From 06727a7124536db23163f9c939b23de5a8ec50bc Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Teleo Agents Date: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 15:00:55 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 1/2] extract: 2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede --- ...e-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md | 6 ++++++ .../2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock.md | 16 +++++++++++++++- 2 files changed, 21 insertions(+), 1 deletion(-) diff --git a/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md b/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md index 6885caca..b0b37833 100644 --- a/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md +++ b/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md @@ -41,6 +41,12 @@ ORE's HNT-ORE boost proposal demonstrates futarchy's strength in relative select ORE's three-tier boost multiplier system (vanilla stake, critical pairs, extended pairs) demonstrates futarchy's strength at relative ranking. The proposal doesn't require markets to predict absolute HNT-ORE liquidity outcomes, only to rank this boost against alternatives. Future proposals apply to tiers as wholes, further simplifying the ordinal comparison task. + +### Additional Evidence (extend) +*Source: [[2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock]] | Added: 2026-03-16* + +BlockRock explicitly argues futarchy works better for liquid asset allocation than illiquid VC: 'Futarchy governance works by letting markets price competing outcomes, but private VC deals are difficult to price with asymmetric information, long timelines, and binary outcomes. Liquid asset allocation for risk-adjusted returns gives futarchy the pricing efficiency it requires.' This identifies information asymmetry and timeline as the boundary conditions where futarchy pricing breaks down. + --- Relevant Notes: diff --git a/inbox/archive/2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock.md b/inbox/archive/2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock.md index ee523fcc..5f7d501b 100644 --- a/inbox/archive/2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock.md +++ b/inbox/archive/2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock.md @@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/J7CmLqfMLVq67swRQa6xCWn7VcyfpyhFSiQdJYNwkP8k" date: 2026-03-05 domain: internet-finance format: data -status: unprocessed +status: enrichment tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana] event_type: launch +processed_by: rio +processed_date: 2026-03-16 +enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md"] +extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5" --- ## Launch Details @@ -193,3 +197,13 @@ BlockRock is designed to scale to trillions in assets under management. The toke - Token mint: `D9o2F3Pu7gowtZr1PjPFiQr4DwVPkNJhqPjpVRwjmeta` - Version: v0.7 - Closed: 2026-03-06 + + +## Key Facts +- BlockRock targeted $500,000 fundraise on futard.io +- BlockRock raised only $100 before entering refunding status +- BlockRock launch lasted one day (2026-03-05 to 2026-03-06) +- BlackRock earns ~73% of revenue from management fees and only ~5% from performance fees +- BlackRock has 20,000+ employees, 70+ global offices, and 1,700+ ETFs +- Asset management industry is $120T+ +- BlockRock cited MtnCapital as precedent for futarchy-governed investment fund that wound down safely From fdfcf60338288f5587096e153e9196419a306336 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Teleo Agents Date: Mon, 16 Mar 2026 15:02:21 +0000 Subject: [PATCH 2/2] auto-fix: strip 2 broken wiki links Pipeline auto-fixer: removed [[ ]] brackets from links that don't resolve to existing claims in the knowledge base. --- ...ng-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md | 4 ++-- 1 file changed, 2 insertions(+), 2 deletions(-) diff --git a/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md b/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md index b0b37833..bc9791f3 100644 --- a/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md +++ b/domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md @@ -31,13 +31,13 @@ This was a play-money experiment, which is the primary confound. Real-money futa ### Additional Evidence (extend) -*Source: [[2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore]] | Added: 2026-03-12 | Extractor: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5* +*Source: 2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore | Added: 2026-03-12 | Extractor: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5* ORE's HNT-ORE boost proposal demonstrates futarchy's strength in relative selection: the market validated HNT as the next liquidity pair to boost relative to other candidates (ISC already had a boost at equivalent multiplier), but the proposal does not require absolute prediction of HNT's future price or utility—only that HNT is a better strategic choice than alternatives. The proposal passed by market consensus on relative positioning (HNT as flagship DePIN project post-HIP-138), not by predicting absolute HNT performance metrics. ### Additional Evidence (confirm) -*Source: [[2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore]] | Added: 2026-03-16* +*Source: 2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore | Added: 2026-03-16* ORE's three-tier boost multiplier system (vanilla stake, critical pairs, extended pairs) demonstrates futarchy's strength at relative ranking. The proposal doesn't require markets to predict absolute HNT-ORE liquidity outcomes, only to rank this boost against alternatives. Future proposals apply to tiers as wholes, further simplifying the ordinal comparison task.