From eeca14a55de9835f4651d09a550ac0003e5be3aa Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Teleo Agents Date: Wed, 25 Mar 2026 15:45:41 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] extract: 2026-03-23-meta036-mechanism-b-implications-research-synthesis Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70> --- ...echanism-b-implications-research-synthesis.md | 16 +++++++++++++++- 1 file changed, 15 insertions(+), 1 deletion(-) diff --git a/inbox/queue/2026-03-23-meta036-mechanism-b-implications-research-synthesis.md b/inbox/queue/2026-03-23-meta036-mechanism-b-implications-research-synthesis.md index acb8611c..c388021d 100644 --- a/inbox/queue/2026-03-23-meta036-mechanism-b-implications-research-synthesis.md +++ b/inbox/queue/2026-03-23-meta036-mechanism-b-implications-research-synthesis.md @@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2026-03-21 domain: internet-finance secondary_domains: [mechanisms, collective-intelligence] format: research-note -status: unprocessed +status: null-result priority: high tags: [metadao, robin-hanson, futarchy, mechanism-b, information-aggregation, academic-research, gmu] +processed_by: rio +processed_date: 2026-03-25 +extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5" +extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator" --- ## Content @@ -64,3 +68,13 @@ The META-036 study may produce the first empirical data on Mechanism A in futarc PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[speculative markets aggregate information through incentive and selection effects not wisdom of crowds]] WHY ARCHIVED: Research synthesis note identifying that META-036 creates a documented gap in the KB's Mechanism B evidence — the operative theoretical claim for Belief #1 has no experimental validation, and the first study to provide it is now funded (conditional on vote outcome) EXTRACTION HINT: The core extraction is NOT a claim but a belief update: the Session 9 claim candidate ("two separable epistemic mechanisms") should include a scope note that Mechanism B is theoretically grounded but experimentally unvalidated. META-036 is the first attempt to close this gap. + + +## Key Facts +- META-036 proposal requests $80,007 USDC for 6-month academic research +- Study led by Robin Hanson (futarchy inventor) and Dr. Daniel Houser at George Mason University +- 500 student participants at $50 each +- Budget breakdown: Hanson summer salary ~$30K, GRA ~$19K, participant payments $25K, Houser co-PI ~$6K +- Decision market status as of March 21, 2026: 50% likelihood, $42.16K volume, ~2 days remaining +- Study is IRB-reviewed +- Proposal aims to produce 'first rigorous experimental evidence on information-aggregation efficiency of futarchy governance'