rio: sync 2 item(s) from telegram staging
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
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---
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type: source
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source_type: x-tweet
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title: "@robinhanson — shared via Telegram by @m3taversal"
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author: "@robinhanson"
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url: "https://x.com/robinhanson/status/2037680495321055257?s=46"
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date: 2026-03-28
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domain: internet-finance
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format: social-media
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status: unprocessed
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proposed_by: "@m3taversal"
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contribution_type: source-submission
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tags: ['telegram-shared', 'x-tweet', 'market-analysis']
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---
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# @robinhanson — Tweet/Thread
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Shared by @m3taversal via Telegram.
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Source URL: https://x.com/robinhanson/status/2037680495321055257?s=46
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## Content
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On average, ~20-40% of stock price change happens before official firm announcements. Thus insider trading in stocks is rampant; yet our stock markets function fine. To consider re prediction market insider trading.
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---
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type: source
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source_type: telegram-contribution
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title: "Source from @m3taversal — Robin Hanson tweet on insider trading in prediction markets - @robinhanson: "On "
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author: "@m3taversal"
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date: 2026-03-28
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domain: internet-finance
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format: contribution
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status: unprocessed
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proposed_by: "@m3taversal"
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contribution_type: source-submission
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tags: ['telegram-contribution', 'inline-source', 'market-analysis']
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---
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# Source: Robin Hanson tweet on insider trading in prediction markets - @robinhanson: "On average, ~20-40% of
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Contributed by @m3taversal in Telegram chat.
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Flagged by Rio as relevant source material.
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## Verbatim User Message
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@FutAIrdBot https://x.com/robinhanson/status/2037680495321055257?s=46 this is pretty insane. Can you find additional evidence for this?
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## Rio's Context
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Robin Hanson tweet on insider trading in prediction markets - @robinhanson: "On average, ~20-40% of stock price change happens before official firm announcements. Thus insider trading in stocks is rampant; yet our stock markets function fine. To consider re prediction market insider trading." URL: https://x.com/robinhanson/status/2037680495321055257
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