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11 changed files with 128 additions and 37 deletions
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@ -71,6 +71,12 @@ Dean's List DAO proposal (DgXa6gy7nAFFWe8VDkiReQYhqe1JSYQCJWUBV8Mm6aM) used Auto
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Autocrat v0.1 made the three-day window configurable rather than hardcoded, with the proposer stating it was 'most importantly' designed to 'allow for quicker feedback loops.' The proposal passed with 990K META migrated, demonstrating community acceptance of parameterized proposal duration.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2024-07-04-futardio-proposal-proposal-3]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
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Proposal #3 on MetaDAO (account EXehk1u3qUJZSxJ4X3nHsiTocRhzwq3eQAa6WKxeJ8Xs) ran on Autocrat version 0.3, created 2024-07-04, and completed/ended 2024-07-08 - confirming the four-day operational window (proposal creation plus three-day settlement period) specified in the mechanism design.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -35,6 +35,12 @@ FitByte ICO attracted only $23 in total commitments against a $500,000 target be
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Dean's List ThailandDAO proposal (DgXa6gy7nAFFWe8VDkiReQYhqe1JSYQCJWUBV8Mm6aM) failed on 2024-06-25 despite projecting 16x FDV increase with only 3% TWAP threshold required. The proposal explicitly calculated that $73.95 per-participant value creation across 50 participants would meet the threshold, yet failed to attract sufficient trading volume. This extends the 'limited trading volume' pattern from uncontested decisions to contested-but-favorable proposals, suggesting the participation problem is broader than initial observations indicated.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2024-07-04-futardio-proposal-proposal-3]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
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Proposal #3 failed with no indication of trading activity or market participation in the on-chain data, consistent with the pattern of minimal engagement in proposals without controversy or competitive dynamics.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -1,26 +0,0 @@
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---
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type: claim
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domain: internet-finance
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description: When DAOs pay contributors in governance tokens rather than stablecoins, the majority of recipients immediately sell creating systematic downward pressure
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confidence: experimental
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source: The Dean's List DAO proposal via futard.io
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created: 2026-03-15
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---
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# DAO contributor payment in governance tokens creates sell pressure offset requiring 80 percent buy volume premium for net positive price action
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The Dean's List DAO proposal explicitly models the sell pressure created by paying contributors in governance tokens. Their assumption is that 80% of DAO citizens who receive $DEAN tokens as payment will immediately sell to 'pay their bills' - converting tokens back to fiat or stablecoins.
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In their worked example, 560k $DEAN tokens are distributed as payment, and 448k (80%) immediately hit the market as sell orders. This creates a structural challenge: the DAO must generate enough buy pressure through treasury purchases to overcome this systematic selling.
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Their proposed solution requires the DAO to purchase MORE tokens than it distributes in dollar terms - specifically, they buy 2000 USDC worth of tokens but only 80% of that value (1600 USDC equivalent) returns as sell pressure. The 20% retention by contributors who don't immediately sell, combined with the 20% treasury tax kept in USDC, creates the net positive price action.
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This reveals a fundamental constraint on token-based contributor compensation: unless the DAO can generate buy pressure exceeding 80% of the token value distributed, the payment mechanism itself becomes a source of price decline. The model only works when revenue exceeds operating costs by enough margin to absorb the sell pressure.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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- treasury-buyback-model-creates-constant-buy-pressure-by-converting-revenue-to-governance-token-purchases.md
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Topics:
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- [[_map]]
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@ -0,0 +1,20 @@
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---
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type: claim
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domain: internet-finance
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description: Human judgment layer resolves ambiguity in automated reward systems while maintaining credible commitment
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confidence: experimental
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source: Drift Futarchy proposal execution structure
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created: 2026-03-15
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---
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# Futarchy incentive programs use multisig execution groups as discretionary override because pure algorithmic distribution cannot handle edge cases or gaming attempts
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The Drift proposal establishes a 2/3 multisig execution group (metaprophet, Sumatt, Lmvdzande) to distribute the 50,000 DRIFT budget according to the outlined rules. Critically, the proposal grants this group discretion in two areas: (1) determining 'exact criteria' for the activity pool to filter non-organic participation, and (2) deciding which proposals qualify if successful proposals exceed the budget. The group also receives 3,000 DRIFT for their work and has authority to return excess funds to the treasury. This structure acknowledges that pure algorithmic distribution fails when faced with gaming, ambiguous cases, or unforeseen circumstances. The multisig provides a credible commitment mechanism - the proposal passes based on general principles, but execution requires human judgment. The group composition (known futarchy advocates) provides reputational accountability.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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- futarchy-governed DAOs converge on traditional corporate governance scaffolding for treasury operations because market mechanisms alone cannot provide operational security and legal compliance.md
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Topics:
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- [[_map]]
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@ -0,0 +1,21 @@
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---
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type: claim
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domain: internet-finance
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description: Three-month clawback period filters for proposals that create lasting value versus short-term manipulation
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confidence: experimental
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source: Drift Futarchy proposal structure
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created: 2026-03-15
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---
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# Futarchy proposer incentives require delayed vesting to prevent gaming because immediate rewards enable proposal spam for token extraction rather than quality governance
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The Drift proposal structures proposer rewards with a three-month delay between proposal passage and token claim. Passing proposals earn up to 5,000 DRIFT each, but tokens are only claimable after three months. This delay creates a quality filter: proposers must believe their proposals will create sustained value that survives the vesting period. Without this delay, rational actors could spam low-quality proposals to extract rewards, knowing they can exit before negative effects manifest. The proposal also includes an executor group discretion clause - if successful proposals exceed expectations, the group can decide which top N proposals split the allocation. This combines time-based filtering with human judgment to prevent gaming. The 20,000 DRIFT activity pool uses the same three-month delay, with criteria finalized by the execution group to 'filter for non organic activity.'
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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- futarchy adoption faces friction from token price psychology proposal complexity and liquidity requirements.md
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- performance-unlocked-team-tokens-with-price-multiple-triggers-and-twap-settlement-create-long-term-alignment-without-initial-dilution.md
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Topics:
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- [[_map]]
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@ -0,0 +1,20 @@
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---
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type: claim
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domain: internet-finance
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description: Token distributions to historical participants leverage behavioral economics to seed active markets
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confidence: experimental
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source: Drift Futarchy proposal, endowment effect literature
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created: 2026-03-15
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---
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# Futarchy retroactive rewards bootstrap participation through endowment effect by converting past engagement into token holdings that create psychological ownership
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The Drift Futarchy incentive program explicitly uses retroactive token distribution to MetaDAO participants as a mechanism to bootstrap engagement. The proposal cites the endowment effect - the behavioral economics finding that people value things more highly once they own them - as the theoretical basis. By distributing 9,600 DRIFT to 32 MetaDAO participants based on historical activity (5+ interactions over 30+ days), plus 2,400 DRIFT to AMM swappers, the proposal creates a cohort of token holders who have psychological ownership before the futarchy system launches. This differs from standard airdrops by explicitly targeting demonstrated forecasters rather than broad distribution. The tiered structure (100-400 DRIFT based on META holdings) further segments by engagement level. The proposal pairs this with forward incentives (5,000 DRIFT per passing proposal, 20,000 DRIFT activity pool) to convert initial ownership into sustained participation.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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- MetaDAO is the futarchy launchpad on Solana where projects raise capital through unruggable ICOs governed by conditional markets creating the first platform for ownership coins at scale.md
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Topics:
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- [[_map]]
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@ -40,7 +40,7 @@ The proposal passed MetaDAO governance but represents a single implementation wi
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### Additional Evidence (extend)
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*Source: [[2024-07-18-futardio-proposal-enhancing-the-deans-list-dao-economic-model]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
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The Dean's List DAO proposal provides specific quantitative modeling: with 2500 USDC per service and 20% treasury tax, 2000 USDC of market purchases creates 560k token distribution, of which 80% (448k tokens) returns as sell pressure. They project this creates 5.33% FDV increase from $337,074 to $355,028 over one month with 6 services delivered.
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The Dean's List DAO proposal provides specific quantitative modeling: with 400 USDC daily purchases against 500 USDC baseline volume (80% increase), and assuming 80% of distributed tokens are immediately sold, the model still achieves 5.33% FDV increase through structural buy pressure exceeding sell pressure by 20% per cycle. The mechanism creates 'higher lows' on each cycle because the DAO never depletes token reserves while continuously injecting stablecoin liquidity.
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---
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@ -58,14 +58,12 @@ The futarchy governance protocol on Solana. Implements decision markets through
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- **2024-03-02** — [[metadao-increase-meta-liquidity-dutch-auction]] passed: completed Dutch auction and liquidity provision, moving all protocol-owned liquidity to Meteora 1% fee pool
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- **2025-01-27** — [[metadao-otc-trade-theia-2]] proposed: Theia offers $500K for 370.370 META at 14% premium with 12-month vesting
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- **2025-01-30** — [[metadao-otc-trade-theia-2]] passed: Theia acquires 370.370 META tokens for $500,000 USDC
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- **2023-11-18** — metadao-develop-lst-vote-market proposed: first product development proposal requesting 3,000 META to build Votium-style validator bribe platform for MNDE/mSOL holders
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- **2023-11-29** — metadao-develop-lst-vote-market passed: approved LST Vote Market development with projected $10.5M enterprise value addition
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- **2023-11-18** — [[metadao-develop-lst-vote-market]] proposed: first product development proposal requesting 3,000 META to build Votium-style validator bribe platform for MNDE/mSOL holders
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- **2023-11-29** — [[metadao-develop-lst-vote-market]] passed: approved LST Vote Market development with projected $10.5M enterprise value addition
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- **2023-12-03** — Proposed Autocrat v0.1 migration with configurable proposal slots and 3-day default duration
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- **2023-12-13** — Completed Autocrat v0.1 migration, moving 990,000 META, 10,025 USDC, and 5.5 SOL to new program despite unverifiable build
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- **2024-01-24** — Proposed AMM program to replace CLOB markets, addressing liquidity fragmentation and state rent costs (Proposal CF9QUBS251FnNGZHLJ4WbB2CVRi5BtqJbCqMi47NX1PG)
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- **2024-01-29** — AMM proposal passed with 400 META on approval and 800 META on completion budget
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- **2024-07-04** — Proposal #3 created on MetaDAO using Autocrat v0.3
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- **2024-07-08** — Proposal #3 failed and completed, demonstrating operational futarchy governance cycle
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## Key Decisions
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| Date | Proposal | Proposer | Category | Outcome |
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|------|----------|----------|----------|---------|
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@ -0,0 +1,33 @@
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{
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"rejected_claims": [
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{
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"filename": "treasury-buyback-model-creates-constant-buy-pressure-by-converting-revenue-to-governance-token-purchases.md",
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"issues": [
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"no_frontmatter"
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]
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},
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{
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"filename": "dao-stablecoin-revenue-with-token-payment-hedges-price-volatility-through-treasury-tax-retention.md",
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"issues": [
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"no_frontmatter"
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]
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}
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],
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"validation_stats": {
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"total": 2,
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"kept": 0,
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"fixed": 3,
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"rejected": 2,
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"fixes_applied": [
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"treasury-buyback-model-creates-constant-buy-pressure-by-converting-revenue-to-governance-token-purchases.md:set_created:2026-03-15",
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"treasury-buyback-model-creates-constant-buy-pressure-by-converting-revenue-to-governance-token-purchases.md:stripped_wiki_link:ownership-coin-treasuries-should-be-actively-managed-through",
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"dao-stablecoin-revenue-with-token-payment-hedges-price-volatility-through-treasury-tax-retention.md:set_created:2026-03-15"
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],
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"rejections": [
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"treasury-buyback-model-creates-constant-buy-pressure-by-converting-revenue-to-governance-token-purchases.md:no_frontmatter",
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"dao-stablecoin-revenue-with-token-payment-hedges-price-volatility-through-treasury-tax-retention.md:no_frontmatter"
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]
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},
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"model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
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"date": "2026-03-15"
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}
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@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/EXehk1u3qUJZSxJ4X3nHsiTocRhzwq3eQAa6WKxeJ8X
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date: 2024-07-04
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domain: internet-finance
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format: data
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status: unprocessed
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status: enrichment
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tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana, governance]
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event_type: proposal
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processed_by: rio
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@ -14,6 +14,10 @@ processed_date: 2024-12-10
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enrichments_applied: ["MetaDAOs Autocrat program implements futarchy through conditional token markets where proposals create parallel pass and fail universes settled by time-weighted average price over a three-day window.md", "MetaDAOs futarchy implementation shows limited trading volume in uncontested decisions.md"]
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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extraction_notes: "Structured data from a failed MetaDAO proposal. No new claims warranted - this is factual evidence of the futarchy mechanism in operation. Enriches existing claims about MetaDAO's Autocrat implementation with concrete on-chain data and timeline. The source contains only verifiable facts about proposal metadata, not arguable propositions."
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processed_by: rio
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processed_date: 2026-03-15
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enrichments_applied: ["MetaDAOs Autocrat program implements futarchy through conditional token markets where proposals create parallel pass and fail universes settled by time-weighted average price over a three-day window.md", "MetaDAOs futarchy implementation shows limited trading volume in uncontested decisions.md"]
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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---
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## Proposal Details
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@ -42,3 +46,12 @@ extraction_notes: "Structured data from a failed MetaDAO proposal. No new claims
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- Proposal created: 2024-07-04
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- Proposal completed and ended: 2024-07-08
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- Proposal status: Failed
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## Key Facts
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- MetaDAO Proposal #3 account: EXehk1u3qUJZSxJ4X3nHsiTocRhzwq3eQAa6WKxeJ8Xs
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- MetaDAO DAO account: GWywkp2mY2vzAaLydR2MBXRCqk2vBTyvtVRioujxi5Ce
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- Proposal #3 proposer: HwBL75xHHKcXSMNcctq3UqWaEJPDWVQz6NazZJNjWaQc
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- Proposal #3 used Autocrat version 0.3
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- Proposal #3 status: Failed
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- Proposal #3 timeline: Created 2024-07-04, Completed and Ended 2024-07-08
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@ -6,12 +6,11 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/5c2XSWQ9rVPge2Umoz1yenZcAwRaQS5bC4i4w87B1WU
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date: 2024-07-18
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domain: internet-finance
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format: data
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status: processed
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status: enrichment
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tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana, governance]
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event_type: proposal
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processed_by: rio
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processed_date: 2026-03-15
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claims_extracted: ["dao-contributor-payment-in-governance-tokens-creates-sell-pressure-offset-requiring-80-percent-buy-volume-premium-for-net-positive-price-action.md"]
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enrichments_applied: ["treasury-buyback-model-creates-constant-buy-pressure-by-converting-revenue-to-governance-token-purchases.md"]
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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---
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@ -155,6 +154,7 @@ This way we create volume (3600 \$USDC volume) and the price action is always po
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## Key Facts
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- The Dean's List DAO proposal 5c2XSWQ9rVPge2Umoz1yenZcAwRaQS5bC4i4w87B1WUp passed on 2024-07-22
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- The Dean's List DAO had $337,074 FDV with 100M circulating $DEAN tokens at $0.00337 price in July 2024
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- The Dean's List DAO charges 2,500 USDC per dApp review
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- The proposal implemented 20% DAO tax retained in USDC with 80% used for token purchases
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- The Dean's List DAO charges 2500 USDC per dApp review
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- The Dean's List DAO had $337,074 FDV and $500 daily trading volume as of July 2024
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- The proposal was submitted by proposer account 8Cwx4yR2sFAC5Pdx2NgGHxCk1gJrtSTxJoyqVonqndhq
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- The proposal used Autocrat version 0.3
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