Merge pull request 'extract: 2026-03-00-artemis-program-restructuring' (#1097) from extract/2026-03-00-artemis-program-restructuring into main
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@ -25,6 +25,12 @@ This pattern — technological capability outpacing institutional design — rec
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The governance gap framing assumes governance must precede activity, but historically many governance regimes emerged from practice rather than design — maritime law, internet governance, and aviation regulation all evolved alongside the activities they governed. Counter: the speed differential is qualitatively different for space. Maritime law had centuries to evolve; internet governance emerged over decades but still lags (no global data governance framework exists). Space combines the speed of technology advancement with the lethality of the environment — governance failure in space doesn't produce market inefficiency, it produces Kessler syndrome or lethal infrastructure conflicts. The design window is compressed by the exponential pace of capability development.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2026-03-00-artemis-program-restructuring]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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Artemis III descoped from lunar landing to LEO-only test, pushing human lunar landing to 2028 (56 years after Apollo 17). This represents compounding institutional delays while commercial capabilities (SpaceX Starship/HLS) advance on faster timelines, providing concrete evidence of the widening execution gap.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -26,6 +26,12 @@ The five layers form a chain-link system: propellant depots without ISRU are une
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The investment framework this implies: position along the dependency chain that builds toward this attractor state. [[power is the binding constraint on all space operations because every capability from ISRU to manufacturing to life support is power-limited]], making power infrastructure foundational. Water extraction is enabling. Propellant depots are connective. Manufacturing platforms are the value-capture layer.
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### Additional Evidence (challenge)
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*Source: [[2026-03-00-artemis-program-restructuring]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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Artemis restructuring pushes first lunar landing to 2028 and reveals that lunar ISRU deployment is blocked by insufficient resource knowledge despite technology being at TRL 5-6. NASA states 'a resilient resource exploration campaign is needed to understand and map lunar water before commercial extraction.' This adds a critical path dependency (resource prospecting) that precedes ISRU infrastructure deployment.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -0,0 +1,32 @@
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{
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"rejected_claims": [
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{
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"filename": "lunar-isru-deployment-blocked-by-resource-knowledge-gap-not-technology-readiness.md",
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"issues": [
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"missing_attribution_extractor"
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]
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},
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{
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"filename": "institutional-space-programs-slip-timelines-while-commercial-capabilities-accelerate-creating-widening-execution-gap.md",
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"issues": [
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"missing_attribution_extractor"
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]
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}
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],
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"validation_stats": {
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"total": 2,
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"kept": 0,
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"fixed": 2,
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"rejected": 2,
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"fixes_applied": [
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"lunar-isru-deployment-blocked-by-resource-knowledge-gap-not-technology-readiness.md:set_created:2026-03-16",
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"institutional-space-programs-slip-timelines-while-commercial-capabilities-accelerate-creating-widening-execution-gap.md:set_created:2026-03-16"
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],
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"rejections": [
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"lunar-isru-deployment-blocked-by-resource-knowledge-gap-not-technology-readiness.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
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"institutional-space-programs-slip-timelines-while-commercial-capabilities-accelerate-creating-widening-execution-gap.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
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]
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},
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"model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
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"date": "2026-03-16"
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}
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@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2026-03-00
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domain: space-development
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secondary_domains: []
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format: article
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status: unprocessed
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status: enrichment
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priority: high
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tags: [artemis, nasa, sls, lunar-landing, isru, timeline-slip, governance-gap]
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processed_by: astra
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processed_date: 2026-03-16
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enrichments_applied: ["the 30-year space economy attractor state is a cislunar industrial system with propellant networks lunar ISRU orbital manufacturing and partial life support closure.md", "space governance gaps are widening not narrowing because technology advances exponentially while institutional design advances linearly.md"]
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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---
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## Content
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@ -39,3 +43,11 @@ This represents a significant restructuring from earlier plans where Artemis III
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PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[the 30-year space economy attractor state is a cislunar industrial system with propellant networks lunar ISRU orbital manufacturing and partial life support closure]]
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WHY ARCHIVED: Artemis restructuring pushes lunar landing to 2028 and reveals ISRU resource knowledge gap — both affect attractor state timeline
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EXTRACTION HINT: Extract the ISRU resource knowledge gap as a NEW constraint not currently in KB (technology readiness ≠ deployment readiness when you don't know where the resource is)
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## Key Facts
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- Artemis II crew: Wiseman, Glover, Koch (NASA) + Hansen (CSA)
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- Artemis II is a 10-day crewed lunar flyby mission
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- Artemis II rolled back to VAB on February 25, 2026 due to helium flow issue
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- Multiple ISRU prototypes at TRL 5-6: Carbothermal reactor, IPEx excavator, PVEx volatile extractor
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- Artemis V planned for late 2028 as second lunar landing
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