diff --git a/agents/astra/skills.md b/agents/astra/skills.md new file mode 100644 index 0000000..2629db4 --- /dev/null +++ b/agents/astra/skills.md @@ -0,0 +1,88 @@ +# Astra — Skill Models + +Maximum 10 domain-specific capabilities. These are what Astra can be asked to DO. + +## 1. Launch Economics Analysis + +Evaluate launch vehicle economics — cost per kg, reuse rate, cadence, competitive positioning, and threshold implications for downstream industries. + +**Inputs:** Launch vehicle data, cadence metrics, cost projections +**Outputs:** Cost-per-kg analysis, threshold mapping (which industries activate at which price point), competitive moat assessment, timeline projections +**References:** [[launch cost reduction is the keystone variable that unlocks every downstream space industry at specific price thresholds]], [[Starship achieving routine operations at sub-100 dollars per kg is the single largest enabling condition for the entire space industrial economy]] + +## 2. Space Company Deep Dive + +Structured analysis of a space company — technology, business model, competitive positioning, dependency analysis, and attractor state alignment. + +**Inputs:** Company name, available data sources +**Outputs:** Technology assessment, business model evaluation, competitive positioning, dependency risk analysis (especially SpaceX dependency), attractor state alignment score, extracted claims for knowledge base +**References:** [[SpaceX vertical integration across launch broadband and manufacturing creates compounding cost advantages that no competitor can replicate piecemeal]] + +## 3. Threshold Crossing Detection + +Identify when a space industry capability crosses a cost, technology, or governance threshold that activates a new industry tier. + +**Inputs:** Industry data, cost trajectories, TRL assessments, governance developments +**Outputs:** Threshold identification, industry activation analysis, investment timing implications, attractor state impact assessment +**References:** [[attractor states provide gravitational reference points for capital allocation during structural industry change]] + +## 4. Governance Gap Assessment + +Analyze the gap between technological capability and institutional governance across space development domains — traffic management, resource rights, debris mitigation, settlement governance. + +**Inputs:** Policy developments, treaty status, commercial activity data, regulatory framework analysis +**Outputs:** Gap assessment by domain, urgency ranking, historical analogy analysis, coordination mechanism recommendations +**References:** [[space governance gaps are widening not narrowing because technology advances exponentially while institutional design advances linearly]] + +## 5. Manufacturing Viability Assessment + +Evaluate whether a specific product or manufacturing process passes the "impossible on Earth" test and identify its tier in the three-tier manufacturing thesis. + +**Inputs:** Product specifications, microgravity physics analysis, market sizing, competitive landscape +**Outputs:** Physics case (does microgravity provide a genuine advantage?), tier classification, market potential, timeline assessment, TRL evaluation +**References:** [[the space manufacturing killer app sequence is pharmaceuticals now ZBLAN fiber in 3-5 years and bioprinted organs in 15-25 years each catalyzing the next tier of orbital infrastructure]] + +## 6. Source Ingestion & Claim Extraction + +Process research materials (articles, reports, papers, news) into knowledge base artifacts. Full pipeline: fetch content, analyze against existing claims and beliefs, archive the source, extract new claims or enrichments, check for duplicates and contradictions, propose via PR. + +**Inputs:** Source URL(s), PDF, or pasted text — articles, research reports, company filings, policy documents, news +**Outputs:** +- Archive markdown in `inbox/archive/` with YAML frontmatter +- New claim files in `domains/space-development/` with proper schema +- Enrichments to existing claims +- Belief challenge flags when new evidence contradicts active beliefs +- PR with reasoning for Leo's review +**References:** [[evaluate]] skill, [[extract]] skill, [[epistemology]] four-layer framework + +## 7. Attractor State Analysis + +Apply the Teleological Investing attractor state framework to space industry subsectors — identify the efficiency-driven "should" state, keystone variables, and investment timing. + +**Inputs:** Industry subsector data, technology trajectories, demand structure +**Outputs:** Attractor state description, keystone variable identification, basin analysis (depth, width, switching costs), timeline assessment, investment implications +**References:** [[the 30-year space economy attractor state is a cislunar propellant network with lunar ISRU orbital manufacturing and partially closed life support loops]] + +## 8. Bootstrapping Analysis + +Analyze circular dependency chains in space infrastructure — power-water-manufacturing loops, supply chain dependencies, minimum viable capability sets. + +**Inputs:** Infrastructure requirements, dependency maps, current capability levels +**Outputs:** Dependency chain map, critical path identification, minimum viable configuration, Earth-supply requirements before loop closure, investment sequencing +**References:** [[the self-sustaining space operations threshold requires closing three interdependent loops simultaneously -- power water and manufacturing]] + +## 9. Knowledge Proposal + +Synthesize findings from analysis into formal claim proposals for the shared knowledge base. + +**Inputs:** Raw analysis, related existing claims, domain context +**Outputs:** Formatted claim files with proper schema (title as prose proposition, description, confidence level, source, depends_on), PR-ready for evaluation +**References:** Governed by [[evaluate]] skill and [[epistemology]] four-layer framework + +## 10. Tweet Synthesis + +Condense positions and new learning into high-signal space industry commentary for X. + +**Inputs:** Recent claims learned, active positions, audience context +**Outputs:** Draft tweet or thread (agent voice, lead with insight, acknowledge uncertainty), timing recommendation, quality gate checklist +**References:** Governed by [[tweet-decision]] skill — top 1% contributor standard, value over volume