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9 changed files with 5 additions and 122 deletions
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@ -12,12 +12,6 @@ created: 2026-03-04
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Rock Game raised $272 against a $10 target (27.2x oversubscription) on futardio, demonstrating continued ability of futarchy-governed launches to attract speculative capital even for trivial projects with minimal substance.
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### Additional Evidence (challenge)
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*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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XorraBet raised N/A (effectively $0) against a $410K target despite positioning as a futarchy-governed betting platform with a $166B addressable market narrative. This suggests futarchy governance alone does not guarantee capital attraction when the underlying product lacks market validation or credibility.
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---
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# Futarchy-governed meme coins attract speculative capital at scale
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@ -47,12 +47,6 @@ This structure is untested in practice. Key risks:
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MycoRealms allocates 3M tokens (18.9% of supply) to team with zero circulating at launch, unlocking only at 2x/4x/8x/16x/32x ICO price via 3-month TWAP after 18-month cliff. Physical infrastructure project demonstrates mechanism applies beyond pure digital contexts.
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### Additional Evidence (confirm)
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*Source: [[2026-03-04-futardio-launch-xorrabet]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
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XorraBet structured 4M team tokens (20% of supply) with five tranches unlocking at 2x, 4x, 8x, 16x, and 32x price multiples, with an 18-month cliff and 3-month TWAP evaluation. At launch, 0 team tokens circulate, and if the token never reaches 2x, the team receives nothing.
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---
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Relevant Notes:
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@ -21,7 +21,6 @@ Creator-owned streaming platform focused on comedy content. Reached 1M+ subscrib
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- **2024-08-01** — Profiled by Variety as part of emerging indie streaming category alongside Nebula and Critical Role
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- **2025-10-XX** — Reached 1M+ subscribers milestone
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- **2026-03-01** — CVL Economics analysis reveals 1M+ subscribers generating $80-90M revenue with 40-45% EBITDA margins and 40 full-time employees, achieving $3.0-3.3M revenue per employee. Platform maintains stable pricing for 3+ years, grandfathers legacy subscriber rates, encourages password sharing, and distributes profits to all contributors including unsuccessful auditionees. Estimated to have reached 50-67% penetration of total addressable market.
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## Relationship to KB
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- [[creator-owned-streaming-infrastructure-has-reached-commercial-scale-with-430M-annual-creator-revenue-across-13M-subscribers]]
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@ -1,43 +0,0 @@
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{
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"rejected_claims": [
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{
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"filename": "permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md",
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"issues": [
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"missing_attribution_extractor"
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]
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},
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{
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"filename": "futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md",
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"issues": [
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"missing_attribution_extractor"
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]
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},
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{
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"filename": "futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md",
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"issues": [
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"missing_attribution_extractor"
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]
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}
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],
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"validation_stats": {
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"total": 3,
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"kept": 0,
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"fixed": 6,
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"rejected": 3,
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"fixes_applied": [
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"permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md:set_created:2026-03-16",
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"permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md:stripped_wiki_link:internet-capital-markets-compress-fundraising-from-months-to",
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"futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md:set_created:2026-03-16",
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"futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md:stripped_wiki_link:futarchy-governed-liquidation-is-the-enforcement-mechanism-t",
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"futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md:set_created:2026-03-16",
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"futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md:stripped_wiki_link:cryptos-primary-use-case-is-capital-formation-not-payments-o"
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],
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"rejections": [
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"permissionless-futarchy-launches-create-continuous-fundraising-cultural-norm.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
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"futarchy-liquidation-as-pivot-mechanism-normalizes-failure-as-learning.md:missing_attribution_extractor",
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"futarchy-solves-10x-upside-funding-gap-in-traditional-vc.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
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]
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},
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"model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
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"date": "2026-03-16"
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}
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@ -6,13 +6,9 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/ActRESLUCdMzU4BnEE5VtMM2JG5ghZuKWkjXfiB5GdS7"
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date: 2026-03-04
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domain: internet-finance
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format: data
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status: null-result
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status: unprocessed
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tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
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event_type: launch
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processed_by: rio
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processed_date: 2026-03-16
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
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---
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## Launch Details
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@ -202,12 +198,3 @@ Secondary Market : Solana Degens
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- Token mint: `AaEYgXdHpzS9bBgAvDriVMvKDQUnqtVYAtLZJGjometa`
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- Version: v0.7
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- Closed: 2026-03-05
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## Key Facts
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- Send Arcade raised $114,933 against $288,000 minimum target on Futard.io, resulting in refund
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- Send Arcade had 9M+ on-chain plays and $200k+ ARR before independence
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- Send token was sunset 2 months before March 2026 fundraise
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- Send Arcade games achieved 20k+ plays across 3k+ unique users on Farcaster
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- Fundraise included 10% performance package configuration
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- Monthly team budget target was $20,000 USD for 11-month runway
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@ -6,13 +6,9 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/CtynMdGE4CwJuUSoYhRf4powwKwT8bWo5Dq2KiBVEiKm"
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date: 2026-03-04
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domain: internet-finance
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format: data
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status: null-result
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status: unprocessed
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tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
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event_type: launch
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processed_by: rio
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processed_date: 2026-03-16
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
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---
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## Launch Details
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@ -138,11 +134,3 @@ It is a new category: **provable, private, and socially viral sexual health infr
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- Token mint: `GPM6F86ritzhCvB7ZwkdxMEjgiXEiyW4nQ226PZemeta`
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- Version: v0.7
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- Closed: 2026-03-05
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## Key Facts
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- SizeMatters raised $4,969 against $75,000 target on futardio (6.6% success rate)
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- Launch used futardio v0.7 platform
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- Project claimed to train models on 4,000+ synthetic genital images generated from 3D Blender pipelines
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- Competitor Dr. Kegel reportedly generates ~$300k/month revenue
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- Planned capital allocation: 40% product/engineering, 30% growth, 20% compliance, 10% operations
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@ -6,13 +6,9 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/24fzAzy51sUFSnRf4qpTqSrrugiKcJ8uVh2TSnQrDdoY"
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date: 2026-03-04
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domain: internet-finance
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format: data
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status: enrichment
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status: unprocessed
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tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
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event_type: launch
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processed_by: rio
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processed_date: 2026-03-16
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enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale.md", "performance-unlocked-team-tokens-with-price-multiple-triggers-and-twap-settlement-create-long-term-alignment-without-initial-dilution.md"]
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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---
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## Launch Details
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@ -418,13 +414,3 @@ This aligns **protocol decisions with token holder incentives**.
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- Token mint: `FomAXpkLuZRXg4RHf8Rzedr4LjaeNTNhrDphChuQmeta`
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- Version: v0.7
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- Closed: 2026-03-05
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## Key Facts
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- XorraBet targeted $410,000 USDC fundraise on Futardio
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- Global online gambling projected to exceed $166B by 2030
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- XorraBet planned $29,000 monthly burn rate over 12 months
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- 20% of raised funds ($82K) allocated to liquidity provision
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- First post-raise proposal planned for $60K development spending
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- Token: Fom (FomAXpkLuZRXg4RHf8Rzedr4LjaeNTNhrDphChuQmeta)
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- Launch address: 24fzAzy51sUFSnRf4qpTqSrrugiKcJ8uVh2TSnQrDdoY
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@ -7,13 +7,9 @@ url: https://x.com/TheiaResearch/status/2029231349425684521
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date: 2026-03-04
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domain: internet-finance
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format: tweet
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status: null-result
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status: unprocessed
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priority: high
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tags: [metadao, futardio, fundraising, permissionless-launch, capital-formation]
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processed_by: rio
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processed_date: 2026-03-16
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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extraction_notes: "LLM returned 3 claims, 3 rejected by validator"
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---
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## Content
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@ -41,9 +37,3 @@ Futardio is a paradigm shift for capital markets. We will fund you - quickly and
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**Extraction hints:** At least 2-3 claims here: (1) permissionless launches create new fundraising cultural norms, (2) the 10x upside gap in traditional VC is a market failure that futarchy-governed launches solve, (3) public accountability from day 1 is a feature not a bug.
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**Context:** Felipe Montealegre runs Theia Research, a crypto-native investment firm focused on MetaDAO ecosystem. He's been one of the most articulate proponents of the futarchy-governed capital formation thesis. This tweet got 118 likes — high engagement for crypto-finance X.
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## Key Facts
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- Felipe Montealegre runs Theia Research, a crypto-native investment firm focused on MetaDAO ecosystem
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- This tweet received 118 likes, indicating high engagement for crypto-finance content on X
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- Montealegre identifies 'Public on Day 1' as a core founder skillset in futarchy-governed launches: 'Communicating with markets and liquid investors is a core founder skillset'
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@ -6,13 +6,9 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/rFdgjcZYHgcsGy44iyvN95JRjB3Yr8APps437cd2HEL"
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date: 2026-03-05
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domain: internet-finance
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format: data
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status: null-result
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status: unprocessed
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tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana]
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event_type: launch
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processed_by: rio
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processed_date: 2026-03-16
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extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
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extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator"
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---
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## Launch Details
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@ -206,11 +202,3 @@ Campaign live on futard.io — support the FUTARDIO Boat.
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- Token mint: `6AuEKXSe1yesLW4zFU8hqaevutQ87ow7meftr8Pbmeta`
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- Version: v0.7
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- Closed: 2026-03-06
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## Key Facts
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- FUTARDIO Boat targeted €150,000 raise for 24-month canal boat operations
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- Proposed monthly burn rate of €5,000 for lease, crew, and maintenance
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- Amsterdam canals require electric vessels for central canal access
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- Campaign closed March 6, 2026 in refunding status
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- Project planned May 2026 public launch if funded
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