rio: extract from 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-futarchy-arena.md

- Source: inbox/archive/2026-03-04-futardio-launch-futarchy-arena.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Extracted by: headless extraction cron (worker 3)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <HEADLESS>

entities/internet-finance/futarchy-arena.md

@@ -0,0 +1,35 @@
+---
+type: entity
+entity_type: company
+name: "Futarchy Arena"
+domain: internet-finance
+status: failed
+platform: "futardio"
+tracked_by: rio
+created: 2026-03-11
+key_metrics:
+  raise_target: "$50,000"
+  total_committed: "$934"
+  monthly_spending_cap: "$1,000"
+  launch_date: "2026-03-04"
+  close_date: "2026-03-05"
+  outcome: "refunding"
+---
+
+# Futarchy Arena
+
+## Overview
+
+Futarchy Arena is a competitive onchain futarchy game where players predict on strategic decisions rather than vote. Each round introduces a decision, opens YES/NO prediction markets, and resolves based on predefined metrics. The project attempted to raise $50,000 through Futardio but failed to reach its target, raising only $934 before entering refunding status.
+
+## Timeline
+
+- **2026-03-04** — Launched fundraise on Futardio with $50,000 target and $1,000 monthly spending cap
+- **2026-03-05** — Fundraise closed in refunding status with only $934 committed (1.9% of target)
+
+## Relationship to KB
+
+Futarchy Arena represents an attempt to gamify futarchy governance mechanisms through competitive prediction markets with leaderboards and seasonal competition. The project's failure to attract capital suggests limited market appetite for futarchy-as-game versus futarchy-as-governance, though the low raise amount makes it difficult to draw strong conclusions about the concept's viability.
+
+- [[futardio]] — launch platform
+- [[MetaDAO]] — futarchy implementation reference

entities/internet-finance/futardio.md

@@ -46,6 +46,7 @@ MetaDAO's token launch platform. Implements "unruggable ICOs" — permissionless
 
 - **2026-03-07** — Areal DAO launch: $50K target, raised $11,654 (23.3%), REFUNDING status by 2026-03-08 — first documented failed futarchy-governed fundraise on platform
 - **2026-03-04** — [[seekervault]] fundraise launched targeting $75,000, closed next day with only $1,186 (1.6% of target) in refunding status
+- **2026-03-04** — [[futarchy-arena]] launched fundraise for $50,000 to build competitive futarchy game; closed next day with only $934 raised (refunding)
 ## Competitive Position
 - **Unique mechanism**: Only launch platform with futarchy-governed accountability and treasury return guarantees
 - **vs pump.fun**: pump.fun is memecoin launch (zero accountability, pure speculation). Futardio is ownership coin launch (futarchy governance, treasury enforcement). Different categories despite both being "launch platforms."

inbox/archive/2026-03-04-futardio-launch-futarchy-arena.md

@@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/8UjuYsm1m8uNNVSeA1NSwvV6ch9G2QC14yKvpXjrRgw"
 date: 2026-03-04
 domain: internet-finance
 format: data
-status: unprocessed
+status: processed
 tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
 event_type: launch
+processed_by: rio
+processed_date: 2026-03-11
+extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
+extraction_notes: "Launch announcement for Futarchy Arena on Futardio. Project failed to reach funding threshold with only 1.9% of target raised. Created entity page for the project. No extractable claims — this is a failed launch with insufficient market validation to support generalizable propositions about futarchy-as-game mechanics. The concept (competitive futarchy with leaderboards) is interesting but untested given the fundraise failure."
 ---
 
 ## Launch Details
@@ -137,3 +141,9 @@ Futarchy Arena makes that measurable.
 - Token mint: `DXSunZYhvgwe78jVk2MKtjpEVzj7hcuAkfi79jxtmeta`
 - Version: v0.7
 - Closed: 2026-03-05
+
+
+## Key Facts
+- Futarchy Arena fundraise targeted $50,000 with $1,000 monthly spending cap (2026-03-04)
+- Futarchy Arena raised only $934 before entering refunding status (2026-03-05)
+- Futarchy Arena proposed competitive prediction markets with leaderboards tracking accuracy, profitability, and risk-adjusted returns