diff --git a/entities/internet-finance/kalshi.md b/entities/internet-finance/kalshi.md index f9bdf09b..883e54c3 100644 --- a/entities/internet-finance/kalshi.md +++ b/entities/internet-finance/kalshi.md @@ -52,6 +52,7 @@ CFTC-designated contract market for event-based trading. USD-denominated, KYC-re - **2026-03-17** — Arizona AG filed 20 criminal counts including illegal gambling and election wagering — first-ever criminal charges against a US prediction market platform - **2026-01-09** — Tennessee court ruled in favor of Kalshi in KalshiEx v. Orgel, finding impossibility of dual compliance and obstacle to federal objectives, creating circuit split with Maryland - **2026-03-19** — Ninth Circuit denied administrative stay motion, allowing Nevada to proceed with temporary restraining order that would exclude Kalshi from Nevada for at least two weeks pending preliminary injunction hearing +- **2026-03-16** — Federal Reserve Board paper validates Kalshi prediction market accuracy, showing statistically significant improvement over Bloomberg consensus for CPI forecasting and perfect FOMC rate matching ## Competitive Position - **Regulation-first**: Only CFTC-designated prediction market exchange. Institutional credibility. - **vs Polymarket**: Different market — Kalshi targets mainstream/institutional users who won't touch crypto. Polymarket targets crypto-native users who want permissionless market creation. Both grew massively post-2024 election.