auto-fix: strip 2 broken wiki links

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domains/internet-finance/Polymarket vindicated prediction markets over polling in 2024 US election.md

@@ -18,10 +18,16 @@ This empirical proof connects to [[MetaDAOs futarchy implementation shows limite
 
 
 ### Additional Evidence (extend)
-*Source: [[2026-01-20-polymarket-cftc-approval-qcx-acquisition]] | Added: 2026-03-12 | Extractor: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5*
+*Source: 2026-01-20-polymarket-cftc-approval-qcx-acquisition | Added: 2026-03-12 | Extractor: anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5*
 
 Post-election vindication translated into sustained product-market fit: monthly volume hit $2.6B by late 2024, recently surpassed $1B in weekly trading volume (January 2026), and the platform is targeting a $20B valuation. Polymarket achieved US regulatory compliance through a $112M acquisition of QCX (a CFTC-regulated DCM and DCO) in January 2026, establishing prediction markets as federally-regulated derivatives rather than state-regulated gambling. However, Nevada Gaming Control Board sued Polymarket in late January 2026 over sports prediction contracts, creating a federal-vs-state jurisdictional conflict that remains unresolved. To address manipulation concerns, Polymarket partnered with Palantir and TWG AI to build surveillance systems detecting suspicious trading patterns, screening participants, and generating compliance reports shareable with regulators and sports leagues. The Block reports the prediction market space 'exploded in 2025,' with both Polymarket and Kalshi (the two dominant platforms) targeting $20B valuations.
 
+
+### Additional Evidence (extend)
+*Source: [[2026-02-00-cftc-prediction-market-rulemaking]] | Added: 2026-03-16*
+
+Polymarket's 2024 election success triggered both state pushback (36 states filing amicus briefs) and CFTC defensive action (Chairman Selig publishing WSJ op-ed defending exclusive jurisdiction, signaling imminent rulemaking). The regulatory response demonstrates that prediction market validation creates immediate jurisdictional battles.
+
 ---
 
 Relevant Notes:

inbox/archive/.extraction-debug/2026-02-00-cftc-prediction-market-rulemaking.json

@@ -0,0 +1,24 @@
+{
+  "rejected_claims": [
+    {
+      "filename": "cftc-rulemaking-could-resolve-state-federal-prediction-market-jurisdiction-crisis-through-comprehensive-federal-framework.md",
+      "issues": [
+        "missing_attribution_extractor"
+      ]
+    }
+  ],
+  "validation_stats": {
+    "total": 1,
+    "kept": 0,
+    "fixed": 1,
+    "rejected": 1,
+    "fixes_applied": [
+      "cftc-rulemaking-could-resolve-state-federal-prediction-market-jurisdiction-crisis-through-comprehensive-federal-framework.md:set_created:2026-03-16"
+    ],
+    "rejections": [
+      "cftc-rulemaking-could-resolve-state-federal-prediction-market-jurisdiction-crisis-through-comprehensive-federal-framework.md:missing_attribution_extractor"
+    ]
+  },
+  "model": "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5",
+  "date": "2026-03-16"
+}

inbox/archive/2026-02-00-cftc-prediction-market-rulemaking.md

@@ -7,9 +7,13 @@ date: 2026-02-00
 domain: internet-finance
 secondary_domains: []
 format: article
-status: unprocessed
+status: enrichment
 priority: high
 tags: [cftc, prediction-markets, rulemaking, regulation, event-contracts, jurisdiction]
+processed_by: rio
+processed_date: 2026-03-16
+enrichments_applied: ["Polymarket vindicated prediction markets over polling in 2024 US election.md"]
+extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
 ---
 
 ## Content
@@ -38,7 +42,7 @@ Sidley Austin analysis (February 2026):
 **Why this matters:** CFTC rulemaking is the most promising near-term resolution to the state-federal prediction market crisis. If the CFTC establishes clear rules encompassing governance prediction markets, futarchy can operate under a single federal framework.
 **What surprised me:** The speed — imminent rulemaking signal in Feb 2026, while litigation is still ongoing. The CFTC is trying to establish facts on the ground before courts resolve the jurisdiction question.
 **What I expected but didn't find:** Specific scope of proposed rulemaking — does it cover all event contracts or only specific categories? The distinction matters enormously for futarchy.
-**KB connections:** [[Polymarket vindicated prediction markets over polling in 2024 US election]] — Polymarket's success is what triggered both state pushback and CFTC defense. [[Optimal governance requires mixing mechanisms because different decisions have different manipulation risk profiles]] — regulatory framework determines which mechanisms are legally available.
+**KB connections:** [[Polymarket vindicated prediction markets over polling in 2024 US election]] — Polymarket's success is what triggered both state pushback and CFTC defense. Optimal governance requires mixing mechanisms because different decisions have different manipulation risk profiles — regulatory framework determines which mechanisms are legally available.
 **Extraction hints:** Claim about CFTC rulemaking as resolution path for futarchy regulation.
 **Context:** Sidley Austin is a major law firm with strong CFTC practice. Their analysis carries weight.
 
@@ -46,3 +50,9 @@ Sidley Austin analysis (February 2026):
 PRIMARY CONNECTION: [[Polymarket vindicated prediction markets over polling in 2024 US election]]
 WHY ARCHIVED: CFTC rulemaking signal could determine futarchy's regulatory viability. If governance prediction markets are explicitly covered, this resolves the existential regulatory risk.
 EXTRACTION HINT: Focus on CFTC rulemaking as potential resolution of state-federal jurisdiction crisis for futarchy governance markets.
+
+
+## Key Facts
+- CFTC rulemaking process typically takes 12-18 months from proposal to final rule
+- 36 states filed amicus briefs in prediction market jurisdiction cases
+- CFTC Chairman Selig published WSJ op-ed defending exclusive federal jurisdiction over prediction markets