Commit graph

24 commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
Teleo Agents
cd5675eab4 reciprocal edges: 6 edges from 1 new claims 2026-05-09 22:17:53 +00:00
Teleo Agents
d4a93ae5cb rio: extract claims from 2026-03-23-natlawreview-prediction-markets-gambling-act-curtis-schiff
Some checks failed
Mirror PR to Forgejo / mirror (pull_request) Has been cancelled
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-03-23-natlawreview-prediction-markets-gambling-act-curtis-schiff.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 1, Entities: 1
- Enrichments: 3
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-05-09 22:17:49 +00:00
Teleo Agents
8ee6af99cc rio: extract claims from 2026-05-07-mccormick-gillibrand-prediction-market-act-2026
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-05-07-mccormick-gillibrand-prediction-market-act-2026.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 1
- Enrichments: 4
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-05-07 22:21:48 +00:00
Teleo Agents
278762df27 rio: extract claims from 2026-05-01-reason-cftc-suing-states-prediction-market-preemption-reversal
Some checks failed
Mirror PR to Forgejo / mirror (pull_request) Has been cancelled
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-05-01-reason-cftc-suing-states-prediction-market-preemption-reversal.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 1, Entities: 0
- Enrichments: 3
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-05-02 22:17:38 +00:00
Teleo Agents
0efa8f3b41 rio: extract claims from 2026-05-01-kalshi-class-action-self-exclusion-massachusetts-statute-of-anne
Some checks failed
Mirror PR to Forgejo / mirror (pull_request) Has been cancelled
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-05-01-kalshi-class-action-self-exclusion-massachusetts-statute-of-anne.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 0
- Enrichments: 3
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-05-01 22:24:40 +00:00
Teleo Agents
1a5d535749 rio: extract claims from 2026-04-29-cftc-anprm-comment-period-closes-april-30-2026
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-04-29-cftc-anprm-comment-period-closes-april-30-2026.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 0
- Enrichments: 3
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-30 03:32:22 +00:00
Teleo Agents
ebdba97810 rio: extract claims from 2026-04-29-cftc-anprm-comment-period-closes-april-30-2026
Some checks failed
Mirror PR to Forgejo / mirror (pull_request) Has been cancelled
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-04-29-cftc-anprm-comment-period-closes-april-30-2026.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 1, Entities: 0
- Enrichments: 3
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-29 22:37:45 +00:00
Teleo Agents
2da36a5cbb rio: extract claims from 2026-04-24-cftc-9219-26-massachusetts-sjc-amicus-preemption
Some checks failed
Mirror PR to Forgejo / mirror (pull_request) Has been cancelled
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-04-24-cftc-9219-26-massachusetts-sjc-amicus-preemption.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 2, Entities: 0
- Enrichments: 3
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-26 22:16:08 +00:00
Teleo Agents
f3331b5f7c rio: extract claims from 2026-04-22-coindesk-kalshi-insider-trading-politician-enforcement
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-04-22-coindesk-kalshi-insider-trading-politician-enforcement.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 2, Entities: 3
- Enrichments: 2
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-22 22:24:28 +00:00
Teleo Agents
e4fb0b75a3 rio: extract claims from 2026-04-20-yogonet-tribal-gaming-cftc-igra-threat
Some checks failed
Mirror PR to Forgejo / mirror (pull_request) Has been cancelled
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-04-20-yogonet-tribal-gaming-cftc-igra-threat.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 0
- Enrichments: 2
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-22 09:03:06 +00:00
Teleo Agents
8ae88dd30d rio: extract claims from 2026-04-20-prophetx-cftc-section-4c-framework
Some checks failed
Mirror PR to Forgejo / mirror (pull_request) Has been cancelled
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-04-20-prophetx-cftc-section-4c-framework.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 1
- Enrichments: 2
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-22 08:51:41 +00:00
Teleo Agents
de5f251331 rio: extract claims from 2026-04-20-prophetx-cftc-section-4c-framework
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-04-20-prophetx-cftc-section-4c-framework.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 1
- Enrichments: 2
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-22 04:42:10 +00:00
Teleo Agents
7fdd8c9718 rio: extract claims from 2026-04-20-yogonet-tribal-gaming-cftc-igra-threat
Some checks failed
Mirror PR to Forgejo / mirror (pull_request) Has been cancelled
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-04-20-yogonet-tribal-gaming-cftc-igra-threat.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 1
- Enrichments: 3
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-22 03:48:05 +00:00
Teleo Agents
fca175185c rio: extract claims from 2026-03-23-curtis-schiff-prediction-markets-gambling-act
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-03-23-curtis-schiff-prediction-markets-gambling-act.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 1
- Enrichments: 2
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-22 02:55:04 +00:00
Teleo Agents
1bf5ad9159 rio: extract claims from 2026-03-23-curtis-schiff-prediction-markets-gambling-act
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-03-23-curtis-schiff-prediction-markets-gambling-act.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 0
- Enrichments: 3
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-21 23:24:19 +00:00
Teleo Agents
d61c6006dd rio: extract claims from 2026-04-20-prophetx-cftc-section-4c-framework
Some checks failed
Mirror PR to Forgejo / mirror (pull_request) Has been cancelled
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-04-20-prophetx-cftc-section-4c-framework.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 1
- Enrichments: 2
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-21 23:22:25 +00:00
Teleo Agents
944092ebb5 rio: extract claims from 2026-03-23-curtis-schiff-prediction-markets-gambling-act
Some checks failed
Mirror PR to Forgejo / mirror (pull_request) Has been cancelled
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-03-23-curtis-schiff-prediction-markets-gambling-act.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 0
- Enrichments: 3
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-21 22:45:17 +00:00
Teleo Agents
3340f3e3c0 rio: extract claims from 2026-03-23-curtis-schiff-prediction-markets-gambling-act
- Source: inbox/queue/2026-03-23-curtis-schiff-prediction-markets-gambling-act.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Claims: 0, Entities: 0
- Enrichments: 3
- Extracted by: pipeline ingest (OpenRouter anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <PIPELINE>
2026-04-21 22:30:19 +00:00
f63eb8000a fix: normalize 1,072 broken wiki-links across 604 files
Mechanical space→hyphen conversion in frontmatter references
(related_claims, challenges, supports, etc.) to match actual
filenames. Fixes 26.9% broken link rate found by wiki-link audit.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.6 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-21 10:21:26 +01:00
Teleo Agents
3434410d83 reweave: merge 279 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-19 01:28:57 +00:00
Teleo Agents
da933cad73 reweave: merge 252 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-18 11:05:59 +00:00
Teleo Agents
302d7c79f2 reweave: merge 309 files via frontmatter union [auto] 2026-04-17 01:19:40 +00:00
Teleo Agents
938f56f3b4 extract: 2026-03-26-cftc-anprm-prediction-markets-federal-register
Some checks are pending
Sync Graph Data to teleo-app / sync (push) Waiting to run
Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70>
2026-03-26 22:31:35 +00:00
4da0f8f5cd rio: 3 new claims + 1 enrichment on prediction→decision market pipeline
Some checks are pending
Sync Graph Data to teleo-app / sync (push) Waiting to run
New claims:
1. Prediction market growth builds infrastructure for decision markets but
   conversion is not happening — $63.5B→$200B+ annual volume vs MetaDAO's
   $219M ecosystem, ~1000x gap widening. Three structural barriers:
   incentive mismatch, resolution clarity, market size ceiling.

2. Prediction market boom is primarily a sports gambling boom — sports
   37-78% of volume depending on platform/period. Kalshi's $22B valuation
   catalyzed by March Madness ($25.5M fees in 4 days). Weakens the
   information aggregation narrative that supports futarchy thesis.

3. Prediction market regulatory legitimacy creates both opportunity and
   existential risk for decision markets — CFTC normalization helps but
   sports gambling association could trigger backlash that collaterally
   destroys governance applications (Hanson's explicit concern).

Enrichment:
- prediction-market-scale-exceeds-decision-market-scale: updated with
  Feb 2026 data showing gap widened from ~100x to ~1000x-4400x

Source: @0xWeiler Messari thread, CertiK 2025 report, Pine Analytics
MetaDAO Q4 2025, Robin Hanson (Overcoming Bias Dec 2025), Kalshi/Polymarket
public data.

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <5551F5AF-0C5C-429F-8915-1FE74A00E019>
2026-03-26 17:46:36 +00:00