extract: 2026-03-22-ng3-not-launched-5th-session
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
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{
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"rejected_claims": [
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{
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"filename": "orbital-insertion-capability-does-not-imply-launch-cadence-capability.md",
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"issues": [
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"missing_attribution_extractor"
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]
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}
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],
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"validation_stats": {
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"total": 1,
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"kept": 0,
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"fixed": 3,
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"rejected": 1,
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"fixes_applied": [
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"orbital-insertion-capability-does-not-imply-launch-cadence-capability.md:set_created:2026-03-22",
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"orbital-insertion-capability-does-not-imply-launch-cadence-capability.md:stripped_wiki_link:reusability-without-rapid-turnaround-and-minimal-refurbishme",
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"orbital-insertion-capability-does-not-imply-launch-cadence-capability.md:stripped_wiki_link:Starship-economics-depend-on-cadence-and-reuse-rate-not-vehi"
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],
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"rejections": [
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"orbital-insertion-capability-does-not-imply-launch-cadence-capability.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
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]
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},
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"model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
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"date": "2026-03-22"
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}
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@ -7,9 +7,12 @@ date: 2026-03-22
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domain: space-development
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secondary_domains: []
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format: thread
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status: unprocessed
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status: enrichment
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priority: medium
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tags: [new-glenn, blue-origin, NG-3, launch-cadence, reusability, AST-SpaceMobile, pattern-2]
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processed_by: astra
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processed_date: 2026-03-22
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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---
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## Content
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@ -52,3 +55,14 @@ tags: [new-glenn, blue-origin, NG-3, launch-cadence, reusability, AST-SpaceMobil
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PRIMARY CONNECTION: single-player-dependency-is-greatest-near-term-fragility (customer concentration risk on single launch provider)
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WHY ARCHIVED: Longitudinal Pattern 2 evidence — strongest data point yet for institutional timeline slippage, now with measurable commercial stakes
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EXTRACTION HINT: The claim to extract is about launch cadence demonstration being independent of orbital insertion capability — Blue Origin has proved the latter but not the former
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## Key Facts
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- New Glenn NG-1 and NG-2 successfully reached orbit
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- New Glenn NG-3 carries AST SpaceMobile BlueBird 7 (Block 2 FM2) satellite
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- BlueBird 7 was encapsulated February 19, 2026
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- NG-3 will reuse the booster 'Never Tell Me The Odds' from NG-2
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- NG-3 has been delayed 5+ consecutive weeks as of March 22, 2026
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- AST SpaceMobile needs 45-60 Block 2 satellites for viable D2D service
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- Analyst Tim Farrar expects only 21-42 satellites deployed by end-2026 if delays continue
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- Blue Origin has provided no public explanation for NG-3 delays
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