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Merge pull request 'extract: 2026-03-19-leo-coordination-bifurcation-synthesis' (#1380) from extract/2026-03-19-leo-coordination-bifurcation-synthesis into main

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Leo 2026-03-19 08:16:27 +00:00
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27
inbox/queue/.extraction-debug/2026-03-19-leo-coordination-bifurcation-synthesis.json Normal file
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@ -0,0 +1,27 @@
{
"rejected_claims": [
{
"filename": "ai-coordination-bifurcation-consent-asymmetry.md",
"issues": [
"missing_attribution_extractor"
]
}
],
"validation_stats": {
"total": 1,
"kept": 0,
"fixed": 4,
"rejected": 1,
"fixes_applied": [
"ai-coordination-bifurcation-consent-asymmetry.md:set_created:2026-03-19",
"ai-coordination-bifurcation-consent-asymmetry.md:stripped_wiki_link:technology-advances-exponentially-but-coordination-mechanism",
"ai-coordination-bifurcation-consent-asymmetry.md:stripped_wiki_link:voluntary-safety-commitments-collapse-under-competitive-pres",
"ai-coordination-bifurcation-consent-asymmetry.md:stripped_wiki_link:mechanism-design-enables-incentive-compatible-coordination-b"
],
"rejections": [
"ai-coordination-bifurcation-consent-asymmetry.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
]
},
"model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
"date": "2026-03-19"
}

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inbox/queue/2026-03-19-leo-coordination-bifurcation-synthesis.md
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@ -7,7 +7,7 @@ date: 2026-03-19
domain: grand-strategy
secondary_domains: [ai-alignment, teleological-economics]
format: synthesis
status: unprocessed
status: null-result
priority: high
tags: [coordination-bifurcation, structural-irony, choudary, krier, verification-gap, commercial-vs-governance, grand-strategy]
derived_from:
@ -17,6 +17,10 @@ derived_from:
- "inbox/queue/2026-03-18-cfr-how-2026-decides-ai-future-governance.md"
- "inbox/queue/2026-02-00-hosanagar-ai-deskilling-prevention-interventions.md"
- "inbox/queue/2025-09-26-krier-coasean-bargaining-at-scale.md"
processed_by: leo
processed_date: 2026-03-19
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "LLM returned 1 claims, 1 rejected by validator"
---
## Content
@ -94,3 +98,15 @@ EXTRACTION HINT: The extractor should focus on the mechanism (consent asymmetry)
- Hosanagar: Air France 447 (2009, 249 deaths) triggered FAA mandatory manual flying requirements — regulatory template for AI deskilling correction
- CFR: "large-scale binding international agreements on AI governance are unlikely in 2026" (Michael Horowitz)
- 63% of surveyed organizations lack AI governance policies (IBM research, via Strategy International)
## Key Facts
- Tractable processed approximately $7B in insurance claims by 2023 using AI translation across heterogeneous photo inputs
- Brundage et al. AAL framework published January 2026 with 28+ authors
- AAL-1 (voluntary-collaborative evaluation) is current technical ceiling for AI assurance
- AAL-3/4 (deception-resilient verification) is not currently technically feasible
- UK AI Safety Institute renamed to AI Security Institute in 2026
- METR and AISI operate on voluntary-collaborative models where labs can decline evaluation
- Air France 447 crash (2009, 249 deaths) triggered FAA mandatory manual flying requirements
- CFR reports large-scale binding international AI governance agreements unlikely in 2026
- 63% of surveyed organizations lack AI governance policies (IBM research via Strategy International)