diff --git a/domains/health/federal-budget-scoring-methodology-systematically-undervalues-preventive-interventions-because-10-year-window-excludes-long-term-savings.md b/domains/health/federal-budget-scoring-methodology-systematically-undervalues-preventive-interventions-because-10-year-window-excludes-long-term-savings.md index 46c0107d..d364393f 100644 --- a/domains/health/federal-budget-scoring-methodology-systematically-undervalues-preventive-interventions-because-10-year-window-excludes-long-term-savings.md +++ b/domains/health/federal-budget-scoring-methodology-systematically-undervalues-preventive-interventions-because-10-year-window-excludes-long-term-savings.md @@ -57,6 +57,16 @@ IMPaCT's $2.47 Medicaid ROI within the same fiscal year demonstrates that at lea VBID termination was driven by $2.3B excess costs in CY2021-2022, measured within a short window that could not capture long-term savings from food-as-medicine interventions. CMS cited 'unprecedented' excess costs as justification, demonstrating how short-term cost accounting drives policy decisions even for preventive interventions with strong theoretical long-term ROI. + +### Auto-enrichment (near-duplicate conversion, similarity=1.00) +*Source: PR #1436 — "federal budget scoring methodology systematically undervalues preventive interventions because 10 year window excludes long term savings"* +*Auto-converted by substantive fixer. Review: revert if this evidence doesn't belong here.* + +### Additional Evidence (confirm) +*Source: [[2024-10-31-cms-vbid-model-termination-food-medicine]] | Added: 2026-03-19* + +VBID termination cited $2.3-2.2 billion annual excess costs as justification, but this accounting captures only immediate expenditures for food/nutrition benefits, not the long-term savings from preventing chronic disease in food-insecure populations. The 10-year scoring window excludes the 15-30 year horizon where food-as-medicine ROI materializes through reduced diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and other chronic conditions. A program with positive lifetime ROI was terminated for 'excess costs' that ignore downstream savings. + --- Relevant Notes: