From e23c975aefc0fd744bb33b8f24f5481fd6e0ee1b Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: Teleo Agents Date: Sat, 28 Mar 2026 12:46:51 +0000 Subject: [PATCH] extract: 2026-03-28-tg-source-m3taversal-robin-hanson-tweet-on-insider-trading-in-predictio Pentagon-Agent: Epimetheus <3D35839A-7722-4740-B93D-51157F7D5E70> --- ...robin-hanson-tweet-on-insider-trading-in-predictio.md | 9 +++++++++ 1 file changed, 9 insertions(+) diff --git a/inbox/queue/2026-03-28-tg-source-m3taversal-robin-hanson-tweet-on-insider-trading-in-predictio.md b/inbox/queue/2026-03-28-tg-source-m3taversal-robin-hanson-tweet-on-insider-trading-in-predictio.md index f29c9cf0..18a5c04e 100644 --- a/inbox/queue/2026-03-28-tg-source-m3taversal-robin-hanson-tweet-on-insider-trading-in-predictio.md +++ b/inbox/queue/2026-03-28-tg-source-m3taversal-robin-hanson-tweet-on-insider-trading-in-predictio.md @@ -14,6 +14,10 @@ processed_by: rio processed_date: 2026-03-28 extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5" extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator" +processed_by: rio +processed_date: 2026-03-28 +extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5" +extraction_notes: "LLM returned 0 claims, 0 rejected by validator" --- # Source: Robin Hanson tweet on insider trading in prediction markets - @robinhanson: "On average, ~20-40% of @@ -30,6 +34,11 @@ Flagged by Rio as relevant source material. Robin Hanson tweet on insider trading in prediction markets - @robinhanson: "On average, ~20-40% of stock price change happens before official firm announcements. Thus insider trading in stocks is rampant; yet our stock markets function fine. To consider re prediction market insider trading." URL: https://x.com/robinhanson/status/2037680495321055257 +## Key Facts +- Robin Hanson estimates 20-40% of stock price changes occur before official firm announcements +- Hanson argues this level of insider trading does not prevent stock markets from functioning effectively + + ## Key Facts - Robin Hanson estimates 20-40% of stock price changes occur before official firm announcements - Hanson argues this level of insider trading does not prevent stock markets from functioning effectively -- 2.45.2