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extract: 2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock

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Teleo Agents 2026-03-16 14:20:02 +00:00
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domains/internet-finance/futarchy-variance-creates-portfolio-problem-because-mechanism-selects-both-top-performers-and-worst-performers-simultaneously.md
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@ -31,6 +31,12 @@ The variance pattern also interacts with the prediction accuracy failure: market
- Grants Council unique selections: Extra Finance, Gyroscope, Reservoir - Grants Council unique selections: Extra Finance, Gyroscope, Reservoir
- Prediction overconfidence at tails: Rocket Pool $59.4M predicted vs $0 actual, Balancer & Beets -$13.7M actual despite $47.9M predicted - Prediction overconfidence at tails: Rocket Pool $59.4M predicted vs $0 actual, Balancer & Beets -$13.7M actual despite $47.9M predicted
### Additional Evidence (challenge)
*Source: [[2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
BlockRock's charter claims futarchy solves the asset management problem through 'performance-optimized decisions' where 'decisions are priced by participants with capital at stake to maximize risk-adjusted returns.' However, their launch immediately failed with only $100 raised against $500K target, suggesting futarchy may filter out projects before they can demonstrate variance. The mechanism may prevent launches rather than create portfolio variance.
--- ---
Relevant Notes: Relevant Notes:

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inbox/archive/2026-03-05-futardio-launch-blockrock.md
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@ -6,9 +6,13 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/J7CmLqfMLVq67swRQa6xCWn7VcyfpyhFSiQdJYNwkP8k"
date: 2026-03-05 date: 2026-03-05
domain: internet-finance domain: internet-finance
format: data format: data
status: unprocessed status: enrichment
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana] tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
event_type: launch event_type: launch
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-16
enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-variance-creates-portfolio-problem-because-mechanism-selects-both-top-performers-and-worst-performers-simultaneously.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
--- ---
## Launch Details ## Launch Details
@ -193,3 +197,12 @@ BlockRock is designed to scale to trillions in assets under management. The toke
- Token mint: `D9o2F3Pu7gowtZr1PjPFiQr4DwVPkNJhqPjpVRwjmeta` - Token mint: `D9o2F3Pu7gowtZr1PjPFiQr4DwVPkNJhqPjpVRwjmeta`
- Version: v0.7 - Version: v0.7
- Closed: 2026-03-06 - Closed: 2026-03-06
## Key Facts
- BlockRock raised $100 against $500K target on futard.io (0.02% of goal)
- BlockRock entered refunding status within 24 hours of launch
- BlackRock earns ~73% revenue from management fees, ~5% from performance fees
- BlackRock has 20,000+ employees, 70+ global offices, 1,700+ ETFs
- Asset management industry is $120T+
- MtnCapital was an early-stage VC fund on MetaDAO that wound down, returning treasury to holders