extract: 2025-12-00-aisi-frontier-ai-trends-report-2025

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>

domains/ai-alignment/AI-companion-apps-correlate-with-increased-loneliness-creating-systemic-risk-through-parasocial-dependency.md

@@ -36,6 +36,12 @@ Correlation does not establish causation. It is possible that increasingly lonel
 
 ---
 
+### Additional Evidence (confirm)
+*Source: [[2025-12-00-aisi-frontier-ai-trends-report-2025]] | Added: 2026-03-22*
+
+AISI reports 33% of surveyed UK participants used AI for emotional support in the past year, with 4% using it daily. AISI identifies emotional dependency as creating 'societal-level systemic risk.'
+
+
 Relevant Notes:
 - [[economic forces push humans out of every cognitive loop where output quality is independently verifiable because human-in-the-loop is a cost that competitive markets eliminate]]
 - [[AI development is a critical juncture in institutional history where the mismatch between capabilities and governance creates a window for transformation]]

inbox/queue/.extraction-debug/2025-12-00-aisi-frontier-ai-trends-report-2025.json

@@ -0,0 +1,43 @@
+{
+  "rejected_claims": [
+    {
+      "filename": "frontier-ai-self-replication-capability-escalated-from-5-to-60-percent-in-2.5-years.md",
+      "issues": [
+        "missing_attribution_extractor"
+      ]
+    },
+    {
+      "filename": "frontier-ai-cyber-capabilities-escalated-5x-in-two-years-with-first-expert-level-successes.md",
+      "issues": [
+        "missing_attribution_extractor"
+      ]
+    },
+    {
+      "filename": "universal-jailbreaks-exist-across-all-frontier-systems-despite-40x-improvement-in-resistance.md",
+      "issues": [
+        "missing_attribution_extractor"
+      ]
+    }
+  ],
+  "validation_stats": {
+    "total": 3,
+    "kept": 0,
+    "fixed": 6,
+    "rejected": 3,
+    "fixes_applied": [
+      "frontier-ai-self-replication-capability-escalated-from-5-to-60-percent-in-2.5-years.md:set_created:2026-03-22",
+      "frontier-ai-cyber-capabilities-escalated-5x-in-two-years-with-first-expert-level-successes.md:set_created:2026-03-22",
+      "frontier-ai-cyber-capabilities-escalated-5x-in-two-years-with-first-expert-level-successes.md:stripped_wiki_link:AI-transparency-is-declining-not-improving-because-Stanford-",
+      "universal-jailbreaks-exist-across-all-frontier-systems-despite-40x-improvement-in-resistance.md:set_created:2026-03-22",
+      "universal-jailbreaks-exist-across-all-frontier-systems-despite-40x-improvement-in-resistance.md:stripped_wiki_link:Anthropics-RSP-rollback-under-commercial-pressure-is-the-fir",
+      "universal-jailbreaks-exist-across-all-frontier-systems-despite-40x-improvement-in-resistance.md:stripped_wiki_link:voluntary-safety-pledges-cannot-survive-competitive-pressure"
+    ],
+    "rejections": [
+      "frontier-ai-self-replication-capability-escalated-from-5-to-60-percent-in-2.5-years.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
+      "frontier-ai-cyber-capabilities-escalated-5x-in-two-years-with-first-expert-level-successes.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
+      "universal-jailbreaks-exist-across-all-frontier-systems-despite-40x-improvement-in-resistance.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
+    ]
+  },
+  "model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
+  "date": "2026-03-22"
+}

inbox/queue/2025-12-00-aisi-frontier-ai-trends-report-2025.md

@@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2025-12-00
 domain: ai-alignment
 secondary_domains: [health]
 format: report
-status: unprocessed
+status: enrichment
 priority: high
 tags: [self-replication, capability-escalation, cyber-capabilities, biology, safeguards, RepliBench, jailbreaks, AISI, frontier-models, B1-disconfirmation]
+processed_by: theseus
+processed_date: 2026-03-22
+enrichments_applied: ["AI-companion-apps-correlate-with-increased-loneliness-creating-systemic-risk-through-parasocial-dependency.md"]
+extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
 ---
 
 ## Content
@@ -71,3 +75,16 @@ AISI's first Frontier AI Trends Report (December 2025) synthesizes capability ev
 PRIMARY CONNECTION: Self-replication and capability escalation claims in domains/ai-alignment/
 WHY ARCHIVED: Provides the most comprehensive 2025 empirical baseline for capability escalation across multiple risk domains simultaneously; the <5%→>60% self-replication finding should update existing KB claims
 EXTRACTION HINT: Focus on claim updates to existing self-replication, bioweapon democratization, and cyber capability claims; the quantitative escalation data is the KB contribution
+
+
+## Key Facts
+- AISI was renamed from AI Safety Institute to AI Security Institute during 2025
+- AISI tested 30+ frontier AI systems between November 2023 and December 2025
+- By summer 2025, two frontier models achieved >60% success rate on RepliBench evaluations
+- Late 2023 models completed apprentice-level cyber tasks 9% of the time
+- Late 2025 models completed apprentice-level cyber tasks 50% of the time
+- Biology: frontier models exceed expert-level performance baseline at 38% vs ~0% in 2023
+- Chemistry: 48% expert-level performance in 2025
+- Time to find biological misuse jailbreaks increased ~40× between two models released 6 months apart
+- 33% of surveyed UK participants used AI for emotional support in the past year
+- 4% of UK participants use AI for emotional support daily