rio: extract from 2026-03-04-futardio-launch-futarchy-arena.md

- Source: inbox/archive/2026-03-04-futardio-launch-futarchy-arena.md
- Domain: internet-finance
- Extracted by: headless extraction cron (worker 3)

Pentagon-Agent: Rio <HEADLESS>

entities/internet-finance/futarchy-arena.md

@@ -12,21 +12,19 @@ created: 2026-03-11
 key_metrics:
   raise_target: "$50,000"
   total_committed: "$934"
-  monthly_spending_cap: "$1,000"
+  oversubscription_ratio: 0.019
   outcome: "refunding"
 ---
 
 # Futarchy Arena
 
-Futarchy Arena was a competitive onchain futarchy game where players made predictions on strategic decisions instead of voting. Each round introduced decisions (capital allocations, strategy shifts, reward changes) evaluated through prediction markets with measurable outcomes. The project included a leaderboard tracking prediction accuracy, profitability, risk-adjusted returns, and consistency across seasons.
-
-Launched on Futardio with a $50,000 USDC target and $1,000 monthly spending cap, the fundraise failed to reach its goal, raising only $934 before entering refunding status.
+Futarchy Arena was a competitive onchain futarchy game where players predicted on strategic decisions rather than voting. The project attempted to gamify futarchy governance with leaderboards, seasons, and performance-based rewards. The fundraise launched on Futardio on 2026-03-04 with a $50,000 target and $1,000 monthly spending cap but only raised $934 before entering refunding status.
 
 ## Timeline
-- **2026-03-04** — Launched fundraise on Futardio targeting $50,000 USDC with $1,000 monthly spending cap
-- **2026-03-05** — Fundraise closed in refunding status with $934 committed (1.9% of target)
+- **2026-03-04** — Launched fundraise on Futardio with $50K target, positioning as "futarchy turned into a game" with competitive prediction markets
+- **2026-03-05** — Fundraise closed in refunding status after raising only $934 (1.9% of target)
 
 ## Relationship to KB
 - [[futardio]] — launched on this platform
-- [[MetaDAO]] — implements similar futarchy governance mechanisms
-- [[futarchy-governed-meme-coins-attract-speculative-capital-at-scale]] — contrasts with this failed serious application
+- [[MetaDAO]] — related futarchy governance infrastructure
+- Example of failed futarchy-governed launch despite novel game mechanics approach

entities/internet-finance/futardio.md

@@ -46,7 +46,7 @@ MetaDAO's token launch platform. Implements "unruggable ICOs" — permissionless
 
 - **2026-03-07** — Areal DAO launch: $50K target, raised $11,654 (23.3%), REFUNDING status by 2026-03-08 — first documented failed futarchy-governed fundraise on platform
 - **2026-03-04** — [[seekervault]] fundraise launched targeting $75,000, closed next day with only $1,186 (1.6% of target) in refunding status
-- **2026-03-04** — [[futarchy-arena]] fundraise launched targeting $50,000, failed with $934 raised (1.9%)
+- **2026-03-04** — [[futarchy-arena]] launched on platform: competitive futarchy game concept, failed to reach $50K target (raised $934, refunding)
 ## Competitive Position
 - **Unique mechanism**: Only launch platform with futarchy-governed accountability and treasury return guarantees
 - **vs pump.fun**: pump.fun is memecoin launch (zero accountability, pure speculation). Futardio is ownership coin launch (futarchy governance, treasury enforcement). Different categories despite both being "launch platforms."

inbox/archive/2026-03-04-futardio-launch-futarchy-arena.md

@@ -12,7 +12,7 @@ event_type: launch
 processed_by: rio
 processed_date: 2026-03-11
 extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
-extraction_notes: "Futarchy Arena launch data extracted. This is a failed fundraise (1.9% of target) for a competitive futarchy game. No novel claims about futarchy mechanisms - the game design is straightforward application of existing MetaDAO-style conditional markets. Entity created to track the launch outcome as data point on futarchy adoption patterns. No enrichments warranted - this is a single failed case that doesn't strengthen or challenge existing mechanism claims."
+extraction_notes: "Failed Futardio launch. Created entity page for Futarchy Arena as it represents a novel futarchy application (gamification) despite failure. Below significance threshold for claims extraction - single failed fundraise with no mechanism insights beyond what's already captured in existing futarchy claims. The 1.9% raise rate is a data point, not evidence of a broader pattern."
 ---
 
 ## Launch Details
@@ -144,11 +144,7 @@ Futarchy Arena makes that measurable.
 
 
 ## Key Facts
-- Futarchy Arena fundraise target: $50,000 USDC
-- Futarchy Arena total committed: $934
-- Futarchy Arena monthly spending cap: $1,000
-- Futarchy Arena launch date: 2026-03-04
-- Futarchy Arena close date: 2026-03-05
-- Futarchy Arena status: Refunding
-- Futarchy Arena token: DXS
-- Futarchy Arena token mint: DXSunZYhvgwe78jVk2MKtjpEVzj7hcuAkfi79jxtmeta
+- Futarchy Arena raised $934 of $50,000 target (1.9% oversubscription)
+- Futarchy Arena had $1,000 monthly spending cap
+- Futarchy Arena closed 2026-03-05 in refunding status
+- Token: DXS (DXSunZYhvgwe78jVk2MKtjpEVzj7hcuAkfi79jxtmeta)