domains/internet-finance/futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md

@@ -35,6 +35,12 @@ This was a play-money experiment, which is the primary confound. Real-money futa
 
 ORE's HNT-ORE boost proposal demonstrates futarchy's strength in relative selection: the market validated HNT as the next liquidity pair to boost relative to other candidates (ISC already had a boost at equivalent multiplier), but the proposal does not require absolute prediction of HNT's future price or utility—only that HNT is a better strategic choice than alternatives. The proposal passed by market consensus on relative positioning (HNT as flagship DePIN project post-HIP-138), not by predicting absolute HNT performance metrics.
 
+
+### Additional Evidence (confirm)
+*Source: [[2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore]] | Added: 2026-03-15*
+
+ORE's three-tier boost system (vanilla stake, critical pairs, extended pairs) demonstrates futarchy's strength at relative selection by creating ordinal rankings of liquidity pair importance rather than attempting to predict absolute value outcomes. The proposal explicitly simplifies future governance by letting markets rank tiers rather than price individual pairs.
+
 ---
 
 Relevant Notes:

entities/internet-finance/futardio.md

@@ -50,6 +50,7 @@ MetaDAO's token launch platform. Implements "unruggable ICOs" — permissionless
 - **2026-03-05** — [[git3-futardio-fundraise]] failed: Git3 raised $28,266 of $100K target (28.3%) before entering refunding status, demonstrating market filtering even with live MVP
 - **2024-06-14** — [[futardio-fund-rug-bounty-program]] passed: Approved $5K USDC funding for RugBounty.xyz platform development to incentivize community recovery from rug pulls
 - **2024-08-28** — MetaDAO proposal to develop futardio as memecoin launchpad with futarchy governance failed. Proposal would have allocated $100k grant over 6 months to development team. Key features: percentage of each new token supply allocated to futarchy DAO, points-to-token conversion within 180 days, revenue distribution to $FUTA holders, immutable deployment on IPFS/Arweave. Proposal rejected by market, suggesting reputational risks outweighed adoption benefits.
+- **2024-11-21** — Proposal #13 created on futard.io platform, failed by 2024-11-25 with minimal trading activity
 ## Competitive Position
 - **Unique mechanism**: Only launch platform with futarchy-governed accountability and treasury return guarantees
 - **vs pump.fun**: pump.fun is memecoin launch (zero accountability, pure speculation). Futardio is ownership coin launch (futarchy governance, treasury enforcement). Different categories despite both being "launch platforms."

inbox/archive/2024-11-25-futardio-proposal-launch-a-boost-for-hnt-ore.md

@@ -6,7 +6,7 @@ url: "https://www.futard.io/proposal/2QUxbiMkDtoKxY2u6kXuevfMsqKGtHNxMFYHVWbqRK1
 date: 2024-11-25
 domain: internet-finance
 format: data
-status: unprocessed
+status: enrichment
 tags: [futardio, metadao, futarchy, solana, governance]
 event_type: proposal
 processed_by: rio
@@ -14,6 +14,10 @@ processed_date: 2026-03-11
 enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md"]
 extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
 extraction_notes: "Futardio proposal for ORE-HNT liquidity boost. Primary extraction: three new entities (ORE protocol, decision_market for the proposal, Helium). Two enrichments showing futarchy governance patterns: three-tier boost system as governance simplification mechanism, and strategic partnership evaluation through conditional markets. No novel claims — the proposal demonstrates existing futarchy mechanisms in practice rather than introducing new theoretical insights."
+processed_by: rio
+processed_date: 2026-03-15
+enrichments_applied: ["futarchy-excels-at-relative-selection-but-fails-at-absolute-prediction-because-ordinal-ranking-works-while-cardinal-estimation-requires-calibration.md"]
+extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5"
 ---
 
 ## Proposal Details
@@ -71,3 +75,12 @@ With the passing of this proposal, we would introduce a new boost with the same
 - HNT-ORE boost uses Kamino kTokens representing concentrated liquidity positions on Orca
 - ORE three-tier boost system: Tier 1 (vanilla stake), Tier 2 (SOL-ORE, USDC-ORE), Tier 3 (ISC-ORE, HNT-ORE)
 - Helium HIP-138 consolidated network tokenomics around HNT as primary token
+
+
+## Key Facts
+- ORE proposal 2QUxbiMkDtoKxY2u6kXuevfMsqKGtHNxMFYHVWbqRK1A passed 2024-11-28
+- HNT-ORE boost uses Kamino kTokens representing concentrated liquidity positions on Orca
+- ORE three-tier boost system: Tier 1 (vanilla stake), Tier 2 (SOL-ORE, USDC-ORE), Tier 3 (ISC-ORE, HNT-ORE)
+- Helium HIP-138 consolidated network tokenomics around HNT as primary token
+- ORE DAO account: EttCec7x4r227dbQ8BYUVtqizDdD6T3WQHGHWKdzJrCc
+- Proposal used Autocrat version 0.3