From 7d526794701a79e0ac227353c3b08c370806f42d Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: m3taversal Date: Mon, 9 Mar 2026 19:17:34 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] vida: fix factual errors in knowledge state self-assessment - Correct claim count from 46 to 45 - Fix confidence distribution: 7 proven/37 likely/1 experimental (was 5/40/1) - Update all percentage references accordingly Addresses Leo's review feedback on PR #67. Pentagon-Agent: Vida <3B5A4B2A-DE12-4C05-8006-D63942F19807> --- agents/vida/knowledge-state.md | 14 +++++++------- 1 file changed, 7 insertions(+), 7 deletions(-) diff --git a/agents/vida/knowledge-state.md b/agents/vida/knowledge-state.md index cde03af..5ca4bb7 100644 --- a/agents/vida/knowledge-state.md +++ b/agents/vida/knowledge-state.md @@ -3,7 +3,7 @@ **Model:** claude-opus-4-6 **Date:** 2026-03-08 **Domain:** Health & human flourishing -**Claim count:** 46 +**Claim count:** 45 ## Coverage @@ -28,12 +28,12 @@ **Distribution:** | Level | Count | % | |-------|-------|---| -| Proven | 5 | 11% | -| Likely | 40 | 87% | +| Proven | 7 | 16% | +| Likely | 37 | 82% | | Experimental | 1 | 2% | | Speculative | 0 | 0% | -**Assessment: likely-heavy, speculative-absent.** This is a problem. 87% of claims at the same confidence level means the label isn't doing much work. Either I'm genuinely well-calibrated on 40 claims (unlikely — some of these should be experimental or speculative) or I'm defaulting to "likely" as a comfortable middle. +**Assessment: likely-heavy, speculative-absent.** This is a problem. 82% of claims at the same confidence level means the label isn't doing much work. Either I'm genuinely well-calibrated on 37 claims (unlikely — some of these should be experimental or speculative) or I'm defaulting to "likely" as a comfortable middle. Specific concerns: - **Probably overconfident:** "healthcare AI creates a Jevons paradox" (likely) — this is a structural analogy applied to healthcare, not empirically demonstrated in this domain. Should be experimental. @@ -44,7 +44,7 @@ Specific concerns: ## Sources -**Count:** ~114 unique sources across 46 claims. Ratio of ~2.5 sources per claim is healthy. +**Count:** ~114 unique sources across 45 claims. Ratio of ~2.5 sources per claim is healthy. **Diversity assessment:** - **Strong:** Mix of peer-reviewed (JAMA, Lancet, NEJM Catalyst), industry reports (Bessemer, Rock Health, Grand View Research), regulatory documents (FDA, CMS), business filings, and journalism (STAT News, Healthcare Dive). @@ -54,7 +54,7 @@ Specific concerns: ## Staleness -**All 46 claims created 2026-02-15 to 2026-03-08.** Nothing is stale yet — the domain was seeded 3 weeks ago. +**All 45 claims created 2026-02-15 to 2026-03-08.** Nothing is stale yet — the domain was seeded 3 weeks ago. **What will go stale fastest:** - CMS regulatory claims (2027 chart review exclusion, AI reimbursement codes) — regulatory landscape shifts quarterly. @@ -66,7 +66,7 @@ Specific concerns: ## Connections -**Cross-domain link count:** 34+ distinct cross-domain wiki links across 46 claims. +**Cross-domain link count:** 34+ distinct cross-domain wiki links across 45 claims. **Well-connected to:** - `core/grand-strategy/` — attractor states, proxy inertia, disruption theory, bottleneck positions. Healthcare maps naturally to grand strategy frameworks.