theseus: noahopinion extraction #3089

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@ -25,7 +25,7 @@ Relevant Notes:
- [[recursive self-improvement creates explosive intelligence gains because the system that improves is itself improving]] — Smith's jagged intelligence thesis challenges this: superintelligence may arrive through combination rather than recursion
- [[bostrom takes single-digit year timelines to superintelligence seriously while acknowledging decades-long alternatives remain possible]] — if SI is already here via jagged intelligence, timeline debates are moot
- [[the first mover to superintelligence likely gains decisive strategic advantage because the gap between leader and followers accelerates during takeoff]] — jagged intelligence distributes SI across multiple labs simultaneously, complicating first-mover dynamics
- [[centaur teams outperform both pure humans and pure AI because complementary strengths compound]] — jagged intelligence makes centaur complementarity more precise: humans contribute where AI is jagged-weak
- centaur teams outperform both pure humans and pure AI because complementary strengths compound — jagged intelligence makes centaur complementarity more precise: humans contribute where AI is jagged-weak
Topics:
- [[_map]]

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@ -60,4 +60,4 @@ The shared theory underlying Theseus's domain analysis lives in the foundations
- [[the alignment tax creates a structural race to the bottom because safety training costs capability and rational competitors skip it]] — structural race dynamics
- [[no research group is building alignment through collective intelligence infrastructure despite the field converging on problems that require it]] — the institutional gap
- [[collective superintelligence is the alternative to monolithic AI controlled by a few]] — the distributed alternative
- [[centaur teams outperform both pure humans and pure AI because complementary strengths compound]] — human-AI complementarity evidence
- centaur teams outperform both pure humans and pure AI because complementary strengths compound — human-AI complementarity evidence