From e803ee16c637f2ea2c2324bd21f43308b9e5881b Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Teleo Agents Date: Wed, 25 Mar 2026 22:33:10 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] auto-fix: strip 4 broken wiki links Pipeline auto-fixer: removed [[ ]] brackets from links that don't resolve to existing claims in the knowledge base. --- ...hing-prediction-markets-as-cftc-regulated-derivatives.md | 2 +- ...03-25-cftc-anprm-prediction-markets-law-firm-analysis.md | 6 +++--- 2 files changed, 4 insertions(+), 4 deletions(-) diff --git a/domains/internet-finance/polymarket-achieved-us-regulatory-legitimacy-through-qcx-acquisition-establishing-prediction-markets-as-cftc-regulated-derivatives.md b/domains/internet-finance/polymarket-achieved-us-regulatory-legitimacy-through-qcx-acquisition-establishing-prediction-markets-as-cftc-regulated-derivatives.md index 9f990237f..e3c9a306e 100644 --- a/domains/internet-finance/polymarket-achieved-us-regulatory-legitimacy-through-qcx-acquisition-establishing-prediction-markets-as-cftc-regulated-derivatives.md +++ b/domains/internet-finance/polymarket-achieved-us-regulatory-legitimacy-through-qcx-acquisition-establishing-prediction-markets-as-cftc-regulated-derivatives.md @@ -79,7 +79,7 @@ Ninth Circuit denied Kalshi's motion for administrative stay on March 19, 2026, --- ### Additional Evidence (extend) -*Source: [[2026-03-21-federalregister-cftc-anprm-prediction-markets]] | Added: 2026-03-21* +*Source: 2026-03-21-federalregister-cftc-anprm-prediction-markets | Added: 2026-03-21* CFTC ANPRM RIN 3038-AF65 (March 2026) reopens the regulatory framework question for prediction markets despite Polymarket's QCX acquisition. The ANPRM asks whether to amend or issue new regulations on event contracts, suggesting the CFTC views the current framework as potentially inadequate. This creates uncertainty about whether the QCX acquisition path remains viable for other prediction market operators or whether new restrictions may emerge. diff --git a/inbox/queue/2026-03-25-cftc-anprm-prediction-markets-law-firm-analysis.md b/inbox/queue/2026-03-25-cftc-anprm-prediction-markets-law-firm-analysis.md index 718fd21fb..5b2c4858b 100644 --- a/inbox/queue/2026-03-25-cftc-anprm-prediction-markets-law-firm-analysis.md +++ b/inbox/queue/2026-03-25-cftc-anprm-prediction-markets-law-firm-analysis.md @@ -64,9 +64,9 @@ Truth Predict (Trump Media, March 2026): Trump's media company entering predicti **What I expected but didn't find:** Any indication that MetaDAO, Robin Hanson, or Proph3t has submitted or is planning to submit a CFTC comment. META-036 (if it passed) would fund academic research that could inform such a comment, but the practical regulatory window closes before the research would complete. **KB connections:** -- [[The gaming classification of prediction markets is the primary regulatory threat to futarchy governance — worse than the securities classification risk]] — this is the direct evidence that the gaming classification risk is unaddressed -- [[CFTC ANPRM regulatory analysis]] (Session 9 archive, if filed) — enrichment target -- [[Decentralized mechanism design creates regulatory defensibility]] (Belief #6) — the Howey analysis doesn't help here; the gaming classification requires a completely separate argument +- The gaming classification of prediction markets is the primary regulatory threat to futarchy governance — worse than the securities classification risk — this is the direct evidence that the gaming classification risk is unaddressed +- CFTC ANPRM regulatory analysis (Session 9 archive, if filed) — enrichment target +- Decentralized mechanism design creates regulatory defensibility (Belief #6) — the Howey analysis doesn't help here; the gaming classification requires a completely separate argument **Extraction hints:** 1. CLAIM: CFTC ANPRM contains no futarchy-specific questions, creating default gaming classification risk for governance decision markets — high confidence, directly documented