: 2026-03-04
+
+
+## Key Facts
+- Manna Finance raised $205 of $120,000 target (0.17% success rate) on Futardio (2026-03-03)
+- Manna proposed zero-interest CDP protocol on Solana with one-time 0.5% borrowing fee
+- Manna planned $10,000/month burn rate: 70% team, 10% infrastructure, 15% marketing, 5% security/legal
+- Manna competitive landscape: USX (Solstice), USDv (Solomon), jupUSD (Jupiter), USDGO (OSL)
+- Manna planned MetaDAO futarchy governance from launch
+- Fundraise closed in refunding status after 1 day (2026-03-04)