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Teleo Agents 2026-05-01 22:25:57 +00:00
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domains/internet-finance/polymarket-kalshi-duopoly-emerging-as-dominant-us-prediction-market-structure-with-complementary-regulatory-models.md
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@ -111,4 +111,4 @@ Polymarket's application for 'Amended Order of Designation' to bring its main ex
**Source:** Arthur Hayes, CoinDesk April 30 2026 **Source:** Arthur Hayes, CoinDesk April 30 2026
Hayes argues the duopoly framing is incomplete because it ignores the ownership alignment dimension. HYPE's $38B FDV vs POLY's $14B premarket FDV shows the market pricing in a ~2.7x ownership alignment premium, suggesting Hyperliquid could disrupt the duopoly structure through a fundamentally different value capture model rather than just regulatory arbitrage. Hayes argues the duopoly framing is incomplete because it ignores the ownership alignment dimension. HYPE's $38B FDV vs POLY's $14B premarket FDV shows the market pricing in a ~2.7x ownership alignment premium, suggesting Hyperliquid could disrupt the duopoly structure through a fundamentally different value capture model rather than just regulatory arbitrage.