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89 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
3159ee9adb theseus: add inference governance gap claim + enrich inference shift with TurboQuant
- New claim: inference efficiency gains erode deployment governance without triggering
  training-focused monitoring thresholds (experimental)
- Enrichment: inference shift claim now documents 4 compounding efficiency mechanisms
  (KV cache compression, MoE, hardware-native, weight quantization)
- Evidence: Google TurboQuant (ICLR 2026) — 6x memory, 8x speedup, zero accuracy loss.
  One of 15+ competing KV cache methods indicating active research frontier.
- Fills discourse gap: nobody had systematically connected inference economics to governance

Pentagon-Agent: Theseus <24DE7DA0-E4D5-4023-B1A2-3F736AFF4EEE>
2026-03-25 23:29:13 +00:00
1cdd5fae4f theseus: add 3 compute infrastructure claims + source archive
- What: 3 structural claims about AI compute governance implications
  1. Inference shift favors distributed architectures (experimental)
  2. Physical constraints create governance window via timescale mismatch (experimental)
  3. Supply chain concentration is both governance lever and systemic fragility (likely)
  Plus: source archive from 5 research sessions (ARM, NVIDIA, TSMC, compute governance, power)
- Why: Cory directed research into physical AI infrastructure. Joint effort with Astra —
  Astra takes manufacturing/energy claims, Theseus takes governance/AI-systems claims.
- Connections: Links to compute export controls, technology-coordination gap, safe AI dev,
  systemic fragility, collective superintelligence claims

Pentagon-Agent: Theseus <24DE7DA0-E4D5-4023-B1A2-3F736AFF4EEE>
2026-03-24 17:55:05 +00:00
Teleo Agents
1ef04374c7 entity-batch: update 1 entities
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- Applied 1 entity operations from queue
- Files: domains/ai-alignment/pre-deployment-AI-evaluations-do-not-predict-real-world-risk-creating-institutional-governance-built-on-unreliable-foundations.md

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-24 00:23:14 +00:00
Teleo Agents
98d283e794 extract: 2026-01-29-metr-time-horizon-1-1
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-24 00:17:26 +00:00
Teleo Agents
b4a7cf5204 extract: 2025-05-29-anthropic-circuit-tracing-open-source
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-24 00:16:34 +00:00
Teleo Agents
d2948af681 extract: 2026-03-21-replibench-autonomous-replication-capabilities
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-23 12:38:45 +00:00
Teleo Agents
93dd536a03 extract: 2026-02-24-anthropic-rsp-v3-voluntary-safety-collapse
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-23 00:32:06 +00:00
Teleo Agents
df33272fbd extract: 2026-03-20-metr-modeling-assumptions-time-horizon-reliability
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-23 00:24:04 +00:00
Teleo Agents
f5d067ce01 extract: 2026-02-05-mit-tech-review-misunderstood-time-horizon-graph
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-23 00:20:46 +00:00
Teleo Agents
71a17ee799 extract: 2026-02-00-international-ai-safety-report-2026-evaluation-reliability
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-23 00:20:09 +00:00
Leo
04ef8702b2 extract: 2026-03-00-mengesha-coordination-gap-frontier-ai-safety (#1619)
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2026-03-22 00:39:01 +00:00
Teleo Agents
ebfe0a2194 extract: 2026-03-12-metr-claude-opus-4-6-sabotage-review
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-22 00:36:54 +00:00
Teleo Agents
8049e6fe11 extract: 2025-12-00-aisi-frontier-ai-trends-report-2025
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-22 00:35:18 +00:00
af0d3001ff leo: fix PR #1569 review issues — soften challenge framing, fix source status
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- What: changed "directly contradicts" to "complicates" on METR RCT enrichment (RCT measured time-to-completion, not delegation quality). Fixed source status from non-standard "enrichment" to "processed".
- Why: Leo cross-domain review flagged overstated evidence framing and non-standard status value.

Pentagon-Agent: Leo <A3DC172B-F0A4-4408-9E3B-CF842616AAE1>
2026-03-21 14:37:17 +00:00
Teleo Agents
a75b94e985 extract: 2026-03-21-metr-evaluation-landscape-2026
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
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cd95d844ca extract: 2025-12-01-aisi-auditing-games-sandbagging-detection-failed
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-21 08:18:05 +00:00
Teleo Agents
7ed2adcb23 extract: 2026-03-21-research-compliance-translation-gap
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-21 00:35:32 +00:00
Teleo Agents
8ca19f38fb extract: 2026-03-21-ctrl-alt-deceit-rnd-sabotage-sandbagging
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-21 00:34:22 +00:00
Teleo Agents
d9ee1570c4 extract: 2026-03-21-aisi-control-research-program-synthesis
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Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-21 00:30:55 +00:00
Teleo Agents
544e0ca038 entity-batch: update 1 entities
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- Applied 1 entity operations from queue
- Files: domains/ai-alignment/pre-deployment-AI-evaluations-do-not-predict-real-world-risk-creating-institutional-governance-built-on-unreliable-foundations.md

Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-20 16:32:57 +00:00
Leo
82ea2d4942 extract: 2026-03-18-hks-governance-by-procurement-bilateral (#1425)
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2026-03-20 16:25:37 +00:00
Leo
89ffe42f9a extract: 2026-03-20-bench2cop-benchmarks-insufficient-compliance (#1514)
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2026-03-20 00:58:44 +00:00
Teleo Agents
c6b7126335 extract: 2026-02-13-noahopinion-smartest-thing-on-earth
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-19 18:50:03 +00:00
Teleo Agents
61b9a8b16e auto-fix: strip 2 broken wiki links
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2026-03-19 16:36:04 +00:00
Teleo Agents
6742655420 extract: 2026-02-23-shapira-agents-of-chaos
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-19 16:36:03 +00:00
Teleo Agents
29eb6e8607 auto-fix: strip 4 broken wiki links
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2026-03-19 14:06:36 +00:00
Teleo Agents
2442ab4b44 extract: 2026-03-00-metr-aisi-pre-deployment-evaluation-practice
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-19 14:06:36 +00:00
Teleo Agents
8598d95858 extract: 2026-03-16-theseus-ai-coordination-governance-evidence
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-19 13:55:02 +00:00
Teleo Agents
decc9152a4 extract: 2026-02-24-catalini-simple-economics-agi
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
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Teleo Agents
9e0461efab extract: 2026-02-23-shapira-agents-of-chaos
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
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Teleo Agents
a809b58a07 extract: 2025-11-29-sistla-evaluating-llms-open-source-games
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
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Teleo Agents
c76e8ce4d9 extract: 2025-09-26-krier-coasean-bargaining-at-scale
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-19 13:34:42 +00:00
Leo
6ef729b152 extract: 2025-08-00-mccaslin-stream-chembio-evaluation-reporting (#1364)
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2026-03-19 01:17:33 +00:00
Teleo Agents
e2dc9f54f0 extract: 2026-03-00-metr-aisi-pre-deployment-evaluation-practice
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
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3282592dc0 extract: 2026-01-00-kim-third-party-ai-assurance-framework
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
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2d9199347d extract: 2024-12-00-uuk-mitigations-gpai-systemic-risks-76-experts
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-19 00:30:38 +00:00
Teleo Agents
5ed47fb50e extract: 2026-03-18-hks-governance-by-procurement-bilateral
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-18 18:13:42 +00:00
Teleo Agents
cbfd18701e extract: 2026-03-18-cfr-how-2026-decides-ai-future-governance
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-18 16:14:44 +00:00
Teleo Agents
a1a9bffbea extract: 2026-01-15-eu-ai-alliance-seven-feedback-loops
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <968B2991-E2DF-4006-B962-F5B0A0CC8ACA>
2026-03-18 11:18:31 +00:00
d0998a23bd theseus: AI coordination governance evidence — 3 claims + 1 entity
- What: 3 claims on coordination governance empirics (binding regulation as
  only mechanism that works, transparency declining, compute export controls
  as misaligned governance) + UK AISI entity + comprehensive source archive
- Why: targeted research on weakest grounding of B2 ("alignment is coordination
  problem"). Found that voluntary coordination has empirically failed across
  every mechanism tested (2023-2026). Only binding regulation with enforcement
  changes behavior. This challenges the optimistic version of B2 and
  strengthens the case for enforcement-backed coordination.
- Connections: confirms voluntary-safety-pledge claim with extensive new
  evidence, strengthens nation-state-control claim, challenges alignment-tax
  claim by showing the tax is being cut not paid

Pentagon-Agent: Theseus <B4A5B354-03D6-4291-A6A8-1E04A879D9AC>
2026-03-16 19:35:00 +00:00
03aa9c9a7c theseus: AI industry landscape — 7 entities + 3 claims from web research
- What: first ai-alignment entities (Anthropic, OpenAI, Google DeepMind, xAI,
  SSI, Thinking Machines Lab, Dario Amodei) + 3 claims on industry dynamics
  (RSP rollback as empirical confirmation, talent circulation as alignment
  culture transfer, capital concentration as oligopoly constraint on governance)
- Why: industry landscape research synthesizing 33 web sources. Entities ground
  the KB in the actual organizations producing alignment-relevant research.
  Claims extract structural alignment implications from industry data.
- Connections: RSP rollback claim confirms voluntary-safety-pledge claim;
  investment concentration connects to nation-state-control and alignment-tax
  claims; talent circulation connects to coordination-failure claim

Pentagon-Agent: Theseus <B4A5B354-03D6-4291-A6A8-1E04A879D9AC>
2026-03-16 17:56:38 +00:00
b64fe64b89 theseus: 5 claims from ARIA Scaling Trust programme papers
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- What: 5 new claims + 6 source archives from papers referenced in
  Alex Obadia's ARIA Research tweet on distributed AGI safety
- Sources: Distributional AGI Safety (Tomašev), Agents of Chaos (Shapira),
  Simple Economics of AGI (Catalini), When AI Writes Software (de Moura),
  LLM Open-Source Games (Sistla), Coasean Bargaining (Krier)
- Claims: multi-agent emergent vulnerabilities (likely), verification
  bandwidth as binding constraint (likely), formal verification economic
  necessity (likely), cooperative program equilibria (experimental),
  Coasean transaction cost collapse (experimental)
- Connections: extends scalable oversight degradation, correlated blind
  spots, formal verification, coordination-as-alignment

Pentagon-Agent: Theseus <B4A5B354-03D6-4291-A6A8-1E04A879D9AC>
2026-03-16 16:46:07 +00:00
Leo
b1d810c568 extract: 2025-11-00-sahoo-rlhf-alignment-trilemma (#1155)
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2026-03-16 16:18:06 +00:00
Teleo Agents
ab0c92ad94 auto-fix: strip 5 broken wiki links
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2026-03-16 15:08:47 +00:00
Teleo Agents
74975eb326 extract: 2025-00-00-em-dpo-heterogeneous-preferences
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 15:08:47 +00:00
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Teleo Agents
5d73336c5c extract: 2026-02-00-an-differentiable-social-choice
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 14:36:53 +00:00
Teleo Agents
7514323608 extract: 2025-06-00-li-scaling-human-judgment-community-notes-llms
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-16 10:20:28 +00:00
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2026-03-15 20:28:16 +00:00
Teleo Agents
d48d2e2c7b extract: 2025-11-00-operationalizing-pluralistic-values-llm-alignment
Pentagon-Agent: Ganymede <F99EBFA6-547B-4096-BEEA-1D59C3E4028A>
2026-03-15 20:28:16 +00:00