--- type: source source_type: x-tweet title: "@robinhanson — shared via Telegram by @m3taversal" author: "@robinhanson" url: "https://x.com/robinhanson/status/2037680495321055257?s=46" date: 2026-03-28 domain: internet-finance format: social-media status: enrichment proposed_by: "@m3taversal" contribution_type: source-submission tags: ['telegram-shared', 'x-tweet', 'market-analysis'] processed_by: rio processed_date: 2026-03-28 enrichments_applied: ["Living Capital information disclosure uses NDA-bound diligence experts who produce public investment memos creating a clean team architecture where the market builds trust in analysts over time.md"] extraction_model: "anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5" --- # @robinhanson — Tweet/Thread Shared by @m3taversal via Telegram. Source URL: https://x.com/robinhanson/status/2037680495321055257?s=46 ## Content On average, ~20-40% of stock price change happens before official firm announcements. Thus insider trading in stocks is rampant; yet our stock markets function fine. To consider re prediction market insider trading. ## Key Facts - Robin Hanson estimates 20-40% of stock price changes occur before official firm announcements - Hanson argues this indicates insider trading is rampant in stock markets - Despite this level of insider trading, stock markets continue to function effectively