Merge remote-tracking branch 'forgejo/extract/2026-03-26-tg-shared-jussy-world-2037178019631259903-s-46'
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@ -93,6 +93,12 @@ Polymarket CFTC approval occurred in 2025 via QCX acquisition with $112M valuati
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Polymarket reportedly seeking $20 billion valuation as of March 7, 2026, with confirmed token and airdrop plans. This represents significant institutional validation of the prediction market model beyond just regulatory legitimacy.
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Polymarket reportedly seeking $20 billion valuation as of March 7, 2026, with confirmed token and airdrop plans. This represents significant institutional validation of the prediction market model beyond just regulatory legitimacy.
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### Additional Evidence (extend)
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*Source: [[2026-03-26-tg-shared-jussy-world-2037178019631259903-s-46]] | Added: 2026-03-26*
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Polymarket's projected 30-day revenue jumped from $4.26M to $172M through fee expansion from ~0.02% to ~0.80% across Finance, Politics, Economics, Sports categories. At $172M monthly revenue, Polymarket matches Kalshi's $110M/month while trading at $15.77B vs Kalshi's $18.6B pre-IPO valuation, demonstrating that prediction market revenue scales with fee structure expansion across diverse market categories.
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@ -56,6 +56,12 @@ Kalshi raised at $22 billion valuation on March 19, 2026, just 12 days after Pol
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Polymarket projected $172M/month revenue with $15.77B valuation versus Kalshi $110M/month with $18.6B pre-IPO valuation. Both platforms operating at similar scale with different regulatory approaches (Polymarket via QCX acquisition, Kalshi as CFTC-regulated exchange).
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Polymarket projected $172M/month revenue with $15.77B valuation versus Kalshi $110M/month with $18.6B pre-IPO valuation. Both platforms operating at similar scale with different regulatory approaches (Polymarket via QCX acquisition, Kalshi as CFTC-regulated exchange).
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2026-03-26-tg-shared-jussy-world-2037178019631259903-s-46]] | Added: 2026-03-26*
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Polymarket at $172M projected monthly revenue vs Kalshi at $110M/month shows Polymarket overtaking Kalshi in revenue scale while maintaining comparable valuation ($15.77B vs $18.6B), confirming the duopoly structure with Polymarket gaining market share through broader category expansion.
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Relevant Notes:
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -7,10 +7,14 @@ url: "https://x.com/jussy_world/status/2037178019631259903?s=46"
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date: 2026-03-26
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date: 2026-03-26
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domain: internet-finance
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domain: internet-finance
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format: social-media
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format: social-media
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status: unprocessed
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status: enrichment
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proposed_by: "@m3taversal"
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proposed_by: "@m3taversal"
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contribution_type: source-submission
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contribution_type: source-submission
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tags: ['telegram-shared', 'x-tweet', 'market-analysis', 'crypto-infra']
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tags: ['telegram-shared', 'x-tweet', 'market-analysis', 'crypto-infra']
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processed_by: rio
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processed_date: 2026-03-26
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enrichments_applied: ["polymarket-achieved-us-regulatory-legitimacy-through-qcx-acquisition-establishing-prediction-markets-as-cftc-regulated-derivatives.md", "polymarket-kalshi-duopoly-emerging-as-dominant-us-prediction-market-structure-with-complementary-regulatory-models.md"]
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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---
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---
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# @jussy_world — Tweet/Thread
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# @jussy_world — Tweet/Thread
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@ -30,3 +34,12 @@ Note: That's assuming if volume holds but even at half, the gap to Kalshi's
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valuation looks interesting
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valuation looks interesting
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Based on fees expanding from ~0.02% to ~0.80% across Finance, Politics, Economics, Sports and more
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Based on fees expanding from ~0.02% to ~0.80% across Finance, Politics, Economics, Sports and more
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## Key Facts
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- Polymarket projected 30-day revenue: $4.26M → $172M (March 2026)
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- Polymarket fee structure expanded from ~0.02% to ~0.80%
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- Polymarket valuation: $15.77B
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- Kalshi monthly revenue: $110M
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- Kalshi pre-IPO valuation: $18.6B
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- Polymarket expanded into Finance, Politics, Economics, Sports categories
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