extract: 2026-03-21-metadao-meta036-hanson-futarchy-research

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>

decisions/internet-finance/metadao-meta036-hanson-futarchy-research.md

@@ -0,0 +1,59 @@
+# META-036: Fund Futarchy Applications Research — Robin Hanson at George Mason University
+
+**Proposed:** 2026-03-21  
+**Status:** Active (50% likelihood)  
+**Amount:** $80,007 USDC  
+**Duration:** 6 months  
+**Category:** Academic research grant
+
+## Summary
+
+MetaDAO proposal to fund the first rigorous experimental validation of futarchy decision-market governance at George Mason University, led by Dr. Robin Hanson (inventor of futarchy) and co-investigator Dr. Daniel Houser.
+
+## Scope
+
+- 500 student participants ($50 each) in controlled decision-making experiments
+- IRB-reviewed experimental protocols
+- Graduate research assistant for full academic year + summer
+- First systematic experimental evidence on information-aggregation efficiency of futarchy governance mechanisms
+
+## Budget Breakdown
+
+- Hanson summer salary: ~$30,000
+- Houser co-investigator: ~$6,000
+- Graduate research assistant: ~$19,000
+- Participant payments: $25,000
+- **Total:** $80,007 USDC
+
+## Disbursement Structure
+
+50/50 split:
+1. 50% on execution
+2. 50% on interim report delivery
+
+## Market Data (2026-03-21)
+
+- **Likelihood:** 50%
+- **Volume:** $42,160
+- **Pass token:** $3.4590 (+0.52%)
+- **Fail token:** $3.3242 (-3.40%)
+- **Time remaining:** ~2 days
+
+## Significance
+
+This represents the first academic research proposal to experimentally validate futarchy mechanisms in controlled settings. The engagement brings futarchy's inventor back to formally study the production implementations that have emerged since his original theoretical work.
+
+The 50% market likelihood suggests uncertainty about either:
+1. The value of academic validation versus continued production iteration
+2. Treasury allocation priorities at this stage of MetaDAO development
+3. Confidence in research deliverables justifying the cost
+
+## Proposers
+
+- m3taversal
+- metanallok
+
+## References
+
+- Proposal URL: https://www.metadao.fi/projects/metadao/proposal/Dt6QxTtaPz87oEK4m95ztP36wZCXA9LGLrJf1sDYAwxi
+- Tweet: @MetaDAOProject, 2026-03-21

inbox/queue/2026-03-21-metadao-meta036-hanson-futarchy-research.md

@@ -15,6 +15,10 @@ processed_date: 2026-03-21
 claims_extracted: []
 enrichments: []
 tags: [metadao, robin-hanson, futarchy, academic-research, gmu, decision-market]
+processed_by: rio
+processed_date: 2026-03-25
+extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
+extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
 ---
 
 ## Content
@@ -50,3 +54,17 @@ MetaDAO proposal META-036 requests $80,007 USDC to fund six-month academic resea
 ## Curator Notes
 PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[metadao-fund-futarchy-research-hanson-gmu]]
 WHY ARCHIVED: Live decision market for first academic validation of futarchy mechanism. Decision record created.
+
+
+## Key Facts
+- META-036 requests $80,007 USDC for six-month GMU research
+- Study will involve 500 student participants at $50 each
+- Robin Hanson summer salary budgeted at ~$30K
+- Daniel Houser co-investigator budgeted at ~$6K
+- Graduate research assistant budgeted at ~$19K
+- Participant payments total $25K
+- Disbursement is 50/50 split on execution and interim report
+- Market at 50% likelihood with $42.16K volume as of 2026-03-21
+- Pass token at $3.4590 (+0.52%), Fail token at $3.3242 (-3.40%)
+- Approximately 2 days remaining on decision market
+- Proposed by m3taversal and metanallok