extract: 2026-03-21-metadao-meta036-hanson-futarchy-research

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>

decisions/internet-finance/metadao-meta036-hanson-futarchy-research.md

@@ -0,0 +1,48 @@
+# META-036: Fund Futarchy Applications Research
+
+**Status:** Active (50% likelihood as of 2026-03-21)
+**Amount:** $80,007 USDC
+**Duration:** 6 months
+**Institution:** George Mason University
+**Principal Investigator:** Dr. Robin Hanson (futarchy inventor)
+**Co-Investigator:** Dr. Daniel Houser
+
+## Scope
+
+First rigorous experimental validation of futarchy decision-market governance mechanisms:
+
+- 500 student participants ($50 compensation each)
+- IRB-reviewed experimental protocols
+- Graduate research assistant (full academic year + summer)
+- Controlled decision-making experiments measuring information-aggregation efficiency
+
+## Budget Breakdown
+
+- Hanson summer salary: ~$30,000
+- Houser co-investigator: ~$6,000
+- Graduate Research Assistant: ~$19,000
+- Participant payments: $25,000
+- **Total:** $80,007
+
+## Disbursement Structure
+
+50/50 split:
+1. 50% on execution
+2. 50% on interim report delivery
+
+## Market Data (2026-03-21)
+
+- **Likelihood:** 50%
+- **Volume:** $42,160
+- **Pass token:** $3.4590 (+0.52%)
+- **Fail token:** $3.3242 (-3.40%)
+- **Time remaining:** ~2 days
+
+## Significance
+
+First academic research engagement to experimentally validate futarchy mechanisms that MetaDAO has already deployed in production. Represents MetaDAO's commitment to rigorous validation even while iterating rapidly on implementation.
+
+## Proposers
+
+- m3taversal
+- metanallok

domains/internet-finance/metadao-autocrat-migration-accepted-counterparty-risk-from-unverifiable-builds-prioritizing-iteration-speed-over-security-guarantees.md

@@ -18,6 +18,12 @@ The proposal explicitly disclosed that the new Autocrat program "was unable to b
 
 Proposal 2 explicitly acknowledged: 'Unfortunately, for reasons I can't get into, I was unable to build this new program with solana-verifiable-build. You'd be placing trust in me that I didn't introduce a backdoor, not on the GitHub repo, that allows me to steal the funds.' The proposal passed anyway, migrating 990,000 META, 10,025 USDC, and 5.5 SOL to the unverifiable program. This demonstrates MetaDAO prioritized iteration velocity over security guarantees in early stages.
 
+### Additional Evidence (extend)
+*Source: [[2026-03-21-metadao-meta036-hanson-futarchy-research]] | Added: 2026-03-24*
+
+MetaDAO's willingness to fund external academic research at $80K demonstrates their commitment to rigorous validation even while accepting implementation shortcuts. The proposal structure (50/50 disbursement on execution and interim report) shows they're balancing speed with accountability.
+
+
 
 Relevant Notes:
 - futarchy implementations must simplify theoretical mechanisms for production adoption because original designs include impractical elements that academics tolerate but users reject.md

inbox/queue/2026-03-21-metadao-meta036-hanson-futarchy-research.md

@@ -15,6 +15,10 @@ processed_date: 2026-03-21
 claims_extracted: []
 enrichments: []
 tags: [metadao, robin-hanson, futarchy, academic-research, gmu, decision-market]
+processed_by: rio
+processed_date: 2026-03-24
+enrichments_applied: ["metadao-autocrat-migration-accepted-counterparty-risk-from-unverifiable-builds-prioritizing-iteration-speed-over-security-guarantees.md"]
+extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
 ---
 
 ## Content
@@ -50,3 +54,14 @@ MetaDAO proposal META-036 requests $80,007 USDC to fund six-month academic resea
 ## Curator Notes
 PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[metadao-fund-futarchy-research-hanson-gmu]]
 WHY ARCHIVED: Live decision market for first academic validation of futarchy mechanism. Decision record created.
+
+
+## Key Facts
+- META-036 requests $80,007 USDC for 6-month academic research
+- Robin Hanson is principal investigator, Daniel Houser is co-investigator
+- Research will involve 500 student participants at $50 each
+- Budget includes ~$30K Hanson summer salary, ~$6K Houser, ~$19K GRA, $25K participants
+- Disbursement is 50/50 split on execution and interim report
+- As of 2026-03-21: 50% likelihood, $42.16K volume, pass $3.4590 (+0.52%), fail $3.3242 (-3.40%)
+- Proposal has ~2 days remaining as of 2026-03-21
+- Proposed by m3taversal and metanallok