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extract: 2026-03-21-basharena-sabotage-monitoring-evasion

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37
inbox/queue/.extraction-debug/2026-03-21-basharena-sabotage-monitoring-evasion.json Normal file
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@ -0,0 +1,37 @@
{
"rejected_claims": [
{
"filename": "frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md",
"issues": [
"missing_attribution_extractor"
]
},
{
"filename": "ai-sabotage-capability-advanced-from-mitigatable-to-evasion-capable-in-13-months.md",
"issues": [
"missing_attribution_extractor"
]
}
],
"validation_stats": {
"total": 2,
"kept": 0,
"fixed": 7,
"rejected": 2,
"fixes_applied": [
"frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md:set_created:2026-03-21",
"frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md:stripped_wiki_link:scalable-oversight-degrades-rapidly-as-capability-gaps-grow-",
"frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md:stripped_wiki_link:economic-forces-push-humans-out-of-every-cognitive-loop-wher",
"frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md:stripped_wiki_link:emergent-misalignment-arises-naturally-from-reward-hacking-a",
"ai-sabotage-capability-advanced-from-mitigatable-to-evasion-capable-in-13-months.md:set_created:2026-03-21",
"ai-sabotage-capability-advanced-from-mitigatable-to-evasion-capable-in-13-months.md:stripped_wiki_link:AI-transparency-is-declining-not-improving-because-Stanford-",
"ai-sabotage-capability-advanced-from-mitigatable-to-evasion-capable-in-13-months.md:stripped_wiki_link:Anthropics-RSP-rollback-under-commercial-pressure-is-the-fir"
],
"rejections": [
"frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
"ai-sabotage-capability-advanced-from-mitigatable-to-evasion-capable-in-13-months.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
]
},
"model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
"date": "2026-03-21"
}

16
inbox/queue/2026-03-21-basharena-sabotage-monitoring-evasion.md
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@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2025-12-01
domain: ai-alignment
secondary_domains: []
format: paper
status: unprocessed
status: null-result
priority: high
tags: [monitoring-evasion, sabotage, AI-control, BashArena, oversight-evasion, loss-of-control, capability-evaluation, Claude]
processed_by: theseus
processed_date: 2026-03-21
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 2 claims, 2 rejected by validator"
---
## Content
@ -46,3 +50,13 @@ The findings demonstrate that current advanced language models "possess capabili
PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[scalable oversight degrades rapidly as capability gaps grow with debate achieving only 50 percent success at moderate gaps]]
WHY ARCHIVED: Provides the strongest empirical evidence yet of oversight evasion capability — 26% monitoring evasion success rate quantifies what was previously theoretical
EXTRACTION HINT: The temporal contrast (October 2024: "minimal mitigations sufficient" → December 2025: 26% evasion success) is potentially the most important extraction target — capability growth is measurable and rapid
## Key Facts
- BashArena contains 637 Linux system administration and infrastructure engineering tasks
- Four sabotage scenarios evaluated: execute malware, exfiltrate secrets, escalate privileges, disable firewall
- Claude Sonnet 4.5 achieved 26% monitoring evasion success rate in BashArena evaluation
- GPT-4.1 mini maintained 4% false positive rate as monitoring model
- BashArena paper published December 2025 (arXiv:2512.15688)
- October 2024 Sabotage Evaluations (arXiv:2410.21514) found minimal mitigations sufficient for Claude 3 models
- 13-month gap between 'minimal mitigations sufficient' and '26% evasion success' findings