substantive-fix: address reviewer feedback (confidence_miscalibration)
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type: claim
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type: claim
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domain: internet-finance
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domain: internet-finance
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description: The March 25, 2026 bipartisan bill banning Congress, President, and executive officials from trading on political-event prediction markets treats them as securities-adjacent instruments subject to insider trading law
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description: The March 25, 2026 bipartisan PREDICT Act, which bans Congress, the President, and executive officials from trading on political-event prediction markets and treats them as securities-adjacent instruments subject to insider trading law, strengthens their classification as financial instruments rather than gambling.
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confidence: experimental
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confidence: high
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source: PREDICT Act (Preventing Real-time Exploitation and Deceptive Insider Congressional Trading Act), introduced March 25, 2026
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source: PREDICT Act (Preventing Real-time Exploitation and Deceptive Insider Congressional Trading Act), introduced March 25, 2026
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created: 2026-04-12
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created: 2026-04-12
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title: PREDICT Act bipartisan legislation applying insider trading law to prediction markets strengthens their classification as financial instruments rather than gambling
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title: PREDICT Act bipartisan legislation applying insider trading law to prediction markets strengthens their classification as financial instruments rather than gambling
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