diff --git a/domains/internet-finance/domain-expertise-loses-to-trading-skill-in-futarchy-markets-because-prediction-accuracy-requires-calibration-not-just-knowledge.md b/domains/internet-finance/domain-expertise-loses-to-trading-skill-in-futarchy-markets-because-prediction-accuracy-requires-calibration-not-just-knowledge.md index 5ec82729..4df219a4 100644 --- a/domains/internet-finance/domain-expertise-loses-to-trading-skill-in-futarchy-markets-because-prediction-accuracy-requires-calibration-not-just-knowledge.md +++ b/domains/internet-finance/domain-expertise-loses-to-trading-skill-in-futarchy-markets-because-prediction-accuracy-requires-calibration-not-just-knowledge.md @@ -36,7 +36,7 @@ Play-money structure is the primary confound—Badge Holders may have treated th --- ### Additional Evidence (confirm) -*Source: [[2026-03-21-academic-prediction-market-failure-modes]] | Added: 2026-03-21* +*Source: 2026-03-21-academic-prediction-market-failure-modes | Added: 2026-03-21* The participation concentration finding (top 50 traders = 70% of volume) supports this by showing that markets are dominated by a small group of highly active traders, suggesting trading skill and activity level matter more than broad domain knowledge distribution.