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extract: 2026-03-18-clps-lunar-landing-reliability-2024-2025

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inbox/archive/.extraction-debug/2026-03-18-clps-lunar-landing-reliability-2024-2025.json Normal file
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inbox/archive/2026-03-18-clps-lunar-landing-reliability-2024-2025.md
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@ -7,10 +7,13 @@ date: 2026-03-18
domain: space-development
secondary_domains: []
format: report
status: unprocessed
status: enrichment
priority: high
triage_tag: claim
tags: [CLPS, lunar-landing, reliability, commercial-space, moon]
processed_by: astra
processed_date: 2026-03-18
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
---
## Content
@ -41,3 +44,11 @@ Comprehensive track record of NASA CLPS commercial lunar landing attempts throug
## Curator Notes
PRIMARY CONNECTION: the 30-year space economy attractor state is a cislunar industrial system with propellant networks lunar ISRU orbital manufacturing and partial life support closure
WHY ARCHIVED: Landing reliability data challenges the assumption that the ISRU pathway is gated primarily by technology readiness or launch cost — the landers themselves are the bottleneck
## Key Facts
- NASA pre-CLPS program estimate was 50% success rate (Thomas Zurbuchen)
- CLPS track record through mid-2025: 1/5 clean success (20%), 2/5 partial (tipped landers, 40%), 2/5 failed (40%)
- Blue Ghost M1 operated 14 days on surface + 5 hours into lunar night, longest commercial lunar operations
- IM-2 landed in shadowed crater at -173°C at Mons Mouton (south pole)
- ispace M2 failure was specifically Laser Range Finder hardware anomaly, not software or propulsion