rio: extract from 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-futarchy-arena.md

- Source: inbox/archive/2026-03-04-futardio-launch-futarchy-arena.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Extracted by: headless extraction cron (worker 3)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <HEADLESS>

entities/internet-finance/futarchy-arena.md

@@ -4,9 +4,7 @@ entity_type: company
 name: "Futarchy Arena"
 domain: internet-finance
 status: failed
-parent_entity: "[[futardio]]"
+platform: "futardio"
-platform: "Futardio"
-founded: 2026-03-04
 tracked_by: rio
 created: 2026-03-11
 key_metrics:
@@ -18,14 +16,15 @@ key_metrics:
 
 # Futarchy Arena
 
-Futarchy Arena was a competitive onchain futarchy game where players made predictions on strategic decisions rather than voting. Each round introduced decisions (capital allocations, strategy shifts, reward changes) that were resolved through prediction markets with measurable outcomes. The project included a leaderboard tracking prediction accuracy, profitability, risk-adjusted returns, and consistency across seasons.
+Futarchy Arena is a competitive onchain futarchy game where players predict on strategic decisions rather than vote, with markets determining outcomes and a persistent leaderboard tracking prediction accuracy, profitability, and risk-adjusted returns across seasons.
 
-Launched on Futardio on March 4, 2026, seeking $50,000 with a $1,000 monthly spending cap. The fundraise failed to reach its target, collecting only $934 before entering refunding status on March 5, 2026.
+The project launched a fundraise on Futardio targeting $50,000 USDC with a $1,000 monthly spending cap but failed to reach its target, raising only $934 before entering refunding status.
 
 ## Timeline
-- **2026-03-04** — Launched fundraise on Futardio seeking $50,000 with $1,000 monthly spending cap
+- **2026-03-04** — Launched fundraise on Futardio targeting $50,000 with $1,000 monthly spending cap
 - **2026-03-05** — Fundraise closed in refunding status with $934 committed (1.9% of target)
 
 ## Relationship to KB
 - [[futardio]] — launched on this platform
-- [[MetaDAO]] — implements similar futarchy governance mechanisms
+- [[MetaDAO]] — implements futarchy governance model that this game gamifies
+- [[futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale]] — contrasts with this failed serious application

entities/internet-finance/futardio.md

@@ -46,7 +46,7 @@ MetaDAO's token launch platform. Implements "unruggable ICOs" — permissionless
 
 - **2026-03-07** — Areal DAO launch: $50K target, raised $11,654 (23.3%), REFUNDING status by 2026-03-08 — first documented failed futarchy-governed fundraise on platform
 - **2026-03-04** — [[seekervault]] fundraise launched targeting $75,000, closed next day with only $1,186 (1.6% of target) in refunding status
-- **2026-03-04** — [[futarchy-arena]] fundraise launched seeking $50,000, failed with $934 committed (refunding)
+- **2026-03-04** — [[futarchy-arena]] launched fundraise targeting $50,000, closed next day with only $934 (refunding)
 ## Competitive Position
 - **Unique mechanism**: Only launch platform with futarchy-governed accountability and treasury return guarantees
 - **vs pump.fun**: pump.fun is memecoin launch (zero accountability, pure speculation). Futardio is ownership coin launch (futarchy governance, treasury enforcement). Different categories despite both being "launch platforms."

inbox/archive/2026-03-04-futardio-launch-futarchy-arena.md

@@ -12,7 +12,7 @@ event_type: launch
 processed_by: rio
 processed_date: 2026-03-11
 extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
-extraction_notes: "Futarchy Arena fundraise launch - failed to meet minimum threshold. Entity created to track the launch event, but no novel claims extracted. The project description contains futarchy mechanism concepts already covered in existing KB claims. Fundraise failure is factual data (status: refunding, $934/$50,000) not an arguable claim."
+extraction_notes: "Failed fundraise for futarchy game concept. No novel claims about futarchy mechanisms—just describes standard conditional market mechanics applied to competitive gaming. Entity created to track the launch/failure event. Project falls below significance threshold for detailed analysis but worth tracking as a futarchy application attempt on Futardio platform."
 ---
 
 ## Launch Details
@@ -144,8 +144,8 @@ Futarchy Arena makes that measurable.
 
 
 ## Key Facts
-- Futarchy Arena raised $934 of $50,000 target (1.9% success rate)
+- Futarchy Arena fundraise launched 2026-03-04 targeting $50,000 USDC
-- Launch address: 8UjuYsm1m8uNNVSeA1NSwvV6ch9G2QC14yKvpXjrRgw
+- Futarchy Arena raised $934 total (1.9% of target) before refunding
-- Token: DXS (DXSunZYhvgwe78jVk2MKtjpEVzj7hcuAkfi79jxtmeta)
+- Futarchy Arena proposed $1,000 monthly spending cap for 50-month runway
-- Monthly spending cap: $1,000
+- Futarchy Arena game loop: decision proposed → YES/NO markets open → players trade → outcome evaluated → markets resolve → leaderboard updates
-- Closed: 2026-03-05
+- Futarchy Arena tracks prediction accuracy, profitability, risk-adjusted returns, and long-term consistency