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substantive-fix: address reviewer feedback (frontmatter_schema)
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Teleo Agents 2026-04-21 23:55:02 +00:00
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7
domains/internet-finance/cftc-licensed-dcm-preemption-protects-centralized-prediction-markets-but-not-decentralized-governance-markets.md
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```markdown ```markdown
## The Claim (current version) ## The Claim (current version)
**Source:** MultiState, March 23, 2026 (Scenario-based content)
## Challenging Evidence
**Source:** MultiState, March 23, 2026
Curtis-Schiff bill would override CFTC DCM preemption through Congressional redefinition of sports contracts as gambling, demonstrating that DCM registration may not provide durable protection against legislative reclassification. Bipartisan sponsorship (Curtis R-Utah, Schiff D-California) suggests political durability beyond partisan gaming revenue disputes. Curtis-Schiff bill would override CFTC DCM preemption through Congressional redefinition of sports contracts as gambling, demonstrating that DCM registration may not provide durable protection against legislative reclassification. Bipartisan sponsorship (Curtis R-Utah, Schiff D-California) suggests political durability beyond partisan gaming revenue disputes.
``` ```

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domains/internet-finance/futarchy-governance-markets-risk-regulatory-capture-by-anti-gambling-frameworks-because-the-event-betting-and-organizational-governance-use-cases-are-conflated-in-current-policy-discourse.md
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```markdown ```markdown
## The Claim (current version) ## The Claim (current version)
## Supporting Evidence
**Source:** MultiState legislative tracking, March 23, **2026 (Scenario-based content)** **Source:** MultiState legislative tracking, March 23, **2026 (Scenario-based content)**
Curtis-Schiff Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act (March 2026) explicitly defines sports event contracts as gambling products requiring state gaming licenses, with bipartisan Senate sponsorship from ideologically divergent states (R-Utah, D-California). Bill scope targets CFTC-registered DCM platforms but does NOT explicitly address on-chain prediction markets or futarchy governance, creating regulatory uncertainty about whether governance markets would be swept into gambling framework by analogy. Curtis-Schiff Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act (March 2026) explicitly defines sports event contracts as gambling products requiring state gaming licenses, with bipartisan Senate sponsorship from ideologically divergent states (R-Utah, D-California). Bill scope targets CFTC-registered DCM platforms but does NOT explicitly address on-chain prediction markets or futarchy governance, creating regulatory uncertainty about whether governance markets would be swept into gambling framework by analogy.
``` ```

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domains/internet-finance/prediction-market-regulatory-legitimacy-creates-both-opportunity-and-existential-risk-for-decision-markets.md
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```markdown ```markdown
## Extending Evidence **Source:** MultiState, March 23, 2026 (Proposed Legislation Scenario)
**Source:** MultiState, March 2026 (Proposed Legislation)
Legislative threat vector (Curtis-Schiff bill) operates independently of court outcomes and cannot be addressed through mechanism design. Bipartisan Senate support from ideologically divergent states (R-Utah, D-California) indicates opposition broader than state gaming revenue protection, with Utah sponsorship particularly notable given lack of major gaming industry. Legislative threat vector (Curtis-Schiff bill) operates independently of court outcomes and cannot be addressed through mechanism design. Bipartisan Senate support from ideologically divergent states (R-Utah, D-California) indicates opposition broader than state gaming revenue protection, with Utah sponsorship particularly notable given lack of major gaming industry.
``` ```