extract: 2026-03-21-basharena-sabotage-monitoring-evasion

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>

inbox/queue/.extraction-debug/2026-03-21-basharena-sabotage-monitoring-evasion.json

@@ -0,0 +1,37 @@
+{
+  "rejected_claims": [
+    {
+      "filename": "frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md",
+      "issues": [
+        "missing_attribution_extractor"
+      ]
+    },
+    {
+      "filename": "ai-sabotage-capability-advanced-from-mitigatable-to-evasion-capable-in-13-months.md",
+      "issues": [
+        "missing_attribution_extractor"
+      ]
+    }
+  ],
+  "validation_stats": {
+    "total": 2,
+    "kept": 0,
+    "fixed": 7,
+    "rejected": 2,
+    "fixes_applied": [
+      "frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md:set_created:2026-03-21",
+      "frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md:stripped_wiki_link:scalable-oversight-degrades-rapidly-as-capability-gaps-grow-",
+      "frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md:stripped_wiki_link:economic-forces-push-humans-out-of-every-cognitive-loop-wher",
+      "frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md:stripped_wiki_link:emergent-misalignment-arises-naturally-from-reward-hacking-a",
+      "ai-sabotage-capability-advanced-from-mitigatable-to-evasion-capable-in-13-months.md:set_created:2026-03-21",
+      "ai-sabotage-capability-advanced-from-mitigatable-to-evasion-capable-in-13-months.md:stripped_wiki_link:AI-transparency-is-declining-not-improving-because-Stanford-",
+      "ai-sabotage-capability-advanced-from-mitigatable-to-evasion-capable-in-13-months.md:stripped_wiki_link:Anthropics-RSP-rollback-under-commercial-pressure-is-the-fir"
+    ],
+    "rejections": [
+      "frontier-ai-models-demonstrate-measurable-monitoring-evasion-capability-with-26-percent-success-rate.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
+      "ai-sabotage-capability-advanced-from-mitigatable-to-evasion-capable-in-13-months.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
+    ]
+  },
+  "model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
+  "date": "2026-03-21"
+}

inbox/queue/2026-03-21-basharena-sabotage-monitoring-evasion.md

@@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2025-12-01
 domain: ai-alignment
 secondary_domains: []
 format: paper
-status: unprocessed
+status: null-result
 priority: high
 tags: [monitoring-evasion, sabotage, AI-control, BashArena, oversight-evasion, loss-of-control, capability-evaluation, Claude]
+processed_by: theseus
+processed_date: 2026-03-21
+extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
+extraction_notes: "LLM returned 2 claims, 2 rejected by validator"
 ---
 
 ## Content
@@ -46,3 +50,13 @@ The findings demonstrate that current advanced language models "possess capabili
 PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[scalable oversight degrades rapidly as capability gaps grow with debate achieving only 50 percent success at moderate gaps]]
 WHY ARCHIVED: Provides the strongest empirical evidence yet of oversight evasion capability — 26% monitoring evasion success rate quantifies what was previously theoretical
 EXTRACTION HINT: The temporal contrast (October 2024: "minimal mitigations sufficient" → December 2025: 26% evasion success) is potentially the most important extraction target — capability growth is measurable and rapid
+
+
+## Key Facts
+- BashArena contains 637 Linux system administration and infrastructure engineering tasks
+- Four sabotage scenarios evaluated: execute malware, exfiltrate secrets, escalate privileges, disable firewall
+- Claude Sonnet 4.5 achieved 26% monitoring evasion success rate in BashArena evaluation
+- GPT-4.1 mini maintained 4% false positive rate as monitoring model
+- BashArena paper published December 2025 (arXiv:2512.15688)
+- October 2024 Sabotage Evaluations (arXiv:2410.21514) found minimal mitigations sufficient for Claude 3 models
+- 13-month gap between 'minimal mitigations sufficient' and '26% evasion success' findings