--- type: source title: "Coasean Bargaining at Scale: Decentralization, coordination, and co-existence with AGI" author: "Seb Krier (Frontier Policy Development, Google DeepMind; personal capacity)" url: https://blog.cosmos-institute.org/p/coasean-bargaining-at-scale date_published: 2025-09-26 date_archived: 2026-03-16 domain: ai-alignment secondary_domains: [collective-intelligence, teleological-economics] status: processing processed_by: theseus tags: [coase-theorem, transaction-costs, agent-governance, decentralization, coordination] sourced_via: "Alex Obadia (@ObadiaAlex) tweet, ARIA Research Scaling Trust programme" twitter_id: "712705562191011841" --- # Coasean Bargaining at Scale Krier argues AGI agents as personal advocates can dramatically reduce transaction costs, enabling Coasean bargaining at societal scale. Shifts governance from top-down central planning to bottom-up market coordination. Key arguments: - Coasean private bargaining has been theoretically sound but practically impossible due to prohibitive transaction costs (discovery, negotiation, enforcement) - AI agents solve this: instant communication of granular preferences, hyper-granular contracting, automatic verification/enforcement - Three resulting governance principles: accountability (desires become priced offers), voluntary coalitions (diffuse interests band together at nanosecond speed), continuous self-calibration (rules flex based on live preference streams) - "Matryoshkan alignment" — nested governance: outer (legal/state), middle (competitive service providers), inner (individual customization) - Critical limitations acknowledged: wealth inequality, rights allocation remains constitutional/normative, catastrophic risks need state enforcement - Reframes alignment from engineering guarantees to institutional design Directly relevant to [[coordination failures arise from individually rational strategies that produce collectively irrational outcomes]] and [[decentralized information aggregation outperforms centralized planning because dispersed knowledge cannot be collected into a single mind]].