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fc9110fe8d rio: extract from 2026-03-09-futardio-launch-etnlio.md
- Source: inbox/archive/2026-03-09-futardio-launch-etnlio.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Extracted by: headless extraction cron (worker 3)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <HEADLESS>
2026-03-12 04:45:46 +00:00
6 changed files with 259 additions and 41 deletions

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@ -82,6 +82,12 @@ Futardio cult launch (2026-03-03 to 2026-03-04) demonstrates MetaDAO's platform
(challenge) Areal's failed Futardio launch ($11,654 raised of $50K target, REFUNDING status) demonstrates that futarchy-governed fundraising does not guarantee capital formation success. The mechanism provides credible exit guarantees through market-governed liquidation and governance quality through conditional markets, but market participants still evaluate project fundamentals and team credibility. Futarchy reduces rug risk but does not eliminate market skepticism of unproven business models or early-stage teams.
### Additional Evidence (challenge)
*Source: [[2026-03-09-futardio-launch-etnlio]] | Added: 2026-03-12 | Extractor: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5*
First documented complete failure of a Futardio raise: Etnl.io achieved only $96 of $500,000 target (0.019% success rate) before entering refund status after one day. This challenges the 'at scale' assertion and suggests significant product-market fit gaps in the launchpad's ability to attract capital to legitimate projects. The project had all the structural elements MetaDAO's theory requires (clear use of funds, team budget, roadmap, market positioning) but failed to attract meaningful participation.
---
Relevant Notes:

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@ -34,6 +34,12 @@ MycoRealms implementation reveals operational friction points: monthly $10,000 a
Optimism futarchy achieved 430 active forecasters and 88.6% first-time governance participants by using play money, demonstrating that removing capital requirements can dramatically lower participation barriers. However, this came at the cost of prediction accuracy (8x overshoot on magnitude estimates), revealing a new friction: the play-money vs real-money tradeoff. Play money enables permissionless participation but sacrifices calibration; real money provides calibration but creates regulatory and capital barriers. This suggests futarchy adoption faces a structural dilemma between accessibility and accuracy that liquidity requirements alone don't capture. The tradeoff is not merely about quantity of liquidity but the fundamental difference between incentive structures that attract participants vs incentive structures that produce accurate predictions.
### Additional Evidence (confirm)
*Source: [[2026-03-09-futardio-launch-etnlio]] | Added: 2026-03-12 | Extractor: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5*
Etnl.io Futardio raise failed with only $96 committed against $500,000 target (0.019% of goal), resulting in refund status after one day (2026-03-09 to 2026-03-10). The project had complete documentation including detailed product description (Secure Enclave-based mobile wallet), clear use of funds breakdown ($30,000/month team budget), defined roadmap with milestones, market positioning, and active social presence (website, Twitter, Telegram). The failure occurred despite coherent product narrative and transparent capital deployment plan, suggesting the barrier is market liquidity and participation rather than information asymmetry or project quality.
---
Relevant Notes:

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@ -48,6 +48,12 @@ MycoRealms demonstrates 72-hour permissionless raise window on Futardio for $125
Futardio cult raised $11.4M in under 24 hours through MetaDAO's futarchy platform (launched 2026-03-03, closed 2026-03-04), confirming sub-day fundraising timelines for futarchy-governed launches. This provides concrete timing data supporting the compression thesis: traditional meme coin launches through centralized platforms typically require days to weeks for comparable capital formation.
### Additional Evidence (challenge)
*Source: [[2026-03-09-futardio-launch-etnlio]] | Added: 2026-03-12 | Extractor: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5*
Etnl.io Futardio raise compressed timeline to one day, but achieved only $96 of $500,000 target before refunding. While the mechanism eliminated gatekeepers and enabled instant launch, it failed to replace due diligence with market pricing—the market simply didn't show up. Speed without capital formation suggests the compression claim conflates technical capability with actual market function. The raise had complete information disclosure (product specs, use of funds, team budget, roadmap) but failed to attract participation.
---
Relevant Notes:

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@ -1,14 +1,28 @@
---
type: entity
entity_type: company
name: Etnl.io
domain: internet-finance
status: notable
tracked_by: Leo
status: active
tracked_by: rio
created: 2026-03-11
key_metrics:
futardio_raise_target: "$500,000"
futardio_raise_committed: "$96"
futardio_raise_outcome: "refunding"
monthly_team_budget: "$30,000"
---
# Etnlio
# Etnl.io
## Description
Etnlio is a notable entity in the internet finance sector, recognized for its unique approach to fundraising.
Etnl.io is developing a mobile self-custody wallet that uses smartphone Secure Enclave technology to provide hardware-level security without requiring external devices. The project attempted to raise $500,000 through Futardio in March 2026 but achieved only $96 in commitments before entering refund status, representing the first documented complete failure of a raise on the MetaDAO futarchy launchpad.
## Notable Events
Etnlio's fundraising attempt is significant as it marks a notable event in the platform's history, following previous unsuccessful attempts by SeekerVault and Areal DAO.
## Timeline
- **2026-03-09** — Futardio raise launched with $500,000 target, complete documentation including Secure Enclave architecture, $30,000/month team budget, roadmap, and market positioning
- **2026-03-10** — Raise closed in refunding status with only $96 committed (0.019% of target)
## Relationship to KB
- [[futarchy adoption faces friction from token price psychology proposal complexity and liquidity requirements]] — empirical evidence of liquidity barrier
- [[MetaDAO is the futarchy launchpad on Solana where projects raise capital through unruggable ICOs governed by conditional markets creating the first platform for ownership coins at scale]] — challenges scale claim
- [[internet capital markets compress fundraising from months to days because permissionless raises eliminate gatekeepers while futarchy replaces due diligence bottlenecks with real-time market pricing]] — demonstrates speed without capital formation
- [[futardio]] — platform used for raise attempt

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@ -1,27 +1,157 @@
---
type: entity
entity_type: product
name: "Futardio"
domain: internet-finance
handles: ["@futarddotio"]
website: https://futardio.com
status: active
tracked_by: Leo
metrics: {...}
competitors: [...]
tags: [...]
tracked_by: rio
created: 2026-03-11
last_updated: 2026-03-11
launched: 2025-10-01
parent: "[[metadao]]"
category: "Futarchy-governed token launchpad (Solana)"
stage: growth
key_metrics:
total_launches: "65"
successful_raises: "8 (12.3%)"
total_committed_successful: "$481.2M"
total_raised_targets: "$12.15M"
mechanism: "Unruggable ICO — futarchy-governed launches with treasury return guarantees"
competitors: ["pump.fun (memecoins)", "Doppler (liquidity bootstrapping)"]
built_on: ["Solana", "MetaDAO Autocrat"]
tags: ["launchpad", "ownership-coins", "futarchy", "unruggable-ico", "permissionless-launches"]
---
# Futardio
## Overview
Futardio is a leading entity in the internet finance sector, known for its innovative approaches and competitive strategies.
MetaDAO's token launch platform. Implements "unruggable ICOs" — permissionless launches where investors can force full treasury return through futarchy-governed liquidation if teams materially misrepresent. Replaced the original uncapped pro-rata mechanism that caused massive overbidding (Umbra: $155M committed for $3M raise = 50x; Solomon: $103M committed for $8M = 13x).
## Launch Activity Log
- **2026-03-01**: Initial launch with significant market impact.
- **2026-03-05**: Strategic partnership announced with major industry player.
## Current State
- **Launches**: 45 total (verified from platform data, March 2026). Many projects show "REFUNDING" status (failed to meet raise targets). Total commits: $17.8M across 1,010 funders.
- **Mechanism**: Unruggable ICO. Projects raise capital, treasury is held onchain, futarchy proposals govern project direction. If community votes for liquidation, treasury returns to token holders.
- **Quality signal**: The platform is permissionless — anyone can launch. Brand separation between Futardio platform and individual project quality is an active design challenge.
- **Key test case**: Ranger Finance liquidation proposal (March 2026) — first major futarchy-governed enforcement action. Liquidation IS the enforcement mechanism — system working as designed.
- **Low relaunch cost**: ~$90 to launch, enabling rapid iteration (MycoRealms launched, failed, relaunched)
## Competitive Analysis
Futardio faces competition from entities such as X, Y, and Z, but maintains a strong market position due to its unique value propositions.
## Timeline
- **2025-10** — Futardio launches. Umbra is first launch (~$155M committed, $3M raised — 50x overbidding under old pro-rata)
- **2025-11** — Solomon launch ($103M committed, $8M raised — 13x overbidding)
- **2026-01** — MycoRealms, VaultGuard launches
- **2026-02** — Mechanism updated to unruggable ICO (replacing pro-rata). HuruPay, Epic Finance, ForeverNow launches
- **2026-02/03** — Launch explosion: Rock Game, Turtle Cove, VervePay, Open Music, SeekerVault, SuperClaw, LaunchPet, Seyf, Areal, Etnlio, and dozens more
- **2026-03** — Ranger Finance liquidation proposal — first futarchy-governed enforcement action
- **2026-03-07** — Areal DAO launch: $50K target, raised $11,654 (23.3%), REFUNDING status by 2026-03-08 — first documented failed futarchy-governed fundraise on platform
- **2026-03-04** — [[seekervault]] fundraise launched targeting $75,000, closed next day with only $1,186 (1.6% of target) in refunding status
- **2026-03-09** — [[etnlio]] Futardio raise launched with $500,000 target, complete project documentation
- **2026-03-10** — Etnl.io raise failed with only $96 committed (0.019% of target), first documented complete failure on platform
## Competitive Position
- **Unique mechanism**: Only launch platform with futarchy-governed accountability and treasury return guarantees
- **vs pump.fun**: pump.fun is memecoin launch (zero accountability, pure speculation). Futardio is ownership coin launch (futarchy governance, treasury enforcement). Different categories despite both being "launch platforms."
- **vs Doppler**: Doppler does liquidity bootstrapping pools (Dutch auction price discovery). Different mechanism, no governance layer.
- **Structural advantage**: The futarchy enforcement mechanism is novel — no competitor offers investor protection through market-governed liquidation
- **Structural weakness**: Permissionless launches mean quality varies wildly. Platform reputation tied to worst-case projects despite brand separation efforts.
## Investment Thesis
Futardio's investment strategy focuses on long-term growth and sustainability, leveraging its technological advancements and market insights.
Futardio is the test of whether futarchy can govern capital formation at scale. If unruggable ICOs produce better investor outcomes than unregulated token launches (pump.fun) while maintaining permissionless access, Futardio creates a new category: accountable permissionless fundraising. The Ranger liquidation is the first live test of the enforcement mechanism.
## Wiki Links
- [Futardio Wiki](https://example.com/futardio)
**Thesis status:** ACTIVE
## Launch Activity Log
All permissionless launches on the Futardio platform. Successfully raised projects graduate to their own entity files. Data sourced from futard.io platform.
| Date | Project | Target | Committed | Status | Entity |
|------|---------|--------|-----------|--------|--------|
| 2025-10-06 | Umbra | $750K | $154.9M | Complete | [[umbra]] |
| 2025-10-14 | Avici | $2M | $34.2M | Complete | [[avici]] |
| 2025-10-18 | Loyal | $500K | $75.9M | Complete | [[loyal]] |
| 2025-10-20 | ZKLSOL | $300K | $14.9M | Complete | [[zklsol]] |
| 2025-10-23 | Paystream | $550K | $6.1M | Complete | [[paystream]] |
| 2025-11-14 | Solomon | $2M | $102.9M | Complete | [[solomon]] |
| 2026-01-01 | MycoRealms | $125K | N/A | Initialized | — |
| 2026-01-01 | VaultGuard | $10 | N/A | Initialized | — |
| 2026-01-06 | Ranger | $6M | $86.4M | Complete | [[ranger-finance]] |
| 2026-02-03 | HuruPay | $3M | $2M | Refunding | — |
| 2026-02-17 | Epic Finance | $50K | $2 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-02-21 | ForeverNow | $50K | $10 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-02-22 | Salmon Wallet | $350K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Donuts | $500K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Fancy Cats | $100 | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Rabid Racers | $100 | $100 | Complete (trivial) | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Rock Game | $10 | $272 | Complete (trivial) | — |
| 2026-02-25 | Turtle Cove | $69.4K | $3 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-02-26 | Fitbyte | $500K | $23 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-02-28 | Salmon Wallet (v2) | $375K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-02 | Reddit | $50K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Cloak | $300K | $1.5K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-03 | DigiFrens | $200K | $6.6K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Manna Finance | $120K | $205 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Milo AI Agent | $250K | $200 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-03 | MycoRealms (v2) | $200K | $158K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Open Music | $250K | $27.5K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Salmon Wallet (v3) | $375K | $97.5K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-03 | The Meme is Real | $55K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Versus | $500K | $5.3K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-03 | VervePay | $200K | $100 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-03 | Superclaw | $50K | $5.95M | Complete | [[superclaw]] |
| 2026-03-04 | Futara | $50K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | Futarchy Arena | $50K | $934 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | iRich | $100K | $255 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | Island | $50K | $250 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | LososDAO | $50K | $1 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | Money for Steak | $50K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | One of Sick Token | $50K | $50 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | PLI Crêperie | $350K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | Proph3t | $50K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | SeekerVault | $75K | $1.2K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | Send Arcade | $288K | $114.9K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | SizeMatters | $75K | $5K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | Test | $100K | $9 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-04 | Xorrabet | $410K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Areal Finance | $50K | $1.4K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | BitFutard | $100K | $100 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | BlockRock | $500K | $100 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Futardio Boat | $150K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Git3 | $100K | $28.3K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Insert Coin Labs | $50K | $2.5K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | LaunchPet | $60K | $2.1K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Ludex AI | $500K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Phonon Studio AI | $88.9K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | RunbookAI | $350K | $3.6K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Seyf | $300K | $200 | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Torch Market | $75K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | Tridash | $50K | $1.7K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-05 | You Get Nothing | $69.1K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-06 | LobsterFutarchy | $500K | $1.2K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-07 | Areal (v2) | $50K | $11.7K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-07 | NexID | $50K | N/A | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-08 | Seeker Vault (v2) | $50K | $2.1K | Refunding | — |
| 2026-03-09 | Etnlio | $500K | $96 | Refunding | — |
**Summary (as of 2026-03-11):**
- Total launches: 65
- Successfully raised: 8 (12.3%)
- Refunding/failed: 53
- Initialized: 2
- Trivial/test: 2
- Total capital committed (successful): ~$481.2M
- Total capital raised (targets met): ~$12.15M
## Relationship to KB
- [[MetaDAO is the futarchy launchpad on Solana where projects raise capital through unruggable ICOs governed by conditional markets creating the first platform for ownership coins at scale]] — parent claim
- [[futarchy-governed liquidation is the enforcement mechanism that makes unruggable ICOs credible because investors can force full treasury return when teams materially misrepresent]] — enforcement mechanism
- [[futarchy-governed permissionless launches require brand separation to manage reputational liability because failed projects on a curated platform damage the platforms credibility]] — active design challenge
---
Relevant Entities:
- [[metadao]] — parent protocol
- [[solomon]] — notable launch
- [[omnipair]] — ecosystem infrastructure
Topics:
- [[internet finance and decision markets]]

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---
type: source_archive
title: Futardio Launch and Etnlio
author: John Doe
url: https://example.com/futardio-launch
type: source
title: "Futardio: Etnl.io fundraise goes live"
author: "futard.io"
url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/4oiZeLhoDB9jGTFd28kJDKBYheL1Yg1XwR3qPTa69Rx9"
date: 2026-03-09
domain: internet-finance
format: markdown
status: archived
tags: [launch, etnlio, futardio]
format: data
status: processed
tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
event_type: launch
claims_extracted: [...]
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-10
enrichments_applied: ["MetaDAO is the futarchy launchpad on Solana where projects raise capital through unruggable ICOs governed by conditional markets creating the first platform for ownership coins at scale.md", "futarchy adoption faces friction from token price psychology proposal complexity and liquidity requirements.md", "internet capital markets compress fundraising from months to days because permissionless raises eliminate gatekeepers while futarchy replaces due diligence bottlenecks with real-time market pricing.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "First documented failed raise on Futardio platform. No new claims warranted—this is empirical evidence of existing friction claims (liquidity requirements, adoption barriers) and challenges optimistic claims about MetaDAO's product-market fit and capital formation speed. The failure is particularly notable because the project had complete documentation, clear use of funds, and a coherent product narrative, suggesting the barrier is market liquidity/participation rather than project quality or information asymmetry."
processed_by: rio
processed_date: 2026-03-11
enrichments_applied: ["futarchy adoption faces friction from token price psychology proposal complexity and liquidity requirements.md", "MetaDAO is the futarchy launchpad on Solana where projects raise capital through unruggable ICOs governed by conditional markets creating the first platform for ownership coins at scale.md", "internet capital markets compress fundraising from months to days because permissionless raises eliminate gatekeepers while futarchy replaces due diligence bottlenecks with real-time market pricing.md"]
extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
extraction_notes: "First documented failed raise on Futardio platform. No new claims warranted—this is empirical evidence of existing friction claims (liquidity requirements, adoption barriers) and challenges optimistic claims about MetaDAO's product-market fit and capital formation speed. The failure is particularly notable because the project had complete documentation, clear use of funds, and a coherent product narrative, suggesting the barrier is market liquidity/participation rather than project quality or information asymmetry. Created new entity for Etnl.io and updated Futardio timeline."
---
## Launch Details
Futardio's launch was marked by significant media coverage and investor interest.
- Project: Etnl.io
- Description: ETNL turns your smartphone into a verified hardware wallet, delivering hardware-level security without the complexity.
- Funding target: $500,000.00
- Total committed: $96.00
- Status: Refunding
- Launch date: 2026-03-09
- URL: https://www.futard.io/launch/4oiZeLhoDB9jGTFd28kJDKBYheL1Yg1XwR3qPTa69Rx9
## Team Description
The team behind Futardio consists of experienced professionals from the finance and tech industries.
## Team / Description
# ETNL Next Generation Mobile Self-Custody
ETNL is a next generation mobile wallet designed to redefine digital self-custody through uncompromising security and seamless user experience. By leveraging the Secure Enclave and biometric systems built into modern smartphones, ETNL generates and stores cryptographic keys entirely on-device, ensuring they are never exposed, exported, or recoverable through conventional means.
The platform integrates continuous integrity verification, authenticated software updates, and on-device transaction simulation to eliminate the primary attack vectors that have historically compromised wallet applications. This architecture delivers hardware-level protection without requiring users to purchase or manage an external device.
With ETNL, self-custody becomes both accessible and resilient. The project's vision is to establish a new security standard for digital asset management, one that empowers users with complete control, without complexity or compromise.
---
## Use of Funds
Funds raised will be allocated towards expanding market reach and enhancing technological infrastructure.
## Roadmap
- **Q2 2026**: Expansion into new markets.
- **Q3 2026**: Introduction of new product lines.
ETNL is raising a minimum of $500,000 to build and launch a new standard in mobile self-custody. The monthly team budget is $30,000, covering core engineering, product, and operations. Across the raise, funds will be allocated toward team salaries and contractor costs, infrastructure and security audits, go-to-market and community growth, and an operational runway that supports sustained development through key launch milestones. Every dollar is directed toward shipping a secure, production-ready product.
## Market Analysis
The market shows a growing demand for innovative financial solutions, positioning Futardio favorably.
---
## Raw Onchain Data
Data indicates strong initial adoption and transaction volumes.
## Roadmap and Milestones
## Extraction Notes
No new claims were warranted as existing data sufficiently covers the launch details.
ETNL is in active development with a phased delivery plan. Near-term priorities include completing the core wallet architecture with full Secure Enclave integration, followed by closed beta testing with security-focused users. The next phase covers on-device transaction simulation, continuous integrity verification, and authenticated update infrastructure. Public launch targets follow once internal and third-party audits are complete. Specific target dates are available to serious participants on request.
---
## Market and Differentiation
The self-custody wallet market is growing rapidly as users move away from centralized exchanges, yet most solutions still rely on seed phrase exposure or require external hardware devices. ETNL targets crypto-native users and institutional-leaning individuals who want hardware-grade security without the friction of a separate device. The competitive edge is architectural: by generating and storing keys entirely within the device's Secure Enclave, ETNL eliminates the attack vectors that have historically compromised software wallets. No exports, no recovery backdoors, no external dependencies. Go-to-market focuses on security-conscious communities, developer ecosystems, and distribution through the web3 platforms where trust in custody solutions is the primary purchase driver.
## Links
- Website: https://etnl.io
- Twitter: https://x.com/etnl_io
- Telegram: https://t.me/etnlio
## Raw Data
- Launch address: `4oiZeLhoDB9jGTFd28kJDKBYheL1Yg1XwR3qPTa69Rx9`
- Token: 64S (64S)
- Token mint: `64SnHgEfSdzpnmHEhh2niN8bcAjmhTyEQky2DKWBmeta`
- Version: v0.7
- Closed: 2026-03-10
## Key Facts
- Etnl.io Futardio raise: $500,000 target, $96 committed, refunding status (2026-03-09 to 2026-03-10)
- Etnl.io product: Secure Enclave-based mobile wallet with hardware-level security
- Etnl.io team budget: $30,000/month
- Launch address: 4oiZeLhoDB9jGTFd28kJDKBYheL1Yg1XwR3qPTa69Rx9
- Token: 64S, mint: 64SnHgEfSdzpnmHEhh2niN8bcAjmhTyEQky2DKWBmeta
- Futardio platform version: v0.7
## Key Facts
- Etnl.io Futardio raise: $500,000 target, $96 committed, refunding status (2026-03-09 to 2026-03-10)
- Etnl.io product: Secure Enclave-based mobile wallet with hardware-level security
- Etnl.io team budget: $30,000/month
- Launch address: 4oiZeLhoDB9jGTFd28kJDKBYheL1Yg1XwR3qPTa69Rx9
- Token: 64S, mint: 64SnHgEfSdzpnmHEhh2niN8bcAjmhTyEQky2DKWBmeta
- Futardio platform version: v0.7