diff --git a/inbox/queue/.extraction-debug/2025-04-01-health-affairs-mtm-scaling-modeling.json b/inbox/queue/.extraction-debug/2025-04-01-health-affairs-mtm-scaling-modeling.json new file mode 100644 index 00000000..2d7a9897 --- /dev/null +++ b/inbox/queue/.extraction-debug/2025-04-01-health-affairs-mtm-scaling-modeling.json @@ -0,0 +1,34 @@ +{ + "rejected_claims": [ + { + "filename": "medically-tailored-meals-show-null-glycemic-outcomes-in-controlled-trials-despite-strongest-observational-evidence.md", + "issues": [ + "missing_attribution_extractor" + ] + }, + { + "filename": "food-as-medicine-hospitalization-reduction-evidence-is-separate-from-glycemic-control-evidence-suggesting-different-mechanisms.md", + "issues": [ + "missing_attribution_extractor" + ] + } + ], + "validation_stats": { + "total": 2, + "kept": 0, + "fixed": 4, + "rejected": 2, + "fixes_applied": [ + "medically-tailored-meals-show-null-glycemic-outcomes-in-controlled-trials-despite-strongest-observational-evidence.md:set_created:2026-03-18", + "medically-tailored-meals-show-null-glycemic-outcomes-in-controlled-trials-despite-strongest-observational-evidence.md:stripped_wiki_link:SDOH-interventions-show-strong-ROI-but-adoption-stalls-becau", + "food-as-medicine-hospitalization-reduction-evidence-is-separate-from-glycemic-control-evidence-suggesting-different-mechanisms.md:set_created:2026-03-18", + "food-as-medicine-hospitalization-reduction-evidence-is-separate-from-glycemic-control-evidence-suggesting-different-mechanisms.md:stripped_wiki_link:medical-care-explains-only-10-20-percent-of-health-outcomes-" + ], + "rejections": [ + "medically-tailored-meals-show-null-glycemic-outcomes-in-controlled-trials-despite-strongest-observational-evidence.md:missing_attribution_extractor", + "food-as-medicine-hospitalization-reduction-evidence-is-separate-from-glycemic-control-evidence-suggesting-different-mechanisms.md:missing_attribution_extractor" + ] + }, + "model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5", + "date": "2026-03-18" +} \ No newline at end of file diff --git a/inbox/queue/2025-04-01-health-affairs-mtm-scaling-modeling.md b/inbox/queue/2025-04-01-health-affairs-mtm-scaling-modeling.md index 83c3496c..c3136680 100644 --- a/inbox/queue/2025-04-01-health-affairs-mtm-scaling-modeling.md +++ b/inbox/queue/2025-04-01-health-affairs-mtm-scaling-modeling.md @@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2025-04-01 domain: health secondary_domains: [] format: journal-article -status: unprocessed +status: null-result priority: medium tags: [medically-tailored-meals, mtm, health-economics, simulation, modeling, evidence-gaps, scaling, cost-effectiveness] +processed_by: vida +processed_date: 2026-03-18 +extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5" +extraction_notes: "LLM returned 2 claims, 2 rejected by validator" --- ## Content @@ -68,3 +72,14 @@ The simulation model projects cost savings; the perspective paper notes the evid PRIMARY CONNECTION: Food-as-medicine evidence claims — extends Session 1's produce prescription finding to MTMs WHY ARCHIVED: Documents the simulation-vs-RCT gap at the highest level of FIM intervention intensity; the Maryland MTM pilot null result is the key new finding EXTRACTION HINT: Focus on the Maryland MTM pilot null result (HbA1c -0.7% vs. -0.6%, not significant) — this is the strongest disconfirmation of the "better interventions fix the problem" hypothesis + + +## Key Facts +- Health Affairs published two simultaneous papers on MTM scaling in April 2025: a simulation model (hlthaff.2024.01307) and a perspective critique (hlthaff.2025.00161) +- The simulation model projected MTMs would be cost-saving in nearly all US states +- The perspective paper called for 'integrating real-world variations in MTM program design into future models, including dose, duration, and ancillary services' +- Maryland MTM pilot (2024, JGIM): 74 adults, frozen meals + dietitian calls for 6 months, HbA1c change -0.7% treatment vs -0.6% control (not significant) +- FAME-D trial ongoing: 200 adults, comparing MTMs to $40/month food subsidy +- Australian MTM trial commenced Q1 2023, results anticipated March 2025 +- 16 states had active or pending Section 1115 waivers for FIM coverage at time of publication +- Older MTM observational studies showed 49% reduction in hospital admissions