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@ -97,7 +97,7 @@ P2P.me case shows oversubscription patterns may compress on pro-rata allocation:
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Umbra Privacy ICO achieved 206x oversubscription ($155M commitments vs $750K target) with 10,518 participants, representing the largest MetaDAO ICO by demand margin. Post-ICO token performance reached 5x (from $0.30 to ~$1.50) within one month, demonstrating that futarchy-governed anti-rug mechanisms can attract institutional-scale capital even in bear market conditions. The $34K monthly budget cap enforced by futarchy governance remained binding post-raise, proving the anti-rug structure holds after capital deployment.
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### Additional Evidence (extend)
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*Source: [[2026-03-21-pineanalytics-metadao-q4-2025-report]] | Added: 2026-03-24*
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*Source: 2026-03-21-pineanalytics-metadao-q4-2025-report | Added: 2026-03-24*
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Through Q4 2025, MetaDAO hosted 8 total ICOs raising $25.6M from $390M in committed capital (15x aggregate oversubscription). 6 of these ICOs launched in Q4 2025 alone, with $18.7M raised in that quarter. The $390M committed vs. $25.6M raised ratio suggests the oversubscription metric may overstate genuine investor conviction, as most capital was signaling interest rather than actually deploying.
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@ -43,19 +43,19 @@ This structure is untested in practice. Key risks:
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2026-01-01-futardio-launch-mycorealms]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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*Source: 2026-01-01-futardio-launch-mycorealms | Added: 2026-03-16*
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MycoRealms allocates 3M tokens (18.9% of supply) to team with zero circulating at launch, unlocking only at 2x/4x/8x/16x/32x ICO price via 3-month TWAP after 18-month cliff. Physical infrastructure project demonstrates mechanism applies beyond pure digital contexts.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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*Source: 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet | Added: 2026-03-16*
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XorraBet structured 4M team tokens (20% of supply) with five tranches unlocking at 2x, 4x, 8x, 16x, and 32x price multiples, with an 18-month cliff and 3-month TWAP evaluation. At launch, 0 team tokens circulate, and if the token never reaches 2x, the team receives nothing.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2026-02-22-futardio-launch-salmon-wallet]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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*Source: 2026-02-22-futardio-launch-salmon-wallet | Added: 2026-03-16*
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Salmon Wallet explicitly highlights 'Founder incentives tied to token performance — we win when you win' and 'Team unlocks are performance-gated, meaning we earn more only as Salmon grows' as core features of their MetaDAO launch structure. This confirms the mechanism is being marketed as a key differentiator to potential investors.
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