rio: extract from 2026-02-17-futardio-launch-epic-finance.md

- Source: inbox/archive/2026-02-17-futardio-launch-epic-finance.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Extracted by: headless extraction cron (worker 4)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <HEADLESS>

entities/internet-finance/epic-finance-futardio-fundraise.md

@@ -1,47 +0,0 @@
----
-type: entity
-entity_type: decision_market
-name: "Epic Finance: Futardio Fundraise"
-domain: internet-finance
-status: failed
-parent_entity: "[[futardio]]"
-platform: "futardio"
-proposal_url: "https://www.futard.io/launch/2n4GG73NrvpmZCeZ3SPSUwzfWv1MyLSDBc29tRwUccPP"
-proposal_date: 2026-02-17
-resolution_date: 2026-02-18
-category: "fundraise"
-summary: "Epic Finance futarchy launch on Futardio targeting $50K failed with only $2 raised before entering refund status"
-key_metrics:
-  raise_target: "$50,000"
-  total_committed: "$2"
-  token_symbol: "9Ta"
-  token_mint: "9Ta7jjn8Zmyy2QX5ACCUuFaC4Tu8twQj4oAL7ybc3ftd"
-  launch_address: "2n4GG73NrvpmZCeZ3SPSUwzfWv1MyLSDBc29tRwUccPP"
-  platform_version: "v0.7"
-tracked_by: rio
-created: 2026-03-11
----
-
-# Epic Finance: Futardio Fundraise
-
-## Summary
-Epic Finance attempted a futarchy-governed fundraise on Futardio targeting $50,000 but raised only $2 before the launch closed and entered refunding status within 24 hours. The project description ("Epically financial") and team section contained placeholder text ("We Mark Down / The markdown. I need some help with AI."), suggesting minimal preparation or potentially a test launch.
-
-## Market Data
-- **Outcome:** Failed (Refunding)
-- **Raise Target:** $50,000.00
-- **Total Committed:** $2.00
-- **Launch Date:** 2026-02-17
-- **Closed Date:** 2026-02-18
-- **Token:** 9Ta (mint: 9Ta7jjn8Zmyy2QX5ACCUuFaC4Tu8twQj4oAL7ybc3ftd)
-- **Platform Version:** v0.7
-
-## Significance
-This launch represents a data point in the distribution of futarchy launch outcomes on Futardio. The 0.004% funding rate ($2 of $50K target) and placeholder team description suggest either a non-serious launch attempt or abandoned project. This contrasts sharply with successful launches like CULT ($11.4M raised) and provides evidence for the high variance in futarchy-governed fundraising outcomes.
-
-The immediate failure and refund status demonstrates the platform's unruggable ICO mechanism functioning as designed—investors can exit when projects fail to meet minimum viability thresholds.
-
-## Relationship to KB
-- [[futardio]] — platform hosting this launch
-- [[futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale]] — contrasts with successful launches
-- [[futarchy-variance-creates-portfolio-problem-because-mechanism-selects-both-top-performers-and-worst-performers-simultaneously]] — data point for variance analysis

entities/internet-finance/epic-finance.md

@@ -0,0 +1,29 @@
+---
+type: entity
+entity_type: company
+name: "Epic Finance"
+domain: internet-finance
+status: failed
+platform: futardio
+tracked_by: rio
+created: 2026-03-11
+key_metrics:
+  raise_target: "$50,000"
+  total_raised: "$2"
+  launch_date: "2026-02-17"
+  close_date: "2026-02-18"
+  outcome: "refunding"
+---
+
+# Epic Finance
+
+Epic Finance was a futarchy-governed token launch on Futardio that failed to achieve its funding target. The project raised only $2 against a $50,000 goal before entering refunding status within 24 hours. The team description consisted of placeholder text ("We Mark Down / The markdown. I need some help with AI."), suggesting the launch was either a test or an unserious attempt.
+
+## Timeline
+- **2026-02-17** — Futarchy launch on [[futardio]] targeting $50,000
+- **2026-02-18** — Launch closed in refunding status after raising $2
+
+## Relationship to KB
+- [[futardio]] — launch platform
+- Contrast to [[futardio-cult-raised-11-4-million-in-one-day-through-futarchy-governed-meme-coin-launch]] — successful launch example
+- Data point for future analysis of futarchy launch success rates

inbox/archive/2026-02-17-futardio-launch-epic-finance.md

@@ -16,7 +16,7 @@ extraction_notes: "This is a failed futarchy launch data point with no substanti
 processed_by: rio
 processed_date: 2026-03-11
 extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
-extraction_notes: "Failed futarchy launch with trivial capital raised ($2 of $50K target). Created decision_market entity to document the launch outcome as a data point for futarchy variance analysis. No extractable claims—this is pure factual data about a failed launch event. The placeholder team description and immediate failure suggest either a test launch or abandoned project. Preserved as entity rather than ignored because it provides contrast data for the existing claim about futarchy variance and successful launches like CULT."
+extraction_notes: "Failed futarchy launch with no extractable claims. The launch raised trivial capital ($2 vs $50K target) and had placeholder team description, indicating either a test or unserious attempt. Created entity page to document the failure as a data point for future meta-analysis of futarchy launch outcomes. No novel mechanism insights, no arguable propositions. The existing claim 'futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale.md' already covers successful launches; this is a counterexample data point but not sufficient alone to challenge that claim or create a new one about failure rates."
 ---
 
 ## Launch Details
@@ -61,4 +61,3 @@ The markdown. I need some help with AI.
 - Epic Finance raised $2.00 total before entering refunding status (2026-02-18)
 - Epic Finance launch address: 2n4GG73NrvpmZCeZ3SPSUwzfWv1MyLSDBc29tRwUccPP
 - Epic Finance token: 9Ta (mint: 9Ta7jjn8Zmyy2QX5ACCUuFaC4Tu8twQj4oAL7ybc3ftd)
-- Epic Finance team description contained placeholder text suggesting minimal preparation